Dataset Information

Model-Based Clustering with Measurement or Estimation Errors.

ABSTRACT: Model-based clustering with finite mixture models has become a widely used clustering method. One of the recent implementations is MCLUST. When objects to be clustered are summary statistics, such as regression coefficient estimates, they are naturally associated with estimation errors, whose covariance matrices can often be calculated exactly or approximated using asymptotic theory. This article proposes an extension to Gaussian finite mixture modeling-called MCLUST-ME-that properly accounts for the estimation errors. More specifically, we assume that the distribution of each observation consists of an underlying true component distribution and an independent measurement error distribution. Under this assumption, each unique value of estimation error covariance corresponds to its own classification boundary, which consequently results in a different grouping from MCLUST. Through simulation and application to an RNA-Seq data set, we discovered that under certain circumstances, explicitly, modeling estimation errors, improves clustering performance or provides new insights into the data, compared with when errors are simply ignored, whereas the degree of improvement depends on factors such as the distribution of error covariance matrices.

SUBMITTER: Zhang W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7074130 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Model-Based Clustering with Measurement or Estimation Errors.

Zhang Wanli W Di Yanming Y

Genes 20200210 2

Model-based clustering with finite mixture models has become a widely used clustering method. One of the recent implementations is MCLUST. When objects to be clustered are summary statistics, such as regression coefficient estimates, they are naturally associated with estimation errors, whose covariance matrices can often be calculated exactly or approximated using asymptotic theory. This article proposes an extension to Gaussian finite mixture modeling-called MCLUST-ME-that properly accounts fo ...[more]

PMID: 32050700

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Project description:BackgroundGenerally, QSAR modelling requires both model selection and validation since there is no a priori knowledge about the optimal QSAR model. Prediction errors (PE) are frequently used to select and to assess the models under study. Reliable estimation of prediction errors is challenging - especially under model uncertainty - and requires independent test objects. These test objects must not be involved in model building nor in model selection. Double cross-validation, sometimes also termed nested cross-validation, offers an attractive possibility to generate test data and to select QSAR models since it uses the data very efficiently. Nevertheless, there is a controversy in the literature with respect to the reliability of double cross-validation under model uncertainty. Moreover, systematic studies investigating the adequate parameterization of double cross-validation are still missing. Here, the cross-validation design in the inner loop and the influence of the test set size in the outer loop is systematically studied for regression models in combination with variable selection.MethodsSimulated and real data are analysed with double cross-validation to identify important factors for the resulting model quality. For the simulated data, a bias-variance decomposition is provided.ResultsThe prediction errors of QSAR/QSPR regression models in combination with variable selection depend to a large degree on the parameterization of double cross-validation. While the parameters for the inner loop of double cross-validation mainly influence bias and variance of the resulting models, the parameters for the outer loop mainly influence the variability of the resulting prediction error estimate.ConclusionsDouble cross-validation reliably and unbiasedly estimates prediction errors under model uncertainty for regression models. As compared to a single test set, double cross-validation provided a more realistic picture of model quality and should be preferred over a single test set.

Dataset Information

Model-Based Clustering with Measurement or Estimation Errors.

Publications

Model-Based Clustering with Measurement or Estimation Errors.

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