Incidence and risk factors of type 2 diabetes mellitus in an overweight and obese population: a long-term retrospective cohort study from a Gulf state.
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ABSTRACT: OBJECTIVES:A high body mass index (BMI) is associated with risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). The United Arab Emirates (UAE) is experiencing a marked increase in obesity. Nonetheless, no data are available regarding the incidence of type 2?DM in the high-risk adult UAE population. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the incidence rate and risk of developing type 2?DM among individuals with above-normal BMI in the UAE. DESIGN:A retrospective cohort study. SETTING:Outpatient clinics at a tertiary care centre in Al Ain, UAE. PARTICIPANTS:Three hundred and sixty-two overweight or obese adult UAE nationals who visited outpatient clinics between April 2008 and December 2008. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE:Patients with type 2?DM were identified based on diagnosis established by a physician or through glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) levels ?6.5% during the follow-up period (until April 2018). RESULTS:The overall incidence rate of type 2?DM during the median follow-up time of 8.7 years was 16.3 (95% CI 12.1 to 21.4) cases per 1000 person-years. Incidence rates in men and women were 17.7 (95% CI 11.6 to 25.9) and 15.0 (95% CI 9.8 to 22.2) cases per 1000 person-years, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis determined older age and obesity in women and pre-diabetes in men to be independent risk factors for developing type 2?DM. CONCLUSIONS:The incidence rate of type 2?DM in overweight and obese UAE nationals is high. In addition to screening, current strategies should strongly emphasise lifestyle modifications to decrease HbA1c and BMI levels in this high-risk population.
SUBMITTER: Regmi D
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7333876 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
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