Dataset Information

Trajectories of Non-HDL Cholesterol Across Midlife: Implications for Cardiovascular Prevention.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Extended elevations of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) across a lifespan are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, optimal testing intervals to identify individuals with high lipid-related CVD risk are unknown. OBJECTIVES:This study determined the extent to which lipid levels in young adulthood predict future lipid trajectories and associated long-term CVD risk. METHODS:A sample of 2,516 Framingham Offspring study participants 25 to 40 years of age free of CVD and diabetes had their non-HDL-C progression modeled over 8 study examinations (mean follow-up 32.6 years) using group-based methods. CVD risk based on 25 to 30 years of follow-up was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analyses for those with mean non-HDL-C ?160 mg/dl ("high") and <130 mg/dl ("low") at the first 2 examinations. Levels of non-HDL-C for participants on lipid treatment were adjusted by nonparametric algorithm. RESULTS:The trajectories of the lipid levels were generally stable over the 30-year life course; mean non-HDL-C measured in young adulthood were highly predictive of levels later in life. Individuals could be reliably assigned to high and low non-HDL-C groups based on 2 measurements collected between 25 to 40 years of age. Overall, 80% of those with non-HDL-C ?160 mg/dl at the first 2 exams remained in the high group on subsequent 25-year testing, whereas 88% of those with non-HDL-C <130 mg/dl remained below 160 mg/dl. Those with high non-HDL-C in young adulthood had a 22.6% risk of CVD in the next 25 years as compared with a 6.4% risk in those with low non-HDL-C. CONCLUSIONS:Most adults with elevated non-HDL-C early in life continue to have high non-HDL-C over their life course, leading to significantly increased risk of CVD. The results demonstrate that early lipid monitoring before 40 years of age would identify a majority of those with a high likelihood for lifetime elevated lipid levels who also have a high long-term risk for CVD. This information could facilitate informed patient-provider discussion about the potential benefits of preventive lipid-lowering efforts during the early midlife period.

SUBMITTER: Pencina KM

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7346311 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Trajectories of Non-HDL Cholesterol Across Midlife: Implications for Cardiovascular Prevention.

Pencina Karol M KM Thanassoulis George G Wilkins John T JT Vasan Ramachandran S RS Navar Ann Marie AM Peterson Eric D ED Pencina Michael J MJ Sniderman Allan D AD

Journal of the American College of Cardiology 20190701 1

<h4>Background</h4>Extended elevations of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) across a lifespan are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, optimal testing intervals to identify individuals with high lipid-related CVD risk are unknown.<h4>Objectives</h4>This study determined the extent to which lipid levels in young adulthood predict future lipid trajectories and associated long-term CVD risk.<h4>Methods</h4>A sample of 2,516 Framingham Offspring ...[more]

PMID: 31272554

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Project description:AimsThe total cholesterol (TC)/high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol ratio may carry additional information not available in more commonly used single cholesterol measures. Analysis of discordance between lipid parameters might help assess the impact of such additional information on the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. We aimed to investigate the role of the TC/HDL-cholesterol ratio in determining atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk when discordant with low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol and non-HDL-cholesterol.MethodsWe studied 14,403 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants who were free of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease at baseline. TC/HDL-cholesterol discordance with LDL-cholesterol (estimated by the novel Martin/Hopkins method) and non-HDL-cholesterol was assessed at five visits and determined by being at or above the median for each lipid parameter. We constructed Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the risk for incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events associated with each lipid concordance/discordance category using a time-varying approach.ResultsMean age of participants was 54.1 years, 56% women and 25% black. There were 2634 atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events over a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 24.2 (16.0-25.4) years. Among individuals with LDL-cholesterol and non-HDL-cholesterol less than the median, 26% and 21% had discordant TC/HDL-cholesterol at or above the median, respectively. These individuals had a 24% (hazard ratio (HR) 1.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09, 1.41) and 29% (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.13, 1.46) greater risk of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, respectively, compared to those with TC/HDL-cholesterol less than the median after multivariable adjustment. In individuals with diabetes with LDL-cholesterol or non-HDL-cholesterol less than the median, discordant TC/HDL-cholesterol at or above the median was more prevalent at 48% and 38%, respectively.ConclusionClinically significant discordance exists between TC/HDL-cholesterol, available from the standard lipid profile, and the routinely used non-HDL-cholesterol and LDL-cholesterol. Such discordance may help inform atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk management, particularly in individuals with diabetes in whom discordance is more common.

Project description:Background and aimsDespite growing evidence that apolipoprotein B (apoB) is the most accurate marker of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, its adoption in clinical practice has been low. This investigation sought to determine whether low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglycerides are sufficient for routine cardiovascular care.MethodsA sample of 293 876 UK Biobank adults (age: 40-73 years, 42% men), free of cardiovascular disease, with a median follow-up for new-onset ASCVD of 11 years was included. Distribution of apoB at pre-specified levels of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and triglycerides was examined graphically, and 10-year ASCVD event rates were compared for high vs. low apoB. Residuals of apoB were constructed after regressing apoB on LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and log-transformed triglycerides and used as predictors in a proportional hazards regression model for new-onset ASCVD adjusted for standard risk factors, including HDL-C.ResultsApoB was highly correlated with LDL-C and non-HDL-C (Pearson's r = .96, P < .001 for both) but less so with log triglycerides (r = .42, P < .001). However, apoB ranges necessary to capture 95% of all observations at pre-specified levels of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, or triglycerides were wide, spanning 85.8-108.8 md/dL when LDL-C 130 mg/dL, 88.3-112.4 mg/dL when non-HDL-C 160 mg/dL, and 67.8-147.4 md/dL when triglycerides 115 mg/dL. At these levels (±10 mg/dL), 10-year ASCVD rates for apoB above mean + 1 SD vs. below mean - 1 SD were 7.3 vs. 4.0 for LDL-C, 6.4 vs. 4.6 for non-HDL-C, and 7.0 vs. 4.6 for triglycerides (all P < .001). With 19 982 new-onset ASCVD events on follow-up, in the adjusted model, residual apoB remained statistically significant after accounting for LDL-C and HDL-C (hazard ratio 1.06, 95% confidence interval 1.0-1.07), after accounting for non-HDL-C and HDL-C (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 1.03-1.06), and after accounting for triglycerides and HDL-C (hazard ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval 1.12-1.15). None of the residuals of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, or of log triglycerides remained significant when apoB was included in the model.ConclusionsHigh variability of apoB at individual levels of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and triglycerides coupled with meaningful differences in 10-year ASCVD rates and significant residual information contained in apoB for prediction of new-onset ASCVD events demonstrate that LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and triglycerides are not adequate proxies for apoB in clinical care.

Project description:It is unclear whether high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol concentration plays a causal role in atherosclerosis. A more important factor may be HDL cholesterol efflux capacity, the ability of HDL to accept cholesterol from macrophages, which is a key step in reverse cholesterol transport. We investigated the epidemiology of cholesterol efflux capacity and its association with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease outcomes in a large, multiethnic population cohort.We measured HDL cholesterol level, HDL particle concentration, and cholesterol efflux capacity at baseline in 2924 adults free from cardiovascular disease who were participants in the Dallas Heart Study, a probability-based population sample. The primary end point was atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, defined as a first nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke, or coronary revascularization or death from cardiovascular causes. The median follow-up period was 9.4 years.In contrast to HDL cholesterol level, which was associated with multiple traditional risk factors and metabolic variables, cholesterol efflux capacity had minimal association with these factors. Baseline HDL cholesterol level was not associated with cardiovascular events in an adjusted analysis (hazard ratio, 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.59 to 1.99). In a fully adjusted model that included traditional risk factors, HDL cholesterol level, and HDL particle concentration, there was a 67% reduction in cardiovascular risk in the highest quartile of cholesterol efflux capacity versus the lowest quartile (hazard ratio, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.55). Adding cholesterol efflux capacity to traditional risk factors was associated with improvement in discrimination and reclassification indexes.Cholesterol efflux capacity, a new biomarker that characterizes a key step in reverse cholesterol transport, was inversely associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events in a population-based cohort. (Funded by the Donald W. Reynolds Foundation and others.).

Project description:BackgroundThe relevance of blood lipid concentrations to long-term incidence of cardiovascular disease and the relevance of lipid-lowering therapy for cardiovascular disease outcomes is unclear. We investigated the cardiovascular disease risk associated with the full spectrum of bloodstream non-HDL cholesterol concentrations. We also created an easy-to-use tool to estimate the long-term probabilities for a cardiovascular disease event associated with non-HDL cholesterol and modelled its risk reduction by lipid-lowering treatment.MethodsIn this risk-evaluation and risk-modelling study, we used Multinational Cardiovascular Risk Consortium data from 19 countries across Europe, Australia, and North America. Individuals without prevalent cardiovascular disease at baseline and with robust available data on cardiovascular disease outcomes were included. The primary composite endpoint of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease was defined as the occurrence of the coronary heart disease event or ischaemic stroke. Sex-specific multivariable analyses were computed using non-HDL cholesterol categories according to the European guideline thresholds, adjusted for age, sex, cohort, and classical modifiable cardiovascular risk factors. In a derivation and validation design, we created a tool to estimate the probabilities of a cardiovascular disease event by the age of 75 years, dependent on age, sex, and risk factors, and the associated modelled risk reduction, assuming a 50% reduction of non-HDL cholesterol.FindingsOf the 524 444 individuals in the 44 cohorts in the Consortium database, we identified 398 846 individuals belonging to 38 cohorts (184 055 [48·7%] women; median age 51·0 years [IQR 40·7-59·7]). 199 415 individuals were included in the derivation cohort (91 786 [48·4%] women) and 199 431 (92 269 [49·1%] women) in the validation cohort. During a maximum follow-up of 43·6 years (median 13·5 years, IQR 7·0-20·1), 54 542 cardiovascular endpoints occurred. Incidence curve analyses showed progressively higher 30-year cardiovascular disease event-rates for increasing non-HDL cholesterol categories (from 7·7% for non-HDL cholesterol <2·6 mmol/L to 33·7% for ≥5·7 mmol/L in women and from 12·8% to 43·6% in men; p<0·0001). Multivariable adjusted Cox models with non-HDL cholesterol lower than 2·6 mmol/L as reference showed an increase in the association between non-HDL cholesterol concentration and cardiovascular disease for both sexes (from hazard ratio 1·1, 95% CI 1·0-1·3 for non-HDL cholesterol 2·6 to <3·7 mmol/L to 1·9, 1·6-2·2 for ≥5·7 mmol/L in women and from 1·1, 1·0-1·3 to 2·3, 2·0-2·5 in men). The derived tool allowed the estimation of cardiovascular disease event probabilities specific for non-HDL cholesterol with high comparability between the derivation and validation cohorts as reflected by smooth calibration curves analyses and a root mean square error lower than 1% for the estimated probabilities of cardiovascular disease. A 50% reduction of non-HDL cholesterol concentrations was associated with reduced risk of a cardiovascular disease event by the age of 75 years, and this risk reduction was greater the earlier cholesterol concentrations were reduced.InterpretationNon-HDL cholesterol concentrations in blood are strongly associated with long-term risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. We provide a simple tool for individual long-term risk assessment and the potential benefit of early lipid-lowering intervention. These data could be useful for physician-patient communication about primary prevention strategies.FundingEU Framework Programme, UK Medical Research Council, and German Centre for Cardiovascular Research.

Project description:BackgroundDespite the superiority of non-HDL cholesterol (non-HDL-C) and apolipoprotein B (ApoB) as lipid markers for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), these are only suitable as secondary markers. We compared LDL cholesterol (LDL-C), non-HDL-C, and ApoB concentrations with respect to the occurrence of cardiovascular disease in adults enrolled in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES).MethodsWe used information on age; sex; medical history; family history of ASCVD; current lipid-lowering therapy; current smoking status; and creatinine, total cholesterol, HDL-C, LDL-C, triglyceride, and ApoB concentrations from 5,872 KoGES participants without ASCVD. New ASCVD development was monitored during the 8-year follow-up period. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) for ASCVD of LDL-C, non-HDL-C, and ApoB concentrations were calculated based on the multivariate Cox regression analyses. The participants were also grouped as low and high according to the median values for each lipid marker, and calculated aHRs of each group combined by two lipid makers.ResultsApoB showed the highest aHR per 1-SD for ASCVD (1.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.11-1.43), followed by non-HDL-C (1.25; 95% CI, 1.11-1.41) and LDL-C (1.20; 95% CI, 1.06-1.37). The group with low LDL-C and high ApoB concentrations had a significantly higher aHR for ASCVD (1.61; 95% CI, 1.05-2.48) compared to the reference group values (low LDL-C and low ApoB concentrations). The aHR for the group with high LDL-C and low ApoB concentrations was not significant (1.30; 95% CI, 0.79-2.16).ConclusionsApoB, non-HDL-C, and LDL-C are independent risk factors for ASCVD. Increases in the aHR per 1-SD for ASCVD were more strongly affected by ApoB, followed by non-HDL-C and LDL-C. Participants with low LDL-C and high ApoB concentrations showed increased ASCVD risk. For individuals with ASCVD risk factors, even those presenting normal LDL-C concentrations, measuring ApoB concentrations can provide useful information for better evaluation of ASCVD risk.

Dataset Information

Trajectories of Non-HDL Cholesterol Across Midlife: Implications for Cardiovascular Prevention.

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Trajectories of Non-HDL Cholesterol Across Midlife: Implications for Cardiovascular Prevention.

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