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Development and external validation of a preoperative nomogram for predicting pathological locally advanced disease of clinically localized upper urinary tract carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVE:To develop and validate a preoperative nomogram to predict pathological locally advanced disease (pLAD) of clinically localized upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) treated with extirpative surgery. METHODS:In total, 1101 patients with cN0M0 UTUC (development cohort, n = 604; validation cohort, n = 497) from 2 independent academic databases were retrospectively analyzed. pLAD was defined as pT3/4 and/or pN+. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop a nomogram. The accuracy of the nomogram was evaluated with a receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis. RESULTS:The development and validation cohorts comprised 204 (33.8%) and 178 (35.8%) patients with pLAD, respectively. The multivariate analyses showed that the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (hazard ratio [HR], 2.27; P < .001), chronic kidney disease (HR, 1.56; P = .032), tumor location (HR, 1.60; P = .029), hydronephrosis (HR, 2.71; P < .001), and local invasion on imaging (HR, 8.59; P < .001) were independent predictive factors. After bootstrapping, a well-calibrated nomogram achieved discriminative accuracy of 0.77 in the development cohort. The decision curve analysis demonstrated improved risk prediction against threshold probabilities (?8%) of pLAD. These results were consistent in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION:Our novel nomogram allows for more highly accurate prediction of pLAD of UTUC. This nomogram integrates standard imaging and laboratory factors that help to identify patients who will benefit from preoperative chemotherapy, extended lymph node dissection, or both.

SUBMITTER: Yoshida T

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7286474 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Development and external validation of a preoperative nomogram for predicting pathological locally advanced disease of clinically localized upper urinary tract carcinoma.

Yoshida Takashi T Kobayashi Takashi T Kawaura Takayuki T Miyake Makito M Ito Katsuhiro K Okuno Hiroshi H Murota Takashi T Makita Noriyuki N Kawakita Mutsushi M Kawa Gen G Kitawaki Tomoki T Fujimoto Kiyohide K Matsuyama Hideyasu H Shiina Hiroaki H Azuma Haruhito H Ogawa Osamu O Kinoshita Hidefumi H Matsuda Tadashi T

Cancer medicine 20200406 11

<h4>Objective</h4>To develop and validate a preoperative nomogram to predict pathological locally advanced disease (pLAD) of clinically localized upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) treated with extirpative surgery.<h4>Methods</h4>In total, 1101 patients with cN0M0 UTUC (development cohort, n = 604; validation cohort, n = 497) from 2 independent academic databases were retrospectively analyzed. pLAD was defined as pT3/4 and/or pN+. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop ...[more]

PMID: 32253820

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Project description:BackgroundAlthough ureteroscopic surgery (URS) is beneficial for low-risk upper urinary tract carcinoma (UTUC), there is no standardized URS technique or navigation system for challenging cases.ObjectiveTo present a URS technique for UTUC using thulium (Tm):YAG and holmium (Ho):YAG lasers under photodynamic diagnosis (PDD) guidance, named PDD-guided dual laser ablation (PDD-DLA) and compare its efficacy with that of conventional Ho:YAG laser ablation (HLA; historical control).Design setting and participantsThe study included ten consecutive UTUC patients who underwent PDD-DLA between 2017 and 2019. The control group comprised 16 consecutive patients who underwent HLA between 2006 and 2016.Surgical procedureAfter oral administration of 5-aminolevulinic acid (20 mg/kg), UTUC tumors were endoscopically resected via PDD-DLA.MeasurementsClinical data were prospectively collected for our institutional UTUC data set. Disease progression, UTUC recurrence, and clinical outcomes were assessed.Results and limitationsPDD-DLA was successfully performed in all patients. The median tumor size was 23.5 mm (interquartile range [IQR] 12.8-30.0) and there were four cases (40.0%) of high-grade tumor. The median operative time was 120 min (IQR 98.5-142.5). No Clavien-Dindo grade ≥3 complications were observed. There were no differences in most clinical characteristics between the PDD-DLA and HLA groups. The 2-yr progression-free survival rate was 100% in the PDD-DLA group and 58.7% in the HLA group (p = 0.0197), and the 2-yr recurrence-free survival rate was 57.1% and 41.3%, respectively (p = 0.072). The PDD-DLA group had a lower incidence rate of salvage RNU compared with the HLA group (0.0% vs 50%; p = 0.009). The small sample size might affect the reproducibility of these results.ConclusionsPDD-DLA seems to be an effective and feasible endoscopic technique for UTUC treatment with favorable oncological outcomes.Patient summaryWe investigated a new laser technique for treating cancer of the upper urinary tract called photodynamic diagnosis-guided dual laser ablation. Our strategy was effective in removing tumors and stopping bleeding. Further studies in larger groups of patients are needed to confirm whether this technique improves cancer outcomes.

Project description:BackgroundNumerous studies have investigated the risk factors of intravesical recurrence (IVR) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) in patients with upper urinary tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). However, few studies explore the predictors for unfavorable pathological types of IVR following RNU.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed 155 patients diagnosed with bladder cancer (BC) following RNU. Binary logistic regression was used for the univariable and multivariable analyses. Nomograms were developed based on the multivariable analysis. The concordance index (C-index) was used to assess the performance of the nomograms. We performed internal validation by generating calibration plots.ResultsMuscle-invasive BC (MIBC) was significantly correlated with operation interval (p = 0.004) and UTUC T-stage (p = 0.016). Operation interval (p = 0.002) and UTUC T-stage (p = 0.028) were also risk factors for BC > 3 cm. UTUC grade (p = 0.015), operation interval (p = 0.003), and hydronephrosis (p = 0.049) were independent predictors for high-grade BC (HGBC). MIBC (p = 0.018) and surgical approach (p = 0.003) were associated with multifocal IVR. Besides, MIBC and HGBC were associated with UTUC grade (p = 0.009), operation interval (p = 0.001), and hydronephrosis (p = 0.023). Moreover, only operation interval (p = 0.036) was a predictor for BC with at least one unfavorable pathological type. We developed nomograms for MIBC, HGBC, BC > 3 cm, and MIBC and/or HGBC. The calibration curves of the nomograms showed good agreement between the observation and prediction cases. The C-indexes of the nomograms were 0.820 (95% CI, 0.747-0.894), 0.728 (95% CI, 0.649-0.809), 0.770 (95% CI, 0.679-0.861), and 0.749 (95% CI, 0.671-0.827), respectively.ConclusionsThe current study found that operation interval, UTUC T-stage, UTUC grade, surgical approach, and hydronephrosis are independent predictors for unfavorable pathological types of IVR following RNU. Nomograms based on these predictors were developed and internally validated to assess the risk of developing unfavorable pathological types of IVR. Furthermore, patients at high risk of developing unfavorable pathological types BC may benefit from more active follow-up 1 year after RNU by early detection of IVR.

Project description:The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of preoperative anemia on the prognosis of patients who underwent radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) for upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC).A total of 620 patients with UTUC were retrospectively analyzed. Anemia was decided by preoperatively measured hemoglobin values based on the World Health Organization (WHO) classification. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the relationship between anemia and survival outcomes. The meta-analysis part was performed according to PRISMA guidelines.The median follow-up was 51 (range: 1-168) months. A total of 246 patients had preoperative anemia in our cohort. Anemia was found to be related to high-grade (P < .001), sessile architecture (P = .001), advanced T stage (P < .001), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (P = .006), and worse chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage (P = .012). Kaplan-Meier curves revealed that patients with preoperative anemia had worse overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and disease recurrence-free survival (RFS) (all P < .001). Multivariable Cox analyses found that anemia was an independent predictor of CSS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.719, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.285-2.300], RFS (HR 1.427, 95% CI: 1.114-1.829) and OS (HR 1.756, 95% CI: 1.353-2.279). Among patients without end-stage renal disease (ESRD, n = 614), the anemia was also proved to be associated with worse outcomes in multivariable Cox analysis (OS, HR 1.759, 95% CI: 1.353-2.287; CSS, HR 1.726, 95% CI: 1.289-2.311, and RFS, HR 1.431, 95% CI: 1.117-1.837). Seven studies were included in the meta-analysis, and the pooled results showed that anemia was also related to worse CSS (HR 2.05, 95% CI: 1.73-2.44), RFS (HR 1.57, 95% CI: 1.30-1.90), and OS (HR 1.53, 95% CI: 1.10-2.13), but not related to intravesical recurrence (HR 1.17, 95% CI: 0.75-1.82).Preoperative anemia was proved to be significantly associated with worse oncologic outcomes in patients with UTUC following RNU.

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Development and external validation of a preoperative nomogram for predicting pathological locally advanced disease of clinically localized upper urinary tract carcinoma.

Publications

Development and external validation of a preoperative nomogram for predicting pathological locally advanced disease of clinically localized upper urinary tract carcinoma.

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