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Predictors of infectious meningitis or encephalitis: the yield of cerebrospinal fluid in a cross-sectional study.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analyses are recommended in patients with meningitis and/or encephalitis, but evidence regarding its diagnostic yield is low. We aimed to determine predictors of infectious pathogens in the CSF of adult patients presenting with meningitis, and/or encephalitis. METHODS:Consecutive patients with meningitis and/or encephalitis form 2011-17 at a Swiss academic medical care center were included in this cross-sectional study. Clinical, neuroradiologic, and laboratory data were collected as exposure variables. Infectious meningitis and/or encephalitis were defined as the composite outcome. For diagnosis of bacterial meningitis the recommendations of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases were followed. Viral meningitis was diagnosed by detection of viral ribonucleic or deoxyribonucleic acid in the CSF. Infectious encephalitis was defined according to the International Encephalitis Consortium (IEC). Meningoencephalitis was diagnosed if the criteria for meningitis and encephalitis were fulfilled. Multinomial logistic regression was performed to identify predictors of the composite outcome. To quantify discriminative power, the c statistic analogous the area under the receiver-operating curve (AUROC) was calculated. An AUROC between 0.7-0.8 was defined as "good", 08-0.9 as "excellent", and?>?0.9 as "outstanding". Calibration was defined as "good" if the goodness of fit tests revealed insignificant p-values. RESULTS:Among 372 patients, infections were diagnosed in 42.7% presenting as meningitis (51%), encephalitis (32%), and meningoencephalitis (17%). Most frequent infectious pathogens were Streptococcus pneumoniae, Varicella zoster, and Herpes simplex 1&2. While in multivariable analysis lactate concentrations and decreased glucose ratios were the only independent predictors of bacterial infection (AUROCs 0.780, 0.870, and 0.834 respectively), increased CSF mononuclear cells were the only predictors of viral infections (AUROC 0.669). All predictors revealed good calibration. CONCLUSIONS:Prior to microbiologic workup, CSF data may guide clinicians when infection is suspected while other laboratory and neuroradiologic characteristics seem less useful. While increased CSF lactate and decreased glucose ratio are is the most reliable predictors of bacterial infections in patients with meningitis and/or encephalitis, only mononuclear cell counts predicted viral infections. TRIAL REGISTRATION:ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT03856528. Registered on February 26th 2019.

SUBMITTER: Dittrich T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7181581 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictors of infectious meningitis or encephalitis: the yield of cerebrospinal fluid in a cross-sectional study.

Dittrich Tolga T Marsch Stephan S Egli Adrian A Rüegg Stephan S De Marchis Gian Marco GM Tschudin-Sutter Sarah S Sutter Raoul R

BMC infectious diseases 20200423 1

<h4>Background</h4>Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) analyses are recommended in patients with meningitis and/or encephalitis, but evidence regarding its diagnostic yield is low. We aimed to determine predictors of infectious pathogens in the CSF of adult patients presenting with meningitis, and/or encephalitis.<h4>Methods</h4>Consecutive patients with meningitis and/or encephalitis form 2011-17 at a Swiss academic medical care center were included in this cross-sectional study. Clinical, neuroradiologi ...[more]

PMID: 32326881

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Project description:Differential diagnosis of bacterial meningitis (BM) and viral meningitis (VM) is a critical clinical challenge, as the early and accurate identification of the causative agent determines the appropriate treatment regimen and markedly improves patient outcomes. Clinical and experimental studies have demonstrated that the pathogen and the host immune response contribute to mortality and neurological sequelae. As BM is associated with the activation of an inflammatory cascade, the patterns of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines/chemokines (CTs/CKs) present in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) in response to the immune assault may be useful as sensitive markers for differentiating BM from VM. In the present study, the ability of CTs/CKs in the CSF to differentiate between BM and VM was investigated. For this, biochemical markers and CT/CK profiles were analysed in 145 CSF samples, divided into three groups: BM (n=61), VM (n=58) and the control group (C; n=26) comprising patients with meningism. The CSF concentrations of monocyte chemoattractant protein-1, interleukin (IL)-8, IL-1β, IL-6, macrophage inflammatory protein-1α (MIP-1α), epithelial-neutrophil activating peptide, IL-10, tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), proteins and white blood cells were significantly higher and the CSF glucose level was significantly lower in the BM group compared with the VM and C groups (P<0.01). Correlation analysis identified 28 significant correlations between various CTs/CKs in the BM group (P<0.01), with the strongest positive correlations being for TNF-α/IL-6 (r=0.75), TNF-α/MIP-1α (r=0.69), TNF-α/IL-1β (r=0.64) and IL-1β/MIP-1α (r=0.64). To identify the optimum CT/CK patterns for predicting and classifying BM and VM, a dataset of 119 BM and VM samples was divided into training (n=90) and testing (n=29) subsets for use as input for a Random Forest (RF) machine learning algorithm. For the 29 test samples (15 BM and 14 VM), the RF algorithm correctly classified 28 samples, with 92% sensitivity and 93% specificity. The results show that the patterns of CT/CK levels in the CSF can be used to aid discrimination of BM and VM.

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Predictors of infectious meningitis or encephalitis: the yield of cerebrospinal fluid in a cross-sectional study.

Publications

Predictors of infectious meningitis or encephalitis: the yield of cerebrospinal fluid in a cross-sectional study.

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