The Predictive Capacity of Air Travel Patterns During the Global Spread of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Risk, Uncertainty and Randomness.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Christidis P
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7277792 | biostudies-literature | 2020 May
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
The Predictive Capacity of Air Travel Patterns During the Global Spread of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Risk, Uncertainty and Randomness.
Christidis Panayotis P Christodoulou Aris A
International journal of environmental research and public health 20200512 10
Air travel has a decisive role in the spread of infectious diseases at the global level. We present a methodology applied during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic that uses detailed aviation data at the final destination level in order to measure the risk of the disease spreading outside China. The approach proved to be successful in terms of identifying countries with a high risk of infected travellers and as a tool to monitor the evolution of the pandemic in different countries. The hi ...[more]
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