Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Kodra E
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7314860 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Kodra Evan E Bhatia Udit U Chatterjee Snigdhansu S Chen Stone S Ganguly Auroop Ratan AR
Scientific reports 20200624 1
Earth System Models (ESMs) are the state of the art for projecting the effects of climate change. However, longstanding uncertainties in their ability to simulate regional and local precipitation extremes and related processes inhibit decision making. Existing state-of-the art approaches for uncertainty quantification use Bayesian methods to weight ESMs based on a balance of historical skills and future consensus. Here we propose an empirical Bayesian model that extends an existing skill and con ...[more]