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Impact of population movement on the spread of 2019-nCoV in China.

ABSTRACT: Since Dec 2019, China has experienced an outbreak caused by a novel coronavirus, 2019-nCoV. A travel ban was implemented for Wuhan, Hubei on Jan 23 to slow down the outbreak. We found a significant positive correlation between population influx from Wuhan and confirmed cases in other cities across China (R2?=?0.85, P?

SUBMITTER: Zhang C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7269026 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Since Dec 2019, China has experienced an outbreak caused by a novel coronavirus, 2019-nCoV. A travel ban was implemented for Wuhan, Hubei on Jan 23 to slow down the outbreak. We found a significant positive correlation between population influx from Wuhan and confirmed cases in other cities across China (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.85, <i>P</i> < 0.001), especially cities in Hubei (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.88, <i>P</i> < 0.001). Removing the travel restriction would have increased 118% (91%-172%) of the overall  ...[more]