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Random-forest algorithm based biomarkers in predicting prognosis in the patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: Background:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) one of the most common digestive system tumors, threatens the tens of thousands of people with high morbidity and mortality world widely. The purpose of our study was to investigate the related genes of HCC and discover their potential abilities to predict the prognosis of the patients. Methods:We obtained RNA sequencing data of HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and performed analysis on protein coding genes. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were selected. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway enrichment were conducted to discover biological functions of DEGs. Protein and protein interaction (PPI) was performed to investigate hub genes. In addition, a method of supervised machine learning, recursive feature elimination (RFE) based on random forest (RF) classifier, was used to screen for significant biomarkers. And the basic experiment was conducted by lab, we constructe a clinical patients' database, and obtained the data and results of immunohistochemistry. Results:We identified five biomarkers with significantly high expression to predict survival risk of the HCC patients. These prognostic biomarkers included SPC25, NUF2, MCM2, BLM and AURKA. We also defined a risk score model with these biomarkers to identify the patients who is in high risk. In our single-center experiment, 95 pairs of clinical samples were used to explore the expression levels of NUF2 and BLM in HCC. Immunohistochemical staining results showed that NUF2 and BLM were significantly up-regulated in immunohistochemical staining. High expression levels of NUF2 and BLM indicated poor prognosis. Conclusion:Our investigation provided novel prognostic biomarkers and model in HCC and aimed to improve the understanding of HCC. In the results obtained, we also conducted a part of experiments to verify the theory described earlier, The experimental results did verify our theory.

SUBMITTER: Guo L

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7302385 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Random-forest algorithm based biomarkers in predicting prognosis in the patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Guo Lingyun L Wang Zhenjiang Z Du Yuanyuan Y Mao Jie J Zhang Junqiang J Yu Zeyuan Z Guo Jiwu J Zhao Jun J Zhou Huinian H Wang Haitao H Gu Yanmei Y Li Yumin Y

Cancer cell international 20200617

<h4>Background</h4>Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) one of the most common digestive system tumors, threatens the tens of thousands of people with high morbidity and mortality world widely. The purpose of our study was to investigate the related genes of HCC and discover their potential abilities to predict the prognosis of the patients.<h4>Methods</h4>We obtained RNA sequencing data of HCC from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database and performed analysis on protein coding genes. Differentially ...[more]

PMID: 32565735

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Project description:BackgroundThe outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) that occurred in Wuhan, China, has become a global public health threat. It is necessary to identify indicators that can be used as optimal predictors for clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients.MethodsThe clinical information from 126 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 were collected from Wuhan Fourth Hospital. Specific clinical characteristics, laboratory findings, treatments and clinical outcomes were analyzed from patients hospitalized for treatment from 1 February to 15 March 2020, and subsequently died or were discharged. A random forest (RF) algorithm was used to predict the prognoses of COVID-19 patients and identify the optimal diagnostic predictors for patients' clinical prognoses.ResultsSeven of the 126 patients were excluded for losing endpoints, 103 of the remaining 119 patients were discharged (alive) and 16 died in the hospital. A synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) was used to correct the imbalanced distribution of clinical patients. Recursive feature elimination (RFE) was used to select the optimal subset for analysis. Eleven clinical parameters, Myo, CD8, age, LDH, LMR, CD45, Th/Ts, dyspnea, NLR, D-Dimer and CK were chosen with AUC approximately 0.9905. The RF algorithm was built to predict the prognoses of COVID-19 patients based on the best subset, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the test data was 100%. Moreover, two optimal clinical risk predictors, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and Myoglobin (Myo), were selected based on the Gini index. The univariable logistic analysis revealed a substantial increase in the risk for in-hospital mortality when Myo was higher than 80 ng/ml (OR = 7.54, 95% CI [3.42-16.63]) and LDH was higher than 500 U/L (OR = 4.90, 95% CI [2.13-11.25]).ConclusionWe applied an RF algorithm to predict the mortality of COVID-19 patients with high accuracy and identified LDH higher than 500 U/L and Myo higher than 80 ng/ml to be potential risk factors for the prognoses of COVID-19 patients in the early stage of the disease.

Project description:Background and aimsThis study aimed to develop an interpretable random forest model for predicting severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).MethodsClinical and laboratory data of 648 patients with acute pancreatitis were retrospectively reviewed and randomly assigned to the training set and test set in a 3:1 ratio. Univariate analysis was used to select candidate predictors for the SAP. Random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR) models were developed on the training sample. The prediction models were then applied to the test sample. The performance of the risk models was measured by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUC) and area under precision recall curve. We provide visualized interpretation by using local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME).ResultsThe LR model was developed to predict SAP as the following function: -1.10-0.13×albumin (g/L) + 0.016 × serum creatinine (μmol/L) + 0.14 × glucose (mmol/L) + 1.63 × pleural effusion (0/1)(No/Yes). The coefficients of this formula were utilized to build a nomogram. The RF model consists of 16 variables identified by univariate analysis. It was developed and validated by a tenfold cross-validation on the training sample. Variables importance analysis suggested that blood urea nitrogen, serum creatinine, albumin, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, calcium, and glucose were the most important seven predictors of SAP. The AUCs of RF model in tenfold cross-validation of the training set and the test set was 0.89 and 0.96, respectively. Both the area under precision recall curve and the diagnostic accuracy of the RF model were higher than that of both the LR model and the BISAP score. LIME plots were used to explain individualized prediction of the RF model.ConclusionsAn interpretable RF model exhibited the highest discriminatory performance in predicting SAP. Interpretation with LIME plots could be useful for individualized prediction in a clinical setting. A nomogram consisting of albumin, serum creatinine, glucose, and pleural effusion was useful for prediction of SAP.

Project description:BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma is the third most deadly malignant tumor in the world with a poor prognosis. Although immunotherapy represents a promising therapeutic approach for HCC, the overall response rate of HCC patients to immunotherapy is less than 30%. Therefore, it is of great significance to explore prognostic factors and investigate the associated tumor immune microenvironment features.MethodsBy analyzing RNA-seq data of the TCGA-LIHC cohort, the set of cuproptosis related genes was extracted via correlation analysis as a generalization feature. Then, a random forest cox prognostic model was constructed and the cuproptosis random forest cox score was built by random forest feature filtering and univariate multivariate cox regression analysis. Subsequently, the prognosis prediction of CRFCS was evaluated via analyzing data of independent cohorts from GEO and ICGC by using KM and ROC methods. Moreover, mutation characterization, immune cell infiltration, immune evasion, and drug sensitivity of CRFCS in HCC were assessed.ResultsA cuproptosis random forest cox score was built based on a generalization feature of four cuproptosis related genes. Patients in the high CRFCS group exhibited a lower overall survival. Univariate multivariate Cox regression analysis validated CRFCS as an independent prognostic indicator. ROC analysis revealed that CRFCS was a good predictor of HCC (AUC =0.82). Mutation analysis manifested that microsatellite instability (MSI) was significantly increased in the high CRFCS group. Meanwhile, tumor microenvironment analysis showed that the high CRFCS group displayed much more immune cell infiltration compared with the low CRFCS group. The immune escape assessment analysis demonstrated that the high CRFCS group displayed a decreased TIDE score indicating a lower immune escape probability in the high CRFCS group compared with the low CRFCS group. Interestingly, immune checkpoints were highly expressed in the high CRFCS group. Drug sensitivity analysis revealed that HCC patients from the high CRFCS group had a lower IC50 of sorafenib than that from the low CRFCS group.ConclusionsIn this study, we constructed a cuproptosis random forest cox score (CRFCS) model. CRFCS was revealed to be a potential independent prognostic indicator of HCC and high CRFCS samples showed a poor prognosis. Interestingly, CRFCS were correlated with TME characteristics as well as clinical treatment efficacy. Importantly, compared with the low CRFCS group, the high CRFCS group may benefit from immunotherapy and sorafenib treatment.

Project description:ObjectiveEnergy metabolism plays a crucial role in the improvement of heart dysfunction as well as the development of heart failure (HF). The current study is designed to identify energy metabolism-related diagnostic biomarkers for predicting the risk of HF due to myocardial infarction.MethodsTranscriptome sequencing data of HF patients and non-heart failure (NF) people (GSE66360 and GSE59867) were obtained from gene expression omnibus (GEO) database. Energy metabolism-related differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened between HF and NF samples. The subtyping consistency analysis was performed to enable the samples to be grouped. The immune infiltration level among subtypes was assessed by single sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA). Random forest algorithm (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) were applied to identify diagnostic biomarkers, and the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) was plotted to validate the accuracy. Predictive nomogram was constructed and validated based on the result of the RF. Drug screening and gene-miRNA network were analyzed to predict the energy metabolism-related drugs and potential molecular mechanism.ResultsA total of 22 energy metabolism-related DEGs were identified between HF and NF patients. The clustering analysis showed that HF patients could be classified into two subtypes based on the energy metabolism-related genes, and functional analyses demonstrated that the identified DEGs among two clusters were mainly involved in immune response regulating signaling pathway and lipid and atherosclerosis. ssGSEA analysis revealed that there were significant differences in the infiltration levels of immune cells between two subtypes of HF patients. Random-forest and support vector machine algorithm eventually identified ten diagnostic markers (MEF2D, RXRA, PPARA, FOXO1, PPARD, PPP3CB, MAPK14, CREB1, MEF2A, PRMT1) for risk prediction of HF patients, and the proposed nomogram resulted in good predictive performance (GSE66360, AUC = 0.91; GSE59867, AUC = 0.84) and the clinical usefulness in HF patients. More importantly, 10 drugs and 15 miRNA were predicted as drug target and hub miRNA that associated with energy metabolism-related genes, providing further information on clinical HF treatment.ConclusionThis study identified ten energy metabolism-related diagnostic markers using random forest algorithm, which may help optimize risk stratification and clinical treatment in HF patients.

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Random-forest algorithm based biomarkers in predicting prognosis in the patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

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Random-forest algorithm based biomarkers in predicting prognosis in the patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

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