Dataset Information

Establishment of Simple Nomograms for Predicting Axillary Lymph Node Involvement in Early Breast Cancer.

ABSTRACT: Purpose:Axillary lymph node (ALN) involvement is an important prognostic factor of early invasive breast cancer. The objective of this study was to establish simple nomograms for predicting ALN involvement based on ultrasound (US) characteristics and evaluate the predictive value of US in the detection of ALN involvement. Patients and Methods:A total of 1328 patients with cT1-2N0 breast cancer by physical exam were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate analysis was used for the comparison of variables, and multivariate analysis was performed by binary logistic regression analysis. The R software was used to establish simple nomograms based on the US characteristics alone. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the prediction model and the verification group were drawn, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the discrimination of the prediction model. A calibration curve was plotted to assess the nomogram predictions vs the actual observations of the ALN metastasis rate and axillary tumor burden rate. Results:The ALN metastasis rates of the training group and the validation group were 35.1% and 34.1%, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that molecular subtype, lymphovascular invasion, mass descriptors (size, margin, microcalcification and blood flow signal) and LN descriptors (shape, cortical thickness and long-to-short ratio) were independent impact factors in early breast cancer. The AUC of ALN metastasis rate of prediction model based on US features was 0.802, the AUC of high tumor burden rate was 0.873, and the AUC of external validation group was 0.731 and 0.802, respectively. The calibration curve of the nomogram showed that the nomogram predictions are consistent with the actual metastasis rate and the high tumor burden rate. The results showed that preoperative US had a sensitivity of 59.4% and a specificity of 88.9% for predicting the ALN metastasis rate. Conclusion:The successfully established nomograms based on US characteristics to predict ALN metastasis rate and high axillary tumor burden rate in early breast cancer can achieve individual prediction. Compared with other nomogram predictions, it is more intuitive, and can help clinical decision-making; thus, it should be promoted. However, at this time US features alone are insufficient to replace sentinel lymph node biopsy.

SUBMITTER: Zong Q

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7090154 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Establishment of Simple Nomograms for Predicting Axillary Lymph Node Involvement in Early Breast Cancer.

Zong Qingqing Q Deng Jing J Ge Wanli W Chen Jie J Xu Di D

Cancer management and research 20200318

<h4>Purpose</h4>Axillary lymph node (ALN) involvement is an important prognostic factor of early invasive breast cancer. The objective of this study was to establish simple nomograms for predicting ALN involvement based on ultrasound (US) characteristics and evaluate the predictive value of US in the detection of ALN involvement.<h4>Patients and methods</h4>A total of 1328 patients with cT1-2N0 breast cancer by physical exam were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate analysis was used for the com ...[more]

PMID: 32256110

Similar Datasets

Project description:IntroductionThe axillary lymph node (ALN) status of breast cancer patients is an important prognostic indicator. The use of primary breast mass features for the prediction of ALN status is rare. Two nomograms based on preoperative ultrasound (US) images of breast tumors and ALNs were developed for the prediction of ALN status.MethodsA total of 743 breast cancer cases collected from 2016 to 2019 at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University were randomly divided into a training set (n = 523) and a test set (n = 220). A primary tumor feature model (PTFM) and ALN feature model (ALNFM) were separately generated based on tumor features alone, and a combination of features was used for the prediction of ALN status. Logistic regression analysis was used to construct the nomograms. A receiver operating characteristic curve was plotted to obtain the area under the curve (AUC) to evaluate accuracy, and bias-corrected AUC values and calibration curves were obtained by bootstrap resampling for internal and external verification. Decision curve analysis was applied to assess the clinical utility of the models.ResultsThe AUCs of the PTFM were 0.69 and 0.67 for the training and test sets, respectively, and the bias-corrected AUCs of the PTFM were 0.67 and 0.67, respectively. Moreover, the AUCs of the ALNFM were 0.86 and 0.84, respectively, and the bias-corrected AUCs were 0.85 and 0.81, respectively. Compared with the PTFM, the ALNFM showed significantly improved prediction accuracy (p < 0.001). Both the calibration and decision curves of the ALNFM nomogram indicated greater accuracy and clinical practicality. When the US tumor size was ≤21.5 mm, the Spe was 0.96 and 0.92 in the training and test sets, respectively. When the US tumor size was greater than 21.5 mm, the Sen was 0.85 in the training set and 0.87 in the test set. Our further research showed that when the US tumor size was larger than 35 mm, the Sen was 0.90 in the training set and 0.93 in the test set.ConclusionThe ALNFM could effectively predict ALN status based on US images especially for different US tumor size.

Project description:BackgroundPathological complete response (pCR) of axillary lymph nodes (ALNs) is frequently achieved in patients with clinically node-positive breast cancer after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), and ALN status is an important prognostic factor for breast cancer patients. This study aims to develop a new predictive clinical model to assess the ALN pCR rate after NAC.MethodsThis was a retrospective series of 467 patients who had biopsy-proven positive ALNs at diagnosis and underwent ALN dissection from 2007 to 2014 at the National Cancer Center/Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences. We analyzed the clinicopathologic features of the patients and developed a nomogram to predict the probability of ALN pCR. A multivariable logistic regression stepwise model was used to construct a nomogram to predict ALN pCR in node-positive patients. The adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to quantify the ability to rank patients by risk. Internal validation was performed using the 50/50 hold-out validation method. The nomogram was externally validated with prospective cohorts of 167 patients from 2016 to 2018 at the Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and 114 patients from 2018 to 2020 at Beijing Tiantan Hospital.ResultsIn this retrospective study, 115 (24.6%) patients achieved ALN pCR after NAC. Multivariate analysis showed that clinical tumor stage (Odds ratio [OR]: 0.321, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.121-0.856; P = 0.023); primary tumor response (OR: 0.189; 95% CI: 0.123-0.292; P < 0.001), and estrogen receptor status (OR: 0.530, 95% CI: 0.304-0.925; P = 0.025) were independent predictors of ALN pCR. The nomogram was constructed based on the result of multivariate analysis. In the internal validation of performance of nomogram, the AUCs for the training and test sets were 0.719 and 0.753, respectively. The nomogram was validated in external cohorts with AUCs of 0.720, which demonstrated good discriminatory power in these data sets.ConclusionWe developed a nomogram to predict the likelihood of axillary pCR in node-positive breast cancer patients after NAC. The predictive model performed well in multicenter prospective external validation. This practical tool could provide information to surgeons regarding whether to perform additional ALN dissection after NAC.Trial registrationChiCTR.org.cn, ChiCTR1800014968.

Project description:PurposeTo develop a clinical-radiomics model based on radiomics features extracted from MRI and clinicopathologic factors for predicting the axillary pathologic complete response (apCR) in breast cancer (BC) patients with axillary lymph node (ALN) metastases.Materials and methodsThe MR images and clinicopathologic data of 248 eligible invasive BC patients at the Peking University First Hospital from January 2013 to December 2020 were included in this study. All patients received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC), and the presence of ALN metastases was confirmed through cytology pre-NAC. The data from January 2013 to December 2018 were randomly divided into the training and validation sets in a ratio of 7:3, and the data from January 2019 to December 2020 served as the independent testing set. The following three types of prediction models were investigated in this study. 1) A clinical model: the model was built by independently predicting clinicopathologic factors through logistic regression. 2) Radiomics models: we used an automatic segmentation model based on deep learning to segment the axillary areas, visible ALNs, and breast tumors on post-NAC dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI. Radiomics features were then extracted from the region of interest (ROI). Radiomics models were built based on different ROIs or their combination. 3) A clinical-radiomics model: it was built by integrating radiomics signature and independent predictive clinical factors by logistic regression. All models were assessed using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and by calculating the area under the curve (AUC).ResultsThe clinical model yielded AUC values of 0.759, 0.787, and 0.771 in the training, validation, and testing sets, respectively. The radiomics model based on the combination of MRI features of breast tumors and visible ALNs yielded the best AUC values of 0.894, 0.811, and 0.806 in the training, validation, and testing sets, respectively. The clinical-radiomics model yielded AUC values of 0.924, 0.851, and 0.878 in the training, validation, and testing sets, respectively, for predicting apCR.ConclusionWe developed a clinical-radiomics model by integrating radiomics signature and clinical factors to predict apCR in BC patients with ALN metastases post-NAC. It may help the clinicians to screen out apCR patients to avoid lymph node dissection.

Dataset Information

Establishment of Simple Nomograms for Predicting Axillary Lymph Node Involvement in Early Breast Cancer.

Publications

Establishment of Simple Nomograms for Predicting Axillary Lymph Node Involvement in Early Breast Cancer.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets