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Daily estimates of clinical severity of symptoms in bipolar disorder from smartphone-based self-assessments.

ABSTRACT: Currently, the golden standard for assessing the severity of depressive and manic symptoms in patients with bipolar disorder (BD) is clinical evaluations using validated rating scales such as the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale 17-items (HDRS) and the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS). Frequent automatic estimation of symptom severity could potentially help support monitoring of illness activity and allow for early treatment intervention between outpatient visits. The present study aimed (1) to assess the feasibility of producing daily estimates of clinical rating scores based on smartphone-based self-assessments of symptoms collected from a group of patients with BD; (2) to demonstrate how these estimates can be utilized to compute individual daily risk of relapse scores. Based on a total of 280 clinical ratings collected from 84 patients with BD along with daily smartphone-based self-assessments, we applied a hierarchical Bayesian modelling approach capable of providing individual estimates while learning characteristics of the patient population. The proposed method was compared to common baseline methods. The model concerning depression severity achieved a mean predicted R² of 0.57 (SD?=?0.10) and RMSE of 3.85 (SD?=?0.47) on the HDRS, while the model concerning mania severity achieved a mean predicted R² of 0.16 (SD?=?0.25) and RMSE of 3.68 (SD?=?0.54) on the YMRS. In both cases, smartphone-based self-reported mood was the most important predictor variable. The present study shows that daily smartphone-based self-assessments can be utilized to automatically estimate clinical ratings of severity of depression and mania in patients with BD and assist in identifying individuals with high risk of relapse.

SUBMITTER: Busk J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7303106 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Daily estimates of clinical severity of symptoms in bipolar disorder from smartphone-based self-assessments.

Busk Jonas J Faurholt-Jepsen Maria M Frost Mads M Bardram Jakob E JE Kessing Lars Vedel LV Winther Ole O

Translational psychiatry 20200618 1

Currently, the golden standard for assessing the severity of depressive and manic symptoms in patients with bipolar disorder (BD) is clinical evaluations using validated rating scales such as the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale 17-items (HDRS) and the Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS). Frequent automatic estimation of symptom severity could potentially help support monitoring of illness activity and allow for early treatment intervention between outpatient visits. The present study aimed (1) to a ...[more]

PMID: 32555144

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Project description:BACKGROUND:Bipolar disorder is a prevalent mental health condition that is imposing significant burden on society. Accurate forecasting of symptom scores can be used to improve disease monitoring, enable early intervention, and eventually help prevent costly hospitalizations. Although several studies have examined the use of smartphone data to detect mood, only few studies deal with forecasting mood for one or more days. OBJECTIVE:This study aimed to examine the feasibility of forecasting daily subjective mood scores based on daily self-assessments collected from patients with bipolar disorder via a smartphone-based system in a randomized clinical trial. METHODS:We applied hierarchical Bayesian regression models, a multi-task learning method, to account for individual differences and forecast mood for up to seven days based on 15,975 smartphone self-assessments from 84 patients with bipolar disorder participating in a randomized clinical trial. We reported the results of two time-series cross-validation 1-day forecast experiments corresponding to two different real-world scenarios and compared the outcomes with commonly used baseline methods. We then applied the best model to evaluate a 7-day forecast. RESULTS:The best performing model used a history of 4 days of self-assessment to predict future mood scores with historical mood being the most important predictor variable. The proposed hierarchical Bayesian regression model outperformed pooled and separate models in a 1-day forecast time-series cross-validation experiment and achieved the predicted metrics, R2=0.51 and root mean squared error of 0.32, for mood scores on a scale of -3 to 3. When increasing the forecast horizon, forecast errors also increased and the forecast regressed toward the mean of data distribution. CONCLUSIONS:Our proposed method can forecast mood for several days with low error compared with common baseline methods. The applicability of a mood forecast in the clinical treatment of bipolar disorder has also been discussed.

Project description:BackgroundBipolar disorder is a serious mental illness that results in significant morbidity and mortality. Pharmacotherapy is the primary treatment for bipolar disorder; however, adjunctive psychotherapy can help individuals use self-management strategies to improve outcomes. Yet access to this therapy is limited. Smartphones and other technologies have the potential to increase access to therapeutic strategies that enhance self-management while simultaneously providing real-time user feedback and provider alerts to augment care.ObjectiveThis paper describes the user-centered development of LiveWell, a smartphone-based self-management intervention for bipolar disorder, to contribute to and support the ongoing improvement and dissemination of technology-based mental health interventions.MethodsIndividuals with bipolar disorder first participated in a field trial of a simple smartphone app for self-monitoring of behavioral targets. To develop a complete technology-based intervention for bipolar disorder, this field trial was followed by design sessions, usability testing, and a pilot study of a smartphone-based self-management intervention for bipolar disorder. Throughout all phases of development, intervention revisions were made based on user feedback.ResultsThe core of the LiveWell intervention consists of a daily self-monitoring tool, the Daily Check-in. This self-monitoring tool underwent multiple revisions during the user-centered development process. Daily Check-in mood and thought rating scales were collapsed into a single wellness rating scale to accommodate user development of personalized scale anchors. These anchors are meant to assist users in identifying early warning signs and symptoms of impending episodes to take action based on personalized plans. When users identified personal anchors for the wellness scale, the anchors most commonly reflected behavioral signs and symptoms (40%), followed by cognitive (25%), mood (15%), physical (10%), and motivational (7%) signs and symptoms. Changes to the Daily Check-in were also made to help users distinguish between getting adequate sleep and keeping a regular routine. At the end of the pilot study, users reported that the Daily Check-in made them more aware of early warning signs and symptoms and how much they were sleeping. Users also reported that they liked personalizing their anchors and plans and felt this process was useful. Users experienced some difficulties with developing, tracking, and achieving target goals. Users also did not consistently follow up with app recommendations to contact providers when Daily Check-in data suggested they needed additional assistance. As a result, the human support roles for the technology were expanded beyond app use support to include support for self-management and clinical care communication. The development of these human support roles was aided by feedback on the technology's usability from the users and the coaches who provided the human support.ConclusionsUser input guided the development of intervention content, technology, and coaching support for LiveWell. Users valued the provision of monitoring tools and the ability to personalize plans for staying well, supporting the role of monitoring and personalization as important features of digital mental health technologies. Users also valued human support of the technology in the form of a coach, and user difficulties with aspects of self-management and care-provider communication led to an expansion of the coach's support roles. Obtaining feedback from both users and coaches played an important role in the development of both the LiveWell technology and human support. Attention to all stakeholders involved in the use of mental health technologies is essential for optimizing intervention development.

Dataset Information

Daily estimates of clinical severity of symptoms in bipolar disorder from smartphone-based self-assessments.

Publications

Daily estimates of clinical severity of symptoms in bipolar disorder from smartphone-based self-assessments.

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