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Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.

ABSTRACT: Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively.

SUBMITTER: Russell TW 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7118348 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Estimating the infection and case fatality ratio for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using age-adjusted data from the outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship, February 2020.

Russell Timothy W TW   Hellewell Joel J   Jarvis Christopher I CI   van Zandvoort Kevin K   Abbott Sam S   Ratnayake Ruwan R   Flasche Stefan S   Eggo Rosalind M RM   Edmunds W John WJ   Kucharski Adam J AJ  

Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin 20200301 12

Adjusting for delay from confirmation to death, we estimated case and infection fatality ratios (CFR, IFR) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the Diamond Princess ship as 2.6% (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.89-6.7) and 1.3% (95% CI: 0.38-3.6), respectively. Comparing deaths on board with expected deaths based on naive CFR estimates from China, we estimated CFR and IFR in China to be 1.2% (95% CI: 0.3-2.7) and 0.6% (95% CI: 0.2-1.3), respectively. ...[more]

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