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Predictive value of three Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores for major cardiovascular adverse events in patients with acute myocardial infarction during hospitalization: a retrospective study.

ABSTRACT: Aim:Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores (GPS) have been reported to predict the prognosis of patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). The goal of this study was to investigate whether three kinds of GPSs can effectively predict major cardiovascular adverse events (MACEs) in STEMI or non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients undergoing PPCI, elective PCI (EPCI) or conservative drug therapy during hospitalization. Methods:In this retrospective cohort study, patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) were divided into 0, 1 or 2 score according to the GPSs. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis were performed to assess the predictive value of GPSs for MACE and all-cause mortality during hospitalization. Three kinds of GPSs, Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS (MGPS) and high-sensitivity CRP-modified GPS (HS-MGPS) and Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score were applied in this study. Results:A total of 188 patients were enrolled. The ROC curve with MACE showed that the AUC of GPS (0.820 (95% confidence interval (CI) [0.754-0.885]), P < 0.001) was larger than that of MGPS (0.789 (95% CI [0.715-0.863]), P < 0.001), HS-MGPS (0.787 (95% CI [0.717-0.856]), P < 0.001) and GRACE score (0.743 (95% CI [0.672-0.814]), P < 0.001). The ROC curve with all-cause mortality showed that the AUC of GPS (0.696 (95% CI [0.561-0.831]), P = 0.005) was similar to the HS-MGPS (0.698 (95% CI [0.569-0.826]), P = 0.005) and higher than the MGPS (0.668 (95% CI [0.525-0.812]), P = 0.016), but lower than the GRACE score (0.812 (95% CI [0.734-0.889]), P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the GPS was an independent risk factor for the incidence of MACE during hospitalization. Compared with the odds ratio (OR) value for a GPS of 0, the OR for a GPS of 1 was 7.173 (95% CI [2.425-21.216]), P < 0.001), and that for a GPS of 2 was 18.636 (95% CI [5.813-59.746]), P < 0.001), but not an independent risk factor for all-cause mortality (P = 0.302). GRACE score was an independent risk factor for MACE (1.019 (95% CI [1.004-1.035]), P = 0.015) and all-cause mortality (1.040 (95% CI [1.017-1.064]), P = 0.001). In the subgroups classified according to the type of AMI, the presence of disease interference GPSs and the type of PCI, the ability of GPS to predict the occurrence of MACE seemed to be greater than that of MGPS and HS-MGPS. Conclusion:The GPS has a good predictive value for the occurrence of MACE during hospitalization in patients with AMI, regardless of STEMI or NSTEMI, the choice of PCI mode and the presence or absence of diseases that interfere with GPS. However, GPS is less predictive of all-cause mortality during hospitalization than GRACE score, which may be due to the interference of patients with other diseases.

SUBMITTER: Zhu H

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7185027 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Predictive value of three Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores for major cardiovascular adverse events in patients with acute myocardial infarction during hospitalization: a retrospective study.

Zhu Houyong H Li Zhaodong Z Xu Xiaoqun X Fang Xiaojiang X Chen Tielong T Huang Jinyu J

PeerJ 20200424

<h4>Aim</h4>Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores (GPS) have been reported to predict the prognosis of patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). The goal of this study was to investigate whether three kinds of GPSs can effectively predict major cardiovascular adverse events (MACEs) in STEMI or non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) patients undergoing PPCI, elective PCI (EPCI) or conservati ...[more]

PMID: 32355581

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Project description:PurposeThe goal of this study was to evaluate the predictive ability of the inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score and combined diagnostic models for the occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACEs) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI).MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, eligible patients were required to meet the third global definition of myocardial infarction. The primary outcome of this study was the occurrence of MACEs during hospitalization. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the predictive ability of the GPS, PLR, GRACE scores, and joint diagnostic models for primary outcomes; univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed.FindingsA total of 175 patients were enrolled. The results of the univariate ROC curve analysis for the incidence of MACEs during hospitalization showed that the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.780 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.696-0.864) for the GPS, 0.766 (95% CI 0.682-0.850) for the redefined GPS (RGPS), 0.561 (95% CI 0.458-0.664) for the PLR score (PLRS), and 0.793 (95% CI 0.706-0.880) for GRACE. Multivariate ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC value was 0.809 (95% CI 0.726-0.893) for the GPS combined with GRACE, 0.783 (95% CI 0.701-0.864) for the GPS combined with the PLRS, 0.794 (95% CI 0.707-0.880) for GRACE combined with the PLRS, and 0.841 (95% CI 0.761-0.921) for the GPS combined with GRACE and the PLRS. The combined diagnostic model including the GPS plus GRACE and the PLRS had a higher AUC value than the GPS, RGPS and GRACE models (P = 0.014, P = 0.004, and P = 0.038, respectively). The multivariate logistic regression model showed that the odds ratio for hospitalized MACEs was 5.573 (95% CI 1.588-19.554) for GPS scores of 2 versus 0, and the GRACE score was also an independent risk factor for MACEs, with an odds ratio of 1.023 (95% CI 1.009-1.036).ImplicationsThe diagnostic model combining the GPS plus GRACE and the PLRS has better predictive ability for the occurrence of MACEs during hospitalization than each single score. Thus, the use of a combined GPS plus GRACE and PLRS model will be of clinical benefit in a broad group of individuals with AMI.

Project description:BackgroundOur study aimed to investigate the association between type D personality and adverse cardiac events in chinese patients after acute myocardial infarction (AMI).MethodsPatients with AMI admitted to cardiac care unit (CCU) of China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China between January 2016 and December 2017 were enrolled. 257 patients completed psychological questionnaires at enrollment. Type D personality was assessed with 14-item Type D Scale-14 (DS14). Anxiety and depression were quantified using Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to determine the independent predictors of in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACEs), while cox regression analysis was used to evaluate post-discharge endpoints.Results54 patients (21%) were classified as Type D personality defined by the combination of a negative affectivity (NA) score ≥ 10 and a social inhibition (SI) score ≥ 10 on the DS14. Patients with Type D personality displayed significantly higher scores of anxiety (7.4 ± 3.1 vs. 4.2 ± 3.1, p < .001) and depression (7.2 ± 3.8 vs. 4.0 ± 3.4, p < .001). AMI patients with Type D personality had higher prevalence rates of anxiety (χ2 = 30.095, P < .001) and depression (χ2 = 27.082, P < .001). Type D group also displayed a significantly higher level of blood lipoprotein(a) (177.2 ± 200.7 vs. 118.1 ± 255.7 mg/L, P = .048). The incidence of in-hospital MACEs was higher in type D than in non-Type D patients (24.1% vs. 11.3%, χ2 = 5.751, P = .026). Multivariable logistic regression showed three significant independent predictors of in-hospital MACEs: age [odds ratio(OR) = 1.055; 95%CI 1.016-1.095, p = .004], type-D personality(OR 3.332; 95% CI 1.149-9.661, p = .014) and killip classification(OR 2.275, 95% CI 1.506-3.437, p < .001). The average follow-up time was 31 (23-37.5) months. Type D patients had higher incidences of post-discharge events(23.1% vs. 11.5%, p = .032). In the analysis of post-discharge events by Cox regression, χ2 of the Cox regression equation was 16.795 (P = .032). Smoking (HR 2.602; 95% CI1.266-5.347, p = .009) and type-D personality (HR 2.265; 95%CI 1.028-4.988, p = .042) were independent predictors of long-term cardiac events. Kaplan-Meier curves showed significant difference in event-free survival between type D and non-type D group (p = .043).ConclusionsType D personality is an independent predictor of in-hospital and post-discharge cardiac events after AMI in Chinese patients.

Project description:Background:Risk stratification models with incorporation of biochemical markers have received attention recently. In acute myocardial infarction (AMI) one such marker is lipoprotein(a) (Lp(a)). Lp(a) has prothrombotic and proinflammatory properties. High levels of Lp(a) probably contribute to the additional adverse effects in AMI, as it enhances the damaging effect of acute thrombosis. This study aimed to evaluate serum Lp(a) as a predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in hospitalized-acute myocardial infarction patients. Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted at Sanglah Hospital, Denpasar, during June-August 2018, among 66 people by consecutive sampling. Samples that met the inclusion and exclusion criteria were examined for serum Lp(a) at the time of admission and the occurrence of MACE during hospitalization was observed. Data regarding serum Lp(a), demography, smoking history, dyslipidemia, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, and MACE were collected. Log rank test and Cox proportional hazards regression were conducted with SPSS version 20 for Windows. Results:During observation, MACE occurred in 25 (38%) patients, including cardiogenic shock in 7 (10.6%) patients, heart failure in 20 (30.3%) patients, cardiovascular death in 5 (7, 6%) patients, malignant arrhythmias in 5 (7.6%) patients, and postinfarction angina in 5 (7.6%) patients. After the Log rank test, a significant difference in survival was observed (p = 0.001) between groups of high Lp(a) (survival rate of 60.6 hours; 95% CI 43.3-77.9) and low Lp(a) (average survival of 104.3 hours, 95% CI 91.4-117.2). The hazard ratio of high Lp(a) against MACE was 4.63 (p=0.002), and it increased to 4.69 in multivariate analysis with Cox proportional hazards regression test (p=0.003). Conclusion:The high level of Lp(a) in AMI patients was a risk factor for the occurrence of MACE during hospitalization. Patients with high Lp(a) also had worse survival compared to patients with low Lp(a).

Dataset Information

Predictive value of three Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores for major cardiovascular adverse events in patients with acute myocardial infarction during hospitalization: a retrospective study.

Publications

Predictive value of three Inflammation-based Glasgow Prognostic Scores for major cardiovascular adverse events in patients with acute myocardial infarction during hospitalization: a retrospective study.

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