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An evidence-based theory of change for reducing SARS-CoV-2 transmission in reopened schools.

ABSTRACT: Schools have closed worldwide as part of measures to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission but are beginning to reopen in some countries. Various measures are being pursued to minimise transmission but existing guidance has not developed a comprehensive framework or theory of change. We present a framework informed by the occupational health hierarchy of control and a theory of change informed by realist approaches. We present measures focused on elimination, substitution, engineering, administration, education and personal protective equipment. We theorise that such measures offer a means of disrupting SARS-CoV-2 transmission via routes involving fomites, faeco-oral routes, droplets and aerosols.

SUBMITTER: Bonell C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7373015 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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An evidence-based theory of change for reducing SARS-CoV-2 transmission in reopened schools.

Bonell Chris C Melendez-Torres G J GJ Viner Russell M RM Rogers M Brooke MB Whitworth Michael M Rutter Harry H Rubin G James GJ Patton George G

Health & place 20200721

Schools have closed worldwide as part of measures to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission but are beginning to reopen in some countries. Various measures are being pursued to minimise transmission but existing guidance has not developed a comprehensive framework or theory of change. We present a framework informed by the occupational health hierarchy of control and a theory of change informed by realist approaches. We present measures focused on elimination, substitution, engineering, administration, ...[more]

PMID: 32736311

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Project description:BackgroundBetter understanding of SARS-CoV-2 transmission risks is needed to support decision-making around mitigation measures for COVID-19 in schools.MethodsWe updated a living systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the extent of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools. In this update we modified our inclusion criteria to include: 1) cohort studies; 2) cross-sectional studies that investigated and cross-assessed SARS-COV-2 positivity rates in schools and communities; and 3) pre-post studies. We performed risk of bias evaluation for all included studies using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS).Results6270 articles were retrieved and six new studies were added in this update. In total from the two updates and using the new inclusion criteria, we identified 11 cohort studies (1st update: n = 5; 2nd update: n = 6) and one cross-sectional study (1st update: n = 1; 2nd update: n = 0). We performed a meta-analysis on nine of the 11 cohort studies investigating IAR in schools. Nine cohort studies reported a total of 91 student and 52 staff index cases that exposed 5698 contacts with 101 secondary infections (overall infection attack rate (IAR) = 1.45%, 95% CI = 0.31%-3.26%). IARs for students and school staff were 1.66% (95% CI = 0.08%-4.78%) and 1.18% (95% CI = 0.00%-4.43%) respectively. The risk of bias was found to be high for most studies identified, limiting the confidence in results.ConclusionsThere is limited high-quality evidence available to quantify the extent of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools or to compare it to community transmission. Emerging evidence suggests the overall IAR and SARS-CoV-2 positivity rate in school settings are low. Higher IAR were found in students, compared to staff.NoteThis article is a living systematic review that will be updated to reflect emerging evidence. This is the second version of the original article published on 23 December 2020 (J Glob Health 2020;11:021104), and previous versions can be found as data supplements. When citing this paper please consider adding the version number and date of access for clarity.

Project description:Background The role of children and young people (CYP) in transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in household and educational settings remains unclear. We undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis of contact-tracing and population-based studies at low risk of bias. Methods We searched 4 electronic databases on 28 July 2021 for contact-tracing studies and population-based studies informative about transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from 0-19 year olds in household or educational settings. We excluded studies at high risk of bias, including from under-ascertainment of asymptomatic infections. We undertook multilevel random effects meta-analyses of secondary attack rates (SAR: contact-tracing studies) and school infection prevalence, and used meta-regression to examine the impact of community SARS-CoV-2 incidence on school infection prevalence. Findings 4529 abstracts were reviewed, resulting in 37 included studies (16 contact-tracing; 19 population studies; 2 mixed studies). The pooled relative transmissibility of CYP compared with adults was 0.92 (0.68, 1.26) in adjusted household studies. The pooled SAR from CYP was lower (p=0.002) in school studies 0.7% (0.2, 2.7) than household studies (7.6% (3.6, 15.9) . There was no difference in SAR from CYP to child or adult contacts. School population studies showed some evidence of clustering in classes within schools. School infection prevalence was associated with contemporary community 14-day incidence (OR 1.003 (1.001, 1.004), p<0.001). Interpretation We found no difference in transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from CYP compared with adults within household settings. SAR were markedly lower in school compared with household settings, suggesting that household transmission is more important than school transmission in this pandemic. School infection prevalence was associated with community infection incidence, supporting hypotheses that school infections broadly reflect community infections. These findings are important for guiding policy decisions on shielding, vaccination school and operations during the pandemic.

Project description:BackgroundOver 214 million students globally have been affected by school closures during the COVID-19 pandemic. To address knowledge gaps on transmission of SARS-CoV-2 delta (B.1.617.2) and omicron (B.1.1.529) variants in educational settings we examined virus transmission in schools and early childhood education and care settings (ECECs) in New South Wales (NSW), Australia in relation to mitigation measures, including COVID-19 vaccination.MethodsSecondary transmission from children and adults with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection who attended a school (n = 3170) or ECECs (n = 5800) while infectious was investigated over two periods: 1) June 16 to September 18, 2021 (delta outbreak), and; 2) October 18 to December 18, 2021 (delta and omicron; schools only). Close contacts of cases underwent 14 days quarantine and SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid testing. Secondary attack rates (SARs) were calculated and compared with state-wide notification data, school attendance, and vaccination status.Findings1187 schools and 300 ECECs had students (n = 1349) or staff (n = 440) attend while infectious. Of 24,277 contacts investigated, most (91.8%; 22,297/24,277) were tested and 912 secondary cases identified. The secondary attack rate (SAR) was 5.9% in 139 ECECs and 3.5% in 312 schools. The risk of becoming a secondary case was higher in unvaccinated school staff (OR 4.7; 95% CI: 1.7-13.3), particularly ECEC staff (OR 9.0; 95% CI: 3.6-22.7) and unvaccinated school students than in vaccinated school staff. SARs were similar for delta (4.9%) and omicron BA.1 (4.1%) in the unvaccinated and higher compared with vaccinated contacts (0.9% and 3.4%, respectively). Increasing school attendance rates raised case incursions and secondary case numbers, but not community-wide infection rates.InterpretationVaccination reduced SARS-CoV-2 transmission rates in schools, although less so for omicron than delta variants. Despite higher community-based transmission rates, in-school transmission remained low and stable with high attendance, suggesting that community restrictions, rather than school closures, best mitigated COVID-19 impacts.FundingNSW Government Department of Health.

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An evidence-based theory of change for reducing SARS-CoV-2 transmission in reopened schools.

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An evidence-based theory of change for reducing SARS-CoV-2 transmission in reopened schools.

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