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A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy.


ABSTRACT: Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving COVID-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be computed with a delay of 1 day. Moreover, it is highly correlated with macroeconomic data and survey indicators of Swiss economic activity. Therefore, it provides timely and reliable warning signals if the health of the economy takes a turn for the worse.

SUBMITTER: Burri M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7347051 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A daily fever curve for the Swiss economy.

Burri Marc M   Kaufmann Daniel D  

Swiss journal of economics and statistics 20200709 1


Because macroeconomic data is published with a substantial delay, assessing the health of the economy during the rapidly evolving COVID-19 crisis is challenging. We develop a fever curve for the Swiss economy using publicly available daily financial market and news data. The indicator can be computed with a delay of 1 day. Moreover, it is highly correlated with macroeconomic data and survey indicators of Swiss economic activity. Therefore, it provides timely and reliable warning signals if the h  ...[more]

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