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Incidence of switching to second-line antiretroviral therapy and associated factors in children with HIV: an international cohort collaboration.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Estimates of incidence of switching to second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) among children with HIV are necessary to inform the need for paediatric second-line formulations. We aimed to quantify the cumulative incidence of switching to second-line ART among children in an international cohort collaboration. METHODS:In this international cohort collaboration study, we pooled individual patient-level data for children younger than 18 years who initiated ART (two or more nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors [NRTI] plus a non-NRTI [NNRTI] or boosted protease inhibitor) between 1993 and 2015 from 12 observational cohort networks in the Collaborative Initiative for Paediatric HIV Education and Research (CIPHER) Global Cohort Collaboration. Patients who were reported to be horizontally infected with HIV and those who were enrolled in trials of treatment monitoring, switching, or interruption strategies were excluded. Switch to second-line ART was defined as change of one or more NRTI plus either change in drug class (NNRTI to protease inhibitor or vice versa) or protease inhibitor change, change from single to dual protease inhibitor, or addition of a new drug class. We used cumulative incidence curves to assess time to switching, and multivariable proportional hazards models to explore patient-level and cohort-level factors associated with switching, with death and loss to follow-up as competing risks. FINDINGS:At the data cutoff of Sept 16, 2015, 182?747 children with HIV were included in the CIPHER dataset, of whom 93?351 were eligible, with 83?984 (90·0%) from sub-Saharan Africa. At ART initiation, the median patient age was 3·9 years (IQR 1·6-6·9) and 82?885 (88·8%) patients initiated NNRTI-based and 10 466 (11·2%) initiated protease inhibitor-based regimens. Median duration of follow-up after ART initiation was 26 months (IQR 9-52). 3883 (4·2%) patients switched to second-line ART after a median of 35 months (IQR 20-57) of ART. The cumulative incidence of switching at 3 years was 3·1% (95% CI 3·0-3·2), but this estimate varied widely depending on the cohort monitoring strategy, from 6·8% (6·5-7·2) in settings with routine monitoring of CD4 (CD4% or CD4 count) and viral load to 0·8% (0·6-1·0) in settings with clinical only monitoring. In multivariable analyses, patient-level factors associated with an increased likelihood of switching were male sex, older age at ART initiation, and initial NNRTI-based regimen (p<0·0001). Cohort-level factors that increased the likelihood of switching were higher-income country (p=0·0017) and routine or targeted monitoring of CD4 and viral load (p<0·0001), which was associated with a 166% increase in likelihood of switching compared with CD4 only monitoring (subdistributional hazard ratio 2·66, 95% CI 2·22-3·19). INTERPRETATION:Our global paediatric analysis found wide variations in the incidence of switching to second-line ART across monitoring strategies. These findings suggest the scale-up of viral load monitoring would probably increase demand for paediatric second-line ART formulations. FUNDING:International AIDS Society-CIPHER.

SUBMITTER: Collaborative Initiative for Paediatric HIV Education and Research (CIPHER) Global Cohort Collaboration

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7093820 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:IntroductionLimited data describe outcomes on second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) among children globally. Our objective was to contribute data on outcomes among children living with HIV after initiation of second-line ART in the context of routine care within a large global cohort collaboration.MethodsPatient-level data from 1993 through 2015 from 11 paediatric HIV cohorts were pooled. Characteristics at switch and through two years of follow-up were summarized for children who switched to second-line ART after starting a standard first-line regimen in North America, Latin America, Europe, Asia, Southern Africa (South Africa & Botswana) and the rest of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Cumulative incidences of mortality and loss to follow-up (LTFU) were estimated using a competing risks framework.ResultsOf the 85,389 children on first-line ART, 3,555 (4%) switched to second-line after a median of 2.8 years on ART (IQR: 1.6, 4.7); 69% were from Southern Africa or SSA and 86% of second-line regimens were protease inhibitor-based. At switch, median age was 8.4 years and 50% had a prior AIDS diagnosis. Median follow-up after switch to second-line ranged from 1.8 years in SSA to 5.3 years in North America. Median CD4 counts at switch to second-line ranged from 235 cells/mm3 in SSA to 828 cells/mm3 in North America. Improvements in CD4 counts were observed over two years of follow-up, particularly in regions with lower CD4 counts at second-line switch. Improvements in weight-for-age z-scores were not observed during follow-up. Cumulative incidence of LTFU at two years was <5% in all regions except SSA (7.1%) and Southern Africa (7.4%). Risk of mortality was <3% at two years of follow-up in all regions, except Latin America (4.9%) and SSA (5.5%).ConclusionsChildren switched to second-line ART experience CD4 count increases as well as low to moderate rates of LTFU and mortality within two years after switch. Severe immune deficiency at time of switch in some settings suggests need for improved recognition and management of treatment failure in children.

Project description:BackgroundWith expanding access to pediatric antiretroviral therapy, several patients in the developing world were switched to the second-line regimen, and some require third-line medications. A delay in a second-line switch is associated with an increased risk of mortality and other undesired therapeutic outcomes, drives up program costs, and challenges the pediatric antiretroviral therapy service. Nevertheless, there remain limited and often conflicting estimates on second-line antiretroviral therapy use during childhood, especially in resource-limited settings like Ethiopia. Thus, this study intended to determine the incidence and predictors of switching to second-line antiretroviral therapy among children.MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted by reviewing records of 424 randomly selected children on first-line antiretroviral therapy from January 2014 to December 2018 at public hospitals in the Central and Southern Zones of Tigray, Northern Ethiopia. Data were collected using extraction tool; entered into Epi-data; cleaned, and analyzed by STATA version-14. Kaplan-Meier curve, log-rank test, and life table were used for data description and adjusted hazard ratios and p-value for analysis by Cox proportional hazard regression. Variables at a P-value of ≤0.20 in the bi-variable analysis were taken to multivariable analysis. Finally, statistical significance was declared at a P-value of ≤0.05.Results and conclusionAnalysis was conducted on 424 charts with a total person-time observation of 11686.1 child-months and an incidence switch rate of 5.6 (95%CI: 4.36-7.09) per 1000 child-month-observations. Being orphan [AHR = 2.36; 95%CI: 1.10-5.07], suboptimal adherence [AHR = 2.10; 95% CI: 1.12-3.92], drug toxicity [AHR = 7.05; 95% CI: 3.61-13.75], advanced latest clinical stage [AHR = 2.75; 95%CI: 1.05-7.15], and tuberculosis co-infection at baseline [AHR = 3.08; 95%CI: 1.26-7.51] were significantly associated with switch to second-line antiretroviral therapy regimen. Moreover, a long duration of follow-up [AHR = 0.75; 95% CI: 0.71-0.81] was associated with decreased risk of switching. Hence, it is better to prioritize strengthening the focused evaluation of tuberculosis co-infection and treatment failure with continuous adherence monitoring. Further research is also needed to evaluate the effect of drug resistance.

Project description:To investigate the responses to switching to second-line regimens among patients who had received a long-term first-line antiretroviral therapy.Patients switching to second-line regimens from June 2008 to June 2015 were enrolled from an observational cohort. In addition, patients continuing first-line therapy and had a viral load <1000?copies/mL were included as controls in July 2012. All these patients were followed-up for 36 months or until June 2016. The virological, immunological outcomes, and drug resistance were evaluated. Virological failure was defined as viral load ?1000?copies/mL after 6 months of treatment since the start of the study.There were 304 patients switching to second-line regimens and 46 patients remaining on first-line therapy enrolled while having received first-line therapy for a median of 7.6 years. Patients with plasma viral load (VL) ?1000?copies/mL before switching to second-line regimens had a sharp decline in the proportion of virological failure with 26.7%, 20.4%, and 17.0% at 12, 24, and 36 months after regimen switch, respectively (trend test, P?<?.001). Among these patients, individuals with drug resistance (DR) had a better virological responses as compared with those without DR after regimen switching. While patients with VL <1000?copies/mL at inclusion remained a high rate of viral suppression after switching to second-line regimens. So did patients continuing first-line therapy. Among patients with VL ?1000?copies/mL before switching to second-line regimens, the rates of drug resistance were decreased from 79.4% at inclusion to 7.5% at 36 months of regimen switch, with the proportion of NRTI- and NNRTI-related drug resistance from 67.2% and 79.4% to 5.4% and 7.5%, respectively. No PI-related resistance was found. Having self-reported missing doses within a month at follow-ups were independently associated with virological failure at 36 months of switching.HIV-infected patients had viral load ?1000?copies/mL at regimen switch after a long duration of first-line therapy had good virological responses to second-line regimens, especially those harbored drug resistant variants at regimen switch. However, patients with suppressive first-line therapy did not appear to benefit virologically from switching to second-line regimens.

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Incidence of switching to second-line antiretroviral therapy and associated factors in children with HIV: an international cohort collaboration.

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