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Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection.

ABSTRACT: Introduction: Antimicrobial resistance is a global public health concern, but the problems are context specific, with each county or setting facing differing challenges. In Africa, third-generation cephalosporin resistant Enterobacterales (3GCR-E) are of particular concern, given the widespread reliance on ceftriaxone for treatment of severe infection in this setting. In Malawi, despite the rising prevalence of 3GCR-E, the health impact of these infections has not been described. This study is designed to estimate attributable mortality, morbidity and economic cost of 3GC-R bloodstream infection (BSI) in a large, urban hospital. Methods: This study will investigate the burden of antimicrobial resistance by recruiting a a prospective longitudinal cohort of patients who have bloodstream infection with 3GCR-E, at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, Malawi. Patients whose blood culture is positive for either 3GC-S or 3GC-R Enterobacterales will be enrolled and provide clinical and healthcare economic data. Patients will be followed throughout their hospital stay and to 6-months post discharge. Mortality, direct and indirect costs and other health outcomes will be compared between patients with 3GC-R and comparable 3GC-sensitive BSI. Based on our observation that some patients with clinical suspicion of sepsis and 3GC-R BSI are surviving without an effective antibiotic, we review each patient prospectively and classify what role the isolated bacteria is playing in the patient's clinical presentation. These classifications will then be incorporated into our analysis. Ethics and dissemination: The study protocol has been approved by the Malawi College of Medicine Research Ethics Committee and by the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine Research Ethics committee. Written informed consent will be obtained from study participants or their parents/guardians. Results will be submitted to international peer-reviewed journals, presented at international conferences and shared with participating communities and collaborators.

SUBMITTER: Lester R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7290274 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection.

Lester Rebecca R Maheswaran Hendran H Jewell Christopher P CP Lalloo David G DG Feasey Nicholas A NA

Wellcome open research 20200601

<b>Introduction:</b> Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a global public health concern, but the problems are context specific, with each county or setting facing differing challenges. In sub-Saharan Africa, third-generation cephalosporin resistant Enterobacterales (3GCR-E) are of particular concern, given the widespread reliance on ceftriaxone for treatment of severe infection in this setting. In Malawi, despite rising prevalence of 3GCR-E, the health-impact of these infections has not been descr ...[more]

PMID: 32566760

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Project description:Data which accurately enumerate the economic costs of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in low- and middle- income countries are essential. This study aimed to quantify the impact of third-generation cephalosporin resistant (3GC-R) bloodstream infection (BSI) on economic and health related quality of life outcomes for adult patients in Blantyre, Malawi. Participants were recruited from a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of hospitalised patients with bloodstream infection caused by Enterobacterales at Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital (QECH). Primary costing studies were used to estimate the direct medical costs associated with the inpatient stay. Recruited participants were asked about direct non-medical and indirect costs associated with their admission and their health-related quality of life was measured using the EuroQol EQ-5D questionnaire. Multiple imputation was undertaken to account for missing data. Costs were adjusted to 2019 US Dollars. Cost and microbiology surveillance data from QECH, Blantyre was used to model the annual cost of, and quality-adjusted life years lost to, 3GC-R and 3GC-Susceptible BSI from 1998 to 2030 in Malawi. The mean health provider cost per participant with 3GC-R BSI was US$110.27 (95%CR; 22.60-197.95), higher than for those with 3GC-S infection. Patients with resistant BSI incurred an additional indirect cost of US$155.48 (95%CR; -67.80, 378.78) and an additional direct non-medical cost of US$20.98 (95%CR; -36.47, 78.42). Health related quality of life outcomes were poor for all participants, but participants with resistant infections had an EQ-5D utility score that was 0.167 (95% CR: -0.035, 0.300) lower than those with sensitive infections. Population level burden estimates suggest that in 2016, 3GC-R accounted for 84% of annual societal costs from admission with bloodstream infection and 82% of QALYs lost. 3GC-R bloodstream infection was associated with higher health provider and patient level costs than 3GC-S infection, as well as poorer HRQoL outcomes. We demonstrate a substantial current and future economic burden to society as a result of 3GC-R E. coli and Klebsiella spp. BSI, data urgently needed by policy makers to provide impetus for implementing strategies to reduce AMR.

Project description:AIM:To estimate the economic burden of common health problems associated with pregnancy and childbirth, such as incontinence, mental health problems, or gestational diabetes, excluding acute complications of labour or birth, or severe acute adverse maternal outcomes. METHODS:Searches for relevant studies were carried out to November 2019 in Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO and EconLit databases. After initial screening, all results were reviewed for inclusion by two authors. An adapted version of a previously developed checklist for cost-of-illness studies was used for quality appraisal. All costs were converted to 2018 Euro using national consumer price indices and purchasing power parity conversion factors. RESULTS:Thirty-eight relevant studies were identified, some of which reported incremental costs for more than one health problem (16 gestational diabetes, 13 overweight/obesity, 8 mental health, 4 hypertensive disorders, 2 nausea and vomiting, 2 epilepsy, 1 intimate partner violence). A high level of heterogeneity was observed in both the methods used, and the incremental cost estimates obtained for each morbidity. Average incremental costs tended to be higher in studies that modelled a hypothetical cohort of women using data from a range of sources (compared to analyses of primary data), and in studies set in the United States. No studies that examined the economic burden of some common pregnancy-related morbidities, such as incontinence, pelvic girdle pain, or sexual health problems, were identified. CONCLUSION:Our findings indicate that maternal morbidity is associated with significant costs to health systems and society, but large gaps remain in the evidence base for the economic burden of some common health problems associated with pregnancy and childbirth. More research is needed to examine the economic burden of a range of common maternal health problems, and future research should adopt consistent methodological approaches to ensure comparability of results.

Project description:BackgroundThe burden of antimicrobial resistance is a major threat to global health; however, prospective clinical outcome data from Africa are scarce. In Malawi, third-generation cephalosporins are the antibiotics of choice in patients admitted to hospital despite a rapid proliferation of resistance to these drugs. We aimed to quantify the effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on mortality and length of hospital stay among patients with bloodstream infections.MethodsWe did a prospective cohort study of patients admitted to Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital in Blantyre, Malawi. Patients of all ages who had positive blood cultures for Enterobacterales were included, with the exception of those from the genus Salmonella, and were followed up for 180 days. We characterised blood culture isolates using whole-genome sequencing and used Cox regression models to estimate the effect of resistance to third-generation cephalosporins on length of hospital stay, in-hospital mortality, and survival.FindingsBetween Jan 31, 2018, and Jan 13, 2020, we recruited 326 patients, from whom 220 (68%) of 326 isolates were resistant to third-generation cephalosporins. The case fatality proportion was 45% (99 of 220) in patients with bloodstream infections that were resistant to third-generation cephalosporins, and 34% (36 of 106) in patients with bloodstream infections that were sensitive to third-generation cephalosporins. Resistance to third-generation cephalosporins was associated with an increased probability of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1·44, 95% CI 1·02-2·04), longer hospital stays (1·5 days, 1·0-2·0) and decreased probability of discharge alive (HR 0·31, 0·22-0·45). Whole-genome sequencing showed a high diversity of sequence types of both Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae. Although isolates associated with death were distributed across clades, we identified three E coli clades (ST410, ST617, and ST648) that were isolated from 14 patients who all died.InterpretationResistance to third-generation cephalosporins is associated with increased mortality and longer hospital stays in patients with bloodstream infections in Malawi. These data show the urgent need for allocation of resources towards antimicrobial resistance mitigation strategies in Africa.FundingWellcome Trust and Wellcome Asia and Africa Programme.

Dataset Information

Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection.

Publications

Estimating the burden of antimicrobial resistance in Malawi: protocol for a prospective observational study of the morbidity, mortality and economic cost of third-generation cephalosporin resistant bloodstream infection.

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