Short- and intermediate-term exposure to NO2 and mortality: A multi-county analysis in China.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: He MZ
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7220820 | biostudies-literature |
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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Project description:BackgroundAmbient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution is currently a serious environmental problem in China, but evidence of health effects with higher resolution and spatial coverage is insufficient.ObjectiveThis study aims to provide a better overall understanding of long-term mortality effects of PM2.5 pollution in China and a county-level spatial map for estimating PM2.5 related premature deaths of the entire country.MethodUsing four sets of satellite-derived PM2.5 concentration data and the integrated exposure-response model which has been employed by the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) to estimate global mortality of ambient and household air pollution in 2010, we estimated PM2.5 related premature mortality for five endpoints across China in 2010.ResultPremature deaths attributed to PM2.5 nationwide amounted to 1.27million in total, and 119,167, 83,976, 390,266, 670,906 for adult chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer, ischemic heart disease, and stroke, respectively; 3995 deaths for acute lower respiratory infections were estimated in children under the age of 5. About half of the premature deaths were from counties with annual average PM2.5 concentrations above 63.61μg/m3, which cover 16.97% of the Chinese territory. These counties were largely located in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the North China Plain. High population density and high pollution areas exhibited the highest health risks attributed to air pollution. On a per capita basis, the highest values were mostly located in heavily polluted industrial regions.ConclusionPM2.5-attributable health risk is closely associated with high population density and high levels of pollution in China. Further estimates using long-term historical exposure data and concentration-response (C-R) relationships should be completed in the future to investigate longer-term trends in the effects of PM2.5.
| S-EPMC5760247 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Studies worldwide have estimated the number of deaths attributable to long-term exposure to fine airborne particles (PM2.5), but limited information is available on short-term exposure, particularly in China. In addition, most existing studies have assumed that short-term PM2.5-mortality associations were linear. For this reason, the use of linear exposure-response functions for calculating disease burden of short-term exposure to PM2.5 in China may not be appropriate. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive, evidence-based assessment of the disease burden related to short-term PM2.5 exposure in China. Here, we explored the non-linear association between short-term PM2.5 exposure and all-cause mortality in 104 counties in China; estimated county-specific mortality burdens attributable to short-term PM2.5 exposure for all counties in the country and analyzed spatial characteristics of the mortality burden due to short-term PM2.5 exposure in China. The pooled PM2.5-mortality association was non-linear, with a reversed J-shape. We found an approximately linear increased risk of mortality from 0 to 62 μg/m3 and decreased risk from 62 to 250 μg/m3. We estimated a total of 169,862 additional deaths from short-term PM2.5 exposure throughout China in 2015. Models using linear exposure-response functions for the PM2.5-mortality association estimated 32,186 deaths attributable to PM2.5 exposure, which is 5.3 times lower than estimates from the non-linear effect model. Short-term PM2.5 exposure contributed greatly to the death burden in China, approximately one seventh of the estimates from the chronic effect. It is essential and crucial to incorporate short-term PM2.5-related mortality estimations when considering the disease burden attributable to PM2.5 in developing countries such as China. Traditional linear effect models likely underestimated the mortality burden due to short-term exposure to PM2.5.
| S-EPMC6548716 | biostudies-literature
Project description:We examined the impact of extreme temperatures on mortality in 12 counties across Hubei Province, central China, during 2009-2012. Quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression combined with distributed lag non-linear model was first applied to estimate county-specific relationship between temperature and mortality. A multivariable meta-analysis was then used to pool the estimates of county-specific mortality effects of extreme cold temperature (1st percentile) and hot temperature (99th percentile). An inverse J-shaped relationship was observed between temperature and mortality at the provincial level. Heat effect occurred immediately and persisted for 2-3 days, whereas cold effect was 1-2 days delayed and much longer lasting. Higher mortality risks were observed among females, the elderly aged over 75 years, persons dying outside the hospital and those with high education attainment, especially for cold effects. Our data revealed some slight differences in heat- and cold- related mortality effects on urban and rural residents. These findings may have important implications for developing locally-based preventive and intervention strategies to reduce temperature-related mortality, especially for those susceptible subpopulations. Also, urbanization should be considered as a potential influence factor when evaluating temperature-mortality association in future researches.
| S-EPMC5361185 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundMany studies have assessed the harmful effects of ambient air pollution on human mortality, but the evidence needs further exploration, analysis, and refinement, given the large number of studies that have been published in recent years. The objective of this study was to evaluate all the available evidence of the effect of short-term exposure to ambient sulphur dioxide (SO2) on all-cause and respiratory mortality.MethodsArticles reporting observational epidemiological studies were included, comprising time-series and case-crossover designs. A broad search and wide inclusion criteria were considered, encompassing international and regional databases, with no geographical or language restrictions. A random effect meta-analysis was conducted, and pooled relative risk for an increment of 10 µg/m3 in SO2 concentrations were calculated for each outcome. We analysed the risk of bias (RoB) in individual studies for specific domains using a new domain-based RoB assessment tool, and the certainty of evidence across studies with an adaptation of the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach. The certainty of evidence was judged separately for each exposure-outcome combination. A number of subgroup and sensitivity analyses were carried out, as well as assessments of heterogeneity and potential publication bias. The protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42019120738).ResultsOur search retrieved 1,128 articles, from which 67 were included in quantitative analysis. The RoB was low or moderate in the majority of articles and domains. An increment of 10 µg/m3 in SO2 (24-hour average) was associated with all-cause mortality (RR: 1.0059; 95% CI: 1.0046-1.0071; p-value: <0.01), and respiratory mortality (RR: 1.0067; 95% CI: 1.0025-1.0109; p-value: <0.01), while the same increment in SO2 (1-hour max.) was associated with respiratory mortality (RR:1.0052; 95% CI: 1.0013-1.0091; p-value: 0.03). Similarly, the association was positive but non-significant for SO2 (1-hour max.) and all-cause mortality (RR: 1.0016; 95% CI: 0.9930-1.0102; p-value: 0.60). These associations were still significant after the adjustment for particulate matter, but not for other pollutants, according to the results from 13 articles that evaluated co-pollutant models. In general, linear concentration-response functions with no thresholds were found for the two outcomes, although this was only evaluated in a small number of studies. We found signs of heterogeneity for SO2 (24-hour average) - respiratory mortality and SO2 (1-hour max.) - all-cause mortality, and funnel plot asymmetry for SO2 (24-hour average) - all-cause mortality. The certainty of evidence was high in two combinations, i.e. SO2 (24-hour average) - all-cause mortality and SO2 (1-hour max.) - respiratory mortality, moderate in one combination, i.e. SO2 (24-hour average) - respiratory mortality, and low in the remaining one combination.ConclusionsPositive associations were found between short-term exposure to ambient SO2 and all-cause and respiratory mortality. These associations were robust against several sensitivity analyses, and were judged to be of moderate or high certainty in three of the four exposure-outcome combinations.
| S-EPMC7937788 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Evidence is still limited for the role of long-term PM2.5 exposure in cerebrovascular diseases among residents in high pollution regions. The study is aimed to investigate the long-term effects of PM2.5 exposure on stroke mortality, and further explore the effect modification of temperature variation on the PM2.5-mortality association in northern China. Based on a cohort data with an average follow-up of 9.8 years among 38,435 urban adults, high-resolution estimates of PM2.5 derived from a satellite-based model were assigned to each participant. A Cox regression model with time-varying exposures and strata of geographic regions was employed to assess the risks of stroke mortality associated with PM2.5, after adjusting for individual risk factors. The cross-product term of PM2.5 exposure and annual temperature range was further added into the regression model to test whether the long-term temperature variation would modify the association of PM2.5 with stroke mortality. Among the study participants, the annual mean level of PM2.5 concentration was 66.3 μg/m3 ranging from 39.0 μg/m3 to 100.6 μg/m3. For each 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5, the hazard ratio (HR) was 1.31 (95% CI: 1.04-1.65) for stroke mortality after multivariable adjustment. In addition, the HRs of PM2.5 decreased gradually as the increase of annual temperature range with the HRs of 1.95 (95% CI: 1.36-2.81), 1.53 (95% CI: 1.06-2.22), and 1.11 (95% CI: 0.75-1.63) in the low, middle, and high group of annual temperature range, respectively. The findings provided further evidence of long-term PM2.5 exposure on stroke mortality in high-exposure settings such as northern China, and also highlighted the view that assessing the adverse health effects of air pollution might not ignore the role of temperature variations in the context of climate change.
| S-EPMC8150861 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundThe concentration-response relationship between mortality and long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) has not been fully elucidated, especially at high levels of PM2.5 concentrations.ObjectiveWe aimed to evaluate chronic effects of ambient PM2.5 exposure on deaths among Chinese adults in high-exposure settings.MethodsParticipants of the Prediction for Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project were included from four prospective cohorts among Chinese adults aged ≥18 years old. The overall follow-up rate of the four cohorts was 93.4% until the recent follow-up survey that ended in 2015. The average of satellite-based PM2.5 concentrations during 2000-2015 at 1-km spatial resolution was assigned to each participant according to individual residence addresses. Based on the pooled analysis of individual data from the four cohorts, a Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for the association of PM2.5 exposure with mortality after multivariate adjustment.ResultsA total of 116,821 participants were eligible in the final analysis. During a mean of 7.7 years of follow-up, 6,395 non-accidental deaths and 2,507 cardio-metabolic deaths occurred. The mean of PM2.5 concentration was 64.9 μg/m3 ranging from 31.2 μg/m3 to 97.0 μg/m3. For each 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5, the HR was 1.11 (95% CI: 1.08-1.14) for non-accidental mortality and 1.22 (95% CI: 1.16-1.27) for cardio-metabolic mortality. In addition, a weak exponential curve for the concentration-response association between mortality and PM2.5 was observed among Chinese adults.ConclusionsOur study provided important evidence of the long-term effects of PM2.5 exposure on deaths among Chinese adults. The findings expand our knowledge on concentration-response relationship in high-exposure environments, which is essential to address the urgent challenge of reducing the disease burden attributable to PM2.5 exposure in rapidly industrializing countries such as China.
| S-EPMC8164211 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Changes in cellular and synaptic plasticity related to learning and memory are accompanied by both upregulation and downregulation of the expression levels of proteins. Both de novo protein synthesis and post-translational modification of existing proteins have been proposed to support the induction and maintenance of memory underlying learning. However, little is known regarding the identity of proteins regulated by learning that are associated with the early stages supporting the formation of memory over time. In this study we have examined changes in protein abundance at two different times following one-trial in vitro conditioning of Hermissenda using two-dimensional difference gel electrophoresis (2D-DIGE), quantification of differences in protein abundance between conditioned and unpaired controls, and protein identification with tandem mass spectrometry. Significant regulation of protein abundance following one-trial in vitro conditioning was detected 30 min and 3 h post-conditioning. Proteins were identified that exhibited statistically significant increased or decreased abundance at both 30 min and 3 h post-conditioning. Proteins were also identified that exhibited a significant increase in abundance only at 30 min, or only at 3 h post-conditioning. A few proteins were identified that expressed a significant decrease in abundance detected at both 30 min and 3 h post-conditioning, or a significant decrease in abundance only at 3 h post-conditioning. The proteomic analysis indicates that proteins involved in diverse cellular functions such as translational regulation, cell signaling, cytoskeletal regulation, metabolic activity, and protein degradation contribute to the formation of memory produced by one-trial in vitro conditioning. These findings support the view that changes in protein abundance over time following one-trial in vitro conditioning involve dynamic and complex interactions of the proteome.
| S-EPMC3166390 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Most studies of short-term particulate matter (PM) exposure use 24-hour averages. However, other pollutants have stronger effects at shorter timeframes, which has influenced policy (e.g., ozone 8-hour maximum). Selecting appropriate exposure timeframes is important for effective regulation. The U.S. EPA identified health effects for sub-daily PM exposures as a critical research need. Unlike most areas, Seoul, Korea has hourly measurements of PM10, although not PM2.5. We investigated PM10 and mortality (total, cardiovascular, respiratory) in Seoul (1999-2009) considering sub-daily exposures: 24-hour, daytime (7am-8pm), morning (7-10am), nighttime (8pm-7am), and 1-hour daily maximum. We applied Poisson generalized linear modeling adjusting for temporal trends and meteorology. All PM10 metrics were significantly associated with total mortality. Compared to other exposure timeframes, morning exposure had the most certain effect with total mortality (based on statistical significance). A 10µg/m3 increase in 24-hour, daytime, morning, nighttime, and 1-hour maximum PM10 was associated with a 0.15% (95% confidence interval 0.02-0.28%), 0.14% (0.01-0.27%), 0.10% (0.03-0.18%), 0.12% (0.03-0.22%), and 0.10% (0.00-0.21%) increase in total mortality, respectively. PM10 was significantly associated with cardiovascular mortality for 24-hour, morning, and nighttime exposures. We did not identify significant associations with respiratory mortality. Results support use of a 24-hour averaging time as an appropriate metric for health studies and regulation, particularly for PM10 and mortality.
| S-EPMC4288032 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundPulmonary heart disease (PHD) has become a global burden, especially in low- and middle-income countries. However, very few studies have assessed the influence of air pollution on PHD. This is the first study to explore the association between gaseous pollutants and PHD-related mortality in the central Sichuan Basin of southwestern China.MethodsData on PHD-related mortality among elderly people (aged 60 and older) from 2013 to 2017 were collected from the Population Death Information Registration and Management System (PDIRMS). Data on air pollutants were collected from all 24 Municipal Environmental Monitoring Sites in Chengdu, and data on daily temperature, relative humidity, and atmospheric pressure were collected from the Chengdu Municipal Meteorological Bureau. An epidemiological design of time-stratified case-crossover was conducted to assess the association between short-term exposure to ambient gaseous pollutants and PHD-related mortality among elderly people.ResultsAbout 54,920 PHD-related deaths among people aged 60 and older were reported. After controlling for daily temperature, relative humidity, and atmospheric pressure, an IQR concentration increase in levels of sulfur dioxide (SO2) (13??g/m3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) (17??g/m3), and ozone (O3) (74??g/m3) was associated with 7.8, 6.2, and 5.5% increases in PHD-related mortality in people aged 60 and older, respectively. People over age 70 might have even higher susceptibility to PHD-related mortality associated with SO2, NO2, and O3. Females and individuals with alternative marital statuses (widowed, divorced, or never married) had twice and more than twice the PHD-related mortality risk associated with SO2 and NO2 than males and married individuals, respectively.ConclusionsIncreased concentrations of ambient SO2, NO2, and O3 were significantly and positively associated with PHD-related mortality in Chengdu, China. Sociodemographic factors - including gender, age, and marital status - may modify the acute health effects of gaseous pollutants.
| S-EPMC6632202 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Ambient particulate matter of aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 microns PM2.5) levels in Delhi routinely exceed World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines and Indian National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for acceptable levels of daily exposure. Only a handful of studies have examined the short-term mortality effects of PM in India, with none from Delhi examining the contribution of PM2.5.ObjectivesWe aimed to analyze the association between short-term PM2.5 exposures and daily nonaccidental mortality in Delhi, India.MethodsUsing generalized additive Poisson regression models, we examined the association between daily PM2.5 exposures and nonaccidental mortality between June 2010 and December 2016. Daily exposures to PM2.5 were estimated using an ensemble averaging technique developed by our research group, and mortality data were obtained from the Municipal Corporations of Delhi and the New Delhi Municipal Council.ResultsMedian exposures to PM2.5 were 91.1 µg/m3 (interquartile range = 68.9, 126.2), with minimum and maximum exposures of 21.4 µg/m3 and 276.7 µg/m3, respectively. Total nonaccidental deaths recorded in Delhi during the study period were 700,512. Each 25 µg/m3 increment in exposure was associated with a 0.8% (95% confidence intervals [CI] = 0.3, 1.3%) increase in daily nonaccidental mortality in the study population and a 1.5% (95% CI = 0.8, 2.2%) increase in mortality among those with 60 years of age or over. The exposure-response relationship was nonlinear in nature, with relative risk rising rapidly before tapering off above 125 µg/m3. Meeting WHO guidelines for acceptable levels of exposure over the study period would have likely averted 17,526 (95% CI = 6,837, 25,589) premature deaths, with older and male populations disproportionately affected.DiscussionThis study provides robust evidence of the impact of short-term exposure to PM2.5 on nonaccidental mortality with important considerations for various stakeholders including policymakers and physicians. Most importantly, we find that reducing exposures significantly below current levels would substantially decrease the mortality burden associated with PM2.5.
| S-EPMC8367036 | biostudies-literature