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Journal impact factor, trial effect size, and methodological quality appear scantly related: a systematic review and meta-analysis.


ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:As systematic reviews' limited coverage of the medical literature necessitates decision-making based on unsystematic review, we investigated a possible advantage of systematic review (aside from dataset size and systematic analysis): does systematic review avoid potential bias in sampling primary studies from high impact factor journals? If randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reported in higher-impact journals present different treatment benefits than RCTs reported in lower-impact journals, readers who focus on higher-impact journals for their rapid literature reviews may introduce bias which could be mitigated by complete, systematic sampling. METHODS:We randomly sampled Cochrane Library (20 July 2005) treatment reviews that measured mortality as a binary outcome, published in English or French, with at least five RCTs with one or more deaths. Our domain-based assessment of risk of bias included funding source, randomness of allocation sequence, blinding, and allocation concealment. The primary analysis employed logistic regression by a generalized linear model with a generalized estimating equation to estimate the association between various factors and publication in a journal with a high journal impact factor (JIF). RESULTS:From the 29 included systematic reviews, 189 RCTs contributed data. However, in the primary analyses comparing RCT results within meta-analyses, there was no statistically significant association: unadjusted odds of greater than 50% mortality protection in high-JIF (>?5) journals were 1.4 (95% CI 0.42, 4.4) and adjusted, 2.5 (95% CI 0.6, 10). Elements of study quality were weakly, inconsistently, and not statistically significantly correlated with journal impact factor. CONCLUSIONS:Journal impact factor may have little to no association with study results, or methodological quality, but the evidence is very uncertain.

SUBMITTER: Saginur M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7069162 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Journal impact factor, trial effect size, and methodological quality appear scantly related: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Saginur Michael M   Fergusson Dean D   Zhang Tinghua T   Yeates Karen K   Ramsay Tim T   Wells George G   Moher David D  

Systematic reviews 20200309 1


<h4>Background</h4>As systematic reviews' limited coverage of the medical literature necessitates decision-making based on unsystematic review, we investigated a possible advantage of systematic review (aside from dataset size and systematic analysis): does systematic review avoid potential bias in sampling primary studies from high impact factor journals? If randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reported in higher-impact journals present different treatment benefits than RCTs reported in lower-im  ...[more]

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