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Prediction of advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using gut microbiota-based approaches compared with simple non-invasive tools.

ABSTRACT: Liver fibrosis is the major determinant of liver related complications in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A gut microbiota signature has been explored to predict advanced fibrosis in NAFLD patients. The aim of this study was to validate and compare the diagnostic performance of gut microbiota-based approaches to simple non-invasive tools for the prediction of advanced fibrosis in NAFLD. 16S rRNA gene sequencing was performed in a cohort of 83 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients and 13 patients with non-invasively diagnosed NAFLD-cirrhosis. Random Forest models based on clinical data and sequencing results were compared with transient elastography, the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) and FIB-4 index. A Random Forest model containing clinical features and bacterial taxa achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.87 which was only marginally superior to a model without microbiota features (AUC 0.85). The model that aimed to validate a published algorithm achieved an AUC of 0.71. AUC's for NFS and FIB-4 index were 0.86 and 0.85. Transient elastography performed best with an AUC of 0.93. Gut microbiota signatures might help to predict advanced fibrosis in NAFLD. However, transient elastography achieved the best diagnostic performance for the detection of NAFLD patients at risk for disease progression.

SUBMITTER: Lang S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7286895 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using gut microbiota-based approaches compared with simple non-invasive tools.

Lang Sonja S Farowski Fedja F Martin Anna A Wisplinghoff Hilmar H Vehreschild Maria J G T MJGT Krawczyk Marcin M Nowag Angela A Kretzschmar Anne A Scholz Claus C Kasper Philipp P Roderburg Christoph C Lammert Frank F Goeser Tobias T Steffen Hans-Michael HM Demir Münevver M

Scientific reports 20200610 1

Liver fibrosis is the major determinant of liver related complications in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). A gut microbiota signature has been explored to predict advanced fibrosis in NAFLD patients. The aim of this study was to validate and compare the diagnostic performance of gut microbiota-based approaches to simple non-invasive tools for the prediction of advanced fibrosis in NAFLD. 16S rRNA gene sequencing was performed in a cohort of 83 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients ...[more]

PMID: 32523101

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Project description:Background and aims: Non-invasive tests (NITs) are needed in clinical practice to replace histology for the identification of liver fibrosis and prognostication in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD). Novel collagen-derived fibrogenesis markers including N-terminal type III collagen pro-peptide (PRO-C3) are among the most promising tools in this field. The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of PRO-C3, the derivative ADAPT score, and other NITs for the identification of advanced fibrosis (stages 3-4) and changes over 12 months of follow-up. Methods: In this longitudinal study, 96 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were evaluated at baseline, of which 50 underwent a follow-up visit after 12 months. Clinical-biochemical parameters, liver stiffness (LS) by transient elastography, PRO-C3, and other NITs (ADAPT, FIB-4, NFS, APRI) were collected at baseline and follow-up. Results: LS showed the best accuracy for the identification of advanced fibrosis, with Area under the Receiving Operator Curve (AUROC) 0.82 (0.73-0.89) for a cut-off value of 9.4 kPa. Among the other NITs, the ADAPT score showed the best accuracy, with AUROC 0.80 (0.71-0.88) for a cut-off of 5.02 (Se 62%, Sp 89%, PPV 74%, NPV 83%). The comparison between the AUROC of LS with that of ADAPT was not statistically different (DeLong test p value 0.348). At follow-up, LS was slightly reduced, whilst PRO-C3 displayed a significant increase from baseline median 11.2 ng/mL to 13.9 ng/mL at follow-up (p = 0.017). Accordingly, ADAPT score increased from median 5.3 to 6.1 (p = 0.019). The other NITs did not significantly change over 12 months. Conclusions: The ADAPT score shows the best performance among non-invasive scores for the identification of advanced fibrosis, not different from LS. Collagen-derived biomarker PRO-C3 and the derivative score ADAPT display significant changes over time, and may be useful tools for monitoring the progression of liver disease or assessing responses to treatments.

Dataset Information

Prediction of advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using gut microbiota-based approaches compared with simple non-invasive tools.

Publications

Prediction of advanced fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using gut microbiota-based approaches compared with simple non-invasive tools.

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