Dataset Information

Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: IS_ICC -applied prediction model.

ABSTRACT: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains a highly heterogeneous disease with poor prognosis. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes were predictive in various cancers, but their prognostic value in ICC is less clear. A total of 168 ICC patients who had received liver resection were enrolled and assigned to the derivation cohort. Sixteen immune markers in tumor and peritumor regions were examined by immunohistochemistry. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model was used to identify prognostic markers and to establish an immune signature for ICC (IS_ICC ). An IS_ICC -applied prediction model was built and validated in another independent dataset. Five immune features, including CD3_{peritumor (P)} , CD57_P , CD45RA_P , CD66b_{intratumoral (T)} and PD-L1_P , were identified and integrated into an individualized IS_ICC for each patient. Seven prognostic predictors, including total bilirubin, tumor numbers, CEA, CA19-9, GGT, HBsAg and IS_ICC , were integrated into the final model. The C-index of the IS_ICC -applied prediction model was 0.719 (95% CI, 0.660-0.777) in the derivation cohort and 0.667 (95% CI, 0.581-0.732) in the validation cohort. Compared with the conventional staging systems, the new model presented better homogeneity and a lower Akaike information criteria value in ICC. The IS_ICC -applied prediction model may provide a better prediction performance for the overall survival of patients with resectable ICC in clinical practice.

SUBMITTER: Tian M

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7156843 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: IS<sub>ICC</sub> -applied prediction model.

Tian Mengxin M Liu Weiren W Tao Chenyang C Tang Zheng Z Zhou Yufu Y Song Shushu S Jin Lei L Wang Han H Jiang Xifei X Zhou Peiyun P Fang Yuan Y Qu Weifeng W Ding Zhenbin Z Peng Yuanfei Y Fu Xiutao X Qiu Shuangjian S Zhou Jian J Fan Jia J Shi Yinghong Y

Cancer science 20200212 4

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains a highly heterogeneous disease with poor prognosis. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes were predictive in various cancers, but their prognostic value in ICC is less clear. A total of 168 ICC patients who had received liver resection were enrolled and assigned to the derivation cohort. Sixteen immune markers in tumor and peritumor regions were examined by immunohistochemistry. A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model was used to identify pr ...[more]

PMID: 31971309

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Project description:PurposeThe role of locoregional therapy compared to systemic chemotherapy (SYS) for unresectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (IHC) remains controversial. The importance of hepatic disease control, either as initial or salvage therapy, is also unclear. We compared overall survival (OS) in patients treated with resection, hepatic arterial infusion pump (HAIP) chemotherapy, or SYS as it relates to hepatic recurrence or progression. We also evaluated recurrence after resection to determine the efficacy of locoregional salvage therapy.Patients and methodsIn this single-institution retrospective analysis, patients with biopsy-proven IHC treated with either curative-intent resection, HAIP (with or without SYS), or SYS alone were analyzed. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to compare patients with liver-limited, advanced disease treated with HAIP versus SYS. The impact of locoregional salvage therapies in patients with liver-limited recurrence was analyzed in the resection cohort.ResultsFrom 2000 to 2017, 714 patients with IHC were treated, 219 (30.7%) with resectable disease, 316 (44.3%) with locally advanced disease, and 179 (25.1%) with metastatic disease. Resected patients were less likely to recur or progress in the liver (hazard ratio [HR] 0.41, 95% CI 0.34-0.45) versus those that received HAIP or SYS (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.50-0.65 vs. HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.57-0.69, respectively). In resected patients, 161 (64.4%) recurred, with 65 liver-only recurrences. Thirty of these patients received subsequent locoregional therapy. On multivariable analysis, locoregional therapy was associated with improved OS after isolated liver recurrence (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.29-0.75; p = 0.002). In patients with locally advanced unresectable or multifocal liver disease (with or without distant organ metastases), PSM demonstrated improved hepatic progression-free survival in patients treated with HAIP versus SYS (HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.46-0.91; p = 0.01), which correlated with improved OS (HR 0.59, 95% CI 0.43-0.80; p < 0.001).ConclusionIn patients with liver-limited IHC, hepatic disease control is associated with improved OS, emphasizing the potential importance of liver-directed therapy.

Project description:BackgroundVarious prognostic factors are associated with overall survival (OS) after resection of distal cholangiocarcinoma (dCCA). The objective of this study was to develop and validate a prediction model for 3-year OS after pancreatoduodenectomy for dCCA.MethodsThe derivation cohort consisted of all patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for dCCA in the Netherlands (2009-2016). Clinically relevant variables were selected based on the Akaike information criterion using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model, with model performance being assessed by concordance index (C-index) and calibration plots. External validation was performed using patients from the Belgium Cancer Registry (2008-2016), and patients from two university hospitals of Southampton (U.K.) and Verona (Italy).ResultsIndependent prognostic factors for OS in the derivation cohort of 454 patients after pancreatoduodenectomy for dCCA were age (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03), pT (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.07-1.90) and pN category (pN1: HR 1.78, 95% CI 1.37-2.32; pN2: HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.63-3.01), resection margin status (HR 1.79, 95% CI 1.39-2.29) and tumour differentiation (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.62-2.53). The prediction model was based on these prognostic factors. The optimism-adjusted C-indices were similar in the derivation cohort (0.69), and in the Belgian (0.66) and Southampton-Verona (0.68) validation cohorts. Calibration was accurate in the Belgian validation cohort (slope = 0.93, intercept = 0.12), but slightly less optimal in the Southampton-Verona validation cohort (slope = 0.88, intercept = 0.32). Based on this model, three risk groups with different prognoses were identified (3-year OS of 65.4%, 33.2% and 11.8%).ConclusionsThe prediction model for 3-year OS after resection of dCCA had reasonable performance in both the derivation and geographically external validation cohort. Calibration slightly differed between validation cohorts. The model is readily available via www. pancreascalculator.com to inform patients from Western European countries on their prognosis, and may be used to stratify patients for clinical trials.

Project description:ImportanceIntrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma is an aggressive hepatobiliary malignant neoplasm characterized by local progression and frequent metastasis. Definitive local therapy to the liver in the setting of metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma may improve overall survival.ObjectiveTo compare the overall survival of patients with metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma treated with chemotherapy alone vs chemotherapy with definitive liver-directed local therapy.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study used the National Cancer Database to identify 2201 patients with metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma diagnosed between January 2004 and December 2014 who received chemotherapy with or without hepatic surgery or external beam radiation to a dose 45 Gy or higher. Multiple imputation, Cox proportional hazards, propensity score matching, and landmark analysis were used to adjust for confounding variables. Analyses were performed between September 2018 and February 2019.ExposuresChemotherapy alone and chemotherapy with liver-directed surgery or radiation.Main outcomes and measuresOverall survival.ResultsA total of 2201 patients (1131 [51.4%] male; median [interquartile range] age, 63 [55-71] years) who received chemotherapy alone (2097 [95.3%]) or chemotherapy with liver-directed local therapy (total, 104 [4.7%]; surgery, 76 [73.1%]; radiation, 28 [26.9%]) were identified. Patients treated with chemotherapy alone had larger median (interquartile range) primary tumor size (7.0 [4.4-10.0] cm vs 5.6 [4.0-8.3] cm; P = .048) and higher frequency of lung metastases (383 [25.9%] vs 7 [6.7%]; P = .004). Patients treated with liver-directed local therapy had higher frequency of distant lymph node metastases (34 [32.7%] vs 528 [25.2%]; P = .045). Liver-directed local therapy was associated with higher overall survival compared with chemotherapy alone on multivariable analysis (hazard ratio [HR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.48-0.74; P < .001). A total of 208 patients treated with chemotherapy alone were propensity score matched with 104 patients treated with chemotherapy plus liver-directed local therapy. Liver-directed local therapy continued to be associated with higher overall survival (HR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.44-0.74; P < .001), which persisted on landmark analysis at 3 months (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.47-0.79; log-rank P < .001), 6 months (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.50-0.92; log-rank P = .01), and 12 months (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.47-0.98; log-rank P = .04).Conclusions and relevanceIn this study, the addition of hepatic surgery or irradiation to chemotherapy was associated with higher overall survival when compared with chemotherapy alone in patients with metastatic intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma. These findings may be valuable given the paucity of available data for this disease and should be validated in an independent cohort or prospective study.

Project description:BackgroundFirst-line standard-of-care therapy for advanced cholangiocarcinoma is gemcitabine plus cisplatin; there is no established second-line systemic therapy. Fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR)-2 fusions/rearrangements can be oncogenic drivers, occurring almost exclusively in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, but little is known about whether FGFR2 status affects the response to systemic chemotherapy.ObjectiveWe aimed to evaluate the effects of FGFR2 status on survival outcomes in patients receiving systemic therapy for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma.MethodsIn this retrospective analysis, patients treated with systemic therapy at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma were categorized into three cohorts: FGFR2 fusions; other FGFR2 alterations; no FGFR2 alterations. Endpoints were overall survival and progression-free survival per therapy line.ResultsIn total, 132 patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma were included (FGFR2 fusions, n = 15; other FGFR2 alterations, n = 2 [data not reported]; no FGFR2 alterations, n = 115). First-line therapy was platinum based in 93% of patients; 80% received platinum/pyrimidine-based second-line therapy. For patients with FGFR2 fusions and no FGFR2 alterations, respectively, median overall survival from diagnosis was 31.3 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.8-not estimable months) [n = 9] and 21.7 months (95% CI 16.1-26.6) [n = 109]; median progression-free survival in first-line therapy was 6.2 months (95% CI 2.0-16.8) [n = 15] and 7.2 months (95% CI 5.0-8.3) [n = 107], and median progression-free survival in second-line therapy was 5.6 months (95% CI 2.8-10.3) [n = 8] and 3.7 months (95% CI 2.6-5.6) [n = 81].ConclusionsPatients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and FGFR2 fusions may have a better prognosis than those without FGFR2 alterations in terms of overall survival, and progression-free survival on second-line, but not first-line systemic therapy. Progression-free survival improvement on second-line chemotherapy may imply an important impact of prior chemotherapy as first line.

Dataset Information

Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: IS_ICC -applied prediction model.

Publications

Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: IS<sub>ICC</sub> -applied prediction model.

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Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: ISICC -applied prediction model.

Publications

Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: IS<sub>ICC</sub> -applied prediction model.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

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Prediction of overall survival in resectable intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: IS_ICC -applied prediction model.