Dataset Information

Initial Precipitants and Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) may occur after an acute precipitant and subsequently resolve. Management guidelines for AF in these settings are unclear as the risk of recurrent AF and related morbidity is poorly understood. We examined the relations between acute precipitants of AF and long-term recurrence of AF in a clinical setting.

Methods

From a multi-institutional longitudinal electronic medical record database, we identified patients with newly diagnosed AF between 2000 and 2014. We developed algorithms to identify acute AF precipitants (surgery, sepsis, pneumonia, pneumothorax, respiratory failure, myocardial infarction, thyrotoxicosis, alcohol, pericarditis, pulmonary embolism, and myocarditis). We assessed risks of AF recurrence in individuals with and without a precipitant and the relations between AF recurrence and heart failure, stroke, and mortality.

Results

Among 10 723 patients with newly diagnosed AF (67.9±9.9 years, 41% women), 19% had an acute AF precipitant, the most common of which were cardiac surgery (22%), pneumonia (20%), and noncardiothoracic surgery (15%). The cumulative incidence of AF recurrence at 5 years was 41% among individuals with a precipitant compared with 52% in those without a precipitant (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.69-0.81]; P<0.001). The lowest risk of recurrence among those with precipitants occurred with postoperative AF (5-year incidence 32% in cardiac surgery and 39% in noncardiothoracic surgery). Regardless of the presence of an initial precipitant, recurrent AF was associated with increased adjusted risks of heart failure (hazard ratio, 2.74 [95% CI, 2.39-3.15]; P<0.001), stroke (hazard ratio, 1.57 [95% CI, 1.30-1.90]; P<0.001), and mortality (hazard ratio, 2.96 [95% CI, 2.70-3.24]; P<0.001).

Conclusions

AF after an acute precipitant frequently recurs, although the risk of recurrence is lower than among individuals without an acute precipitant. Recurrence is associated with substantial long-term morbidity and mortality. Future studies should address surveillance and management after newly diagnosed AF in the setting of an acute precipitant.

SUBMITTER: Wang EY

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7141776 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Initial Precipitants and Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation.

Wang Elizabeth Y EY Hulme Olivia L OL Khurshid Shaan S Weng Lu-Chen LC Choi Seung Hoan SH Walkey Allan J AJ Ashburner Jeffrey M JM McManus David D DD Singer Daniel E DE Atlas Steven J SJ Benjamin Emelia J EJ Ellinor Patrick T PT Trinquart Ludovic L Lubitz Steven A SA

Circulation. Arrhythmia and electrophysiology 20200212 3

<h4>Background</h4>Atrial fibrillation (AF) may occur after an acute precipitant and subsequently resolve. Management guidelines for AF in these settings are unclear as the risk of recurrent AF and related morbidity is poorly understood. We examined the relations between acute precipitants of AF and long-term recurrence of AF in a clinical setting.<h4>Methods</h4>From a multi-institutional longitudinal electronic medical record database, we identified patients with newly diagnosed AF between 200 ...[more]

PMID: 32078361

Similar Datasets

Project description:ObjectivesThe incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients older than 75 years of age is expected to increase, and its treatment remains challenging. This study evaluated the impact of age on the outcomes of surgical ablation of AF.MethodsA retrospective review was performed of patients who underwent the Cox-maze IV procedure at a single institution between 2005 and 2017. The patients were divided into a younger (age <75 years, n = 548) and an elderly cohort (age ≥75 years, n = 148). Rhythm outcomes were assessed at 1 year and annually thereafter. Predictors of first atrial tachyarrhythmia (ATA) recurrence were determined using Fine-Gray regression, allowing for death as the competing risk.ResultsThe mean age of the elderly group was 78.5 ± 2.8 years. The majority of patients (423/696, 61%) had nonparoxysmal AF. The elderly patients had a lower body mass index (P < .001) and greater rates of hypertension (P = .011), previous myocardial infarction (P = .017), heart failure (P < .001), and preoperative pacemaker (P = .008). Postoperatively, the elderly group had a greater rate of overall major complications (23% vs 14%, P = .017) and 30-day mortality (6% vs 2%, P = .026). The percent freedom from ATAs and antiarrhythmic drugs was lower in the elderly patients at 3 (69% vs 82%, P = .030) and 4 years (65% vs 79%, P = .043). By competing risk analysis, the incidence of first ATA recurrence was greater in elderly patients (33% vs 20% at 5 years; Gray test, P = .005). On Fine-Gray regression adjusted for clinically relevant covariates, increasing age was identified as a predictor of ATAs recurrence (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.05, P < .001).ConclusionsThe efficacy of the Cox-maze IV procedure was worse in elderly patients; however, the majority of patients remained free of ATAs at 5 years. The lower success rate in these greater-risk patients should be considered when deciding to perform surgical ablation.

Dataset Information

Initial Precipitants and Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Initial Precipitants and Recurrence of Atrial Fibrillation.

Similar Datasets

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