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The first composite score predicting Digital Ulcers in systemic sclerosis patients using Clinical data, Imaging and Patient history-CIP-DUS.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Digital ulcers (DU) present a challenging complication in systemic sclerosis (SSc). The aim of this study was to combine clinical characteristics and imaging methods to a composite score for the prediction of DU in SSc patients. METHODS:Seventy-nine SSc patients received clinical examination, their patient history was taken and nailfold capillaroscopy (NC), colour Doppler ultrasonography (CDUS) and fluorescence optical imaging (FOI) of the hands were performed at baseline. Newly developed DU over a period of approximately 12?months were registered. We used criteria with area under the curve (AUC) of at least 0.6 in regard to the development of these new DU to create the score (CIP-DUS, clinical features, imaging, patient history-digital ulcer score). RESULTS:Twenty-nine percent of all SSc patients developed new DU during follow-up (48.1% diffuse, 18.4% limited SSc). Based on the cross-validated (cv) AUC, a weight (cvAUC >?0.6 and ??0.65: 1; cvAUC >?0.65 and???0.7: 2; cvAUC >?0.7: 3) was assigned to each selected parameter. The performance of the final CIP-DUS was assessed with and without the CDUS/FOI component. For the scleroderma patterns in NC, three points were appointed to late, two to active and one point to early capillaroscopy pattern according to Cutolo et al. The CIP-DUS including the CDUS and FOI parameters resulted in a good diagnostic performance (AUC after cross-validation: 0.83, 95%CI 0.74 to 0.92) and was well calibrated (chi-square?=?12.3, p?=?0.58). The cut-off associated with the maximum of sensitivity and specificity was estimated at ??10 points resulting in a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 74% for new DU during follow-up. Excluding CDUS and FOI parameters leads to a non-statistically significant lower performance (AUC after cross-validation: 0.81, 95%CI 0.72 to 0.91). However, including CDUS and FOI resulted in a better classification of patients in respect to the outcome new DU in follow-up due to significantly better reclassification performance (NRI?=?62.1, p?=?0.001) and discrimination improvement (IDI?=?9.7, p?=?0.01). CONCLUSION:A new score was introduced with the aim to predict digital ulcers. If applied correctly and with the new imaging techniques proposed, all patients at risk of digital ulcers throughout 12?months could be identified.

SUBMITTER: Friedrich S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7294661 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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The first composite score predicting Digital Ulcers in systemic sclerosis patients using Clinical data, Imaging and Patient history-CIP-DUS.

Friedrich S S Lüders S S Klotsche J J Burmester G R GR Riemekasten G G Ohrndorf S S

Arthritis research & therapy 20200615 1

<h4>Background</h4>Digital ulcers (DU) present a challenging complication in systemic sclerosis (SSc). The aim of this study was to combine clinical characteristics and imaging methods to a composite score for the prediction of DU in SSc patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Seventy-nine SSc patients received clinical examination, their patient history was taken and nailfold capillaroscopy (NC), colour Doppler ultrasonography (CDUS) and fluorescence optical imaging (FOI) of the hands were performed at baseli ...[more]

PMID: 32539806

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Project description:Background Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare disabling connective tissue disease with few available treatment options. Diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) is associated with high mortality. A previous experiment has shown that JAK2 inhibitor can significantly improve skin fibrosis in bleomycin (BLM)-induced murine model, including reducing dermal thickening and collagen accumulation. We aimed to describe the efficacy of oral JAK1/2 inhibitor baricitinib in SSc patients, especially focusing on skin fibrosis and microvascular manifestations. Methods We described the different effects of oral selective JAK1, JAK2, or JAK3 inhibitor treatment in a BLM-induced skin fibrosis mouse model. Furthermore, 10 adult patients with dcSSc were treated with baricitinib. We assessed the changes in modified rodman skin score (mRSS) and digital ulcer net burden at week 12 and 24 from baseline. We also compared the absolute changes in scores on the Scleroderma Health Assessment Questionnaire (SHAQ) and a total score on the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) over a 24-week period. Results In the experimental mouse model of skin fibrosis, a JAK1 and JAK2 inhibitor ameliorated skin fibrosis, and a JAK2 inhibitor had the most obvious effect. Treatment with the JAK2 inhibitor also blunted the capillary rarefaction. We demonstrated that skin fibrosis and digital ulcers were significantly relieved in 10 SSc patients treated with baricitinib. The mRSS significantly improved at week 12 from baseline, with a mean change in mRSS of −8.3 [95% confidence interval (CI), −12.03 to −4.574; p = 0.0007] and improved greater at week 24 to −11.67 (95% CI, −16.84 to −6.496; p = 0.0008). Among the four patients with digital ulcers (DU), three were completely healed at week 24, the number of ulcers in another patient was significantly reduced, and there was no patient with new ulcers. Only one adverse event (AE) of herpes zoster was observed. Conclusions Our results indicate that selective JAK1 and JAK2 inhibitor alleviates skin fibrosis, and oral JAK1/2 inhibitor baricitinib is a potentially effective treatment for dcSSc patients with skin fibrosis and DU. Baricitinib was well-tolerated by most patients in this study. Additional large clinical trials are needed to confirm our pilot findings. Chinese Clinical Trial Registry Number ChiCTR2000030995.

Dataset Information

The first composite score predicting Digital Ulcers in systemic sclerosis patients using Clinical data, Imaging and Patient history-CIP-DUS.

Publications

The first composite score predicting Digital Ulcers in systemic sclerosis patients using Clinical data, Imaging and Patient history-CIP-DUS.

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