Dataset Information

Targeted Workup after Initial Febrile Urinary Tract Infection: Using a Novel Machine Learning Model to Identify Children Most Likely to Benefit from Voiding Cystourethrogram.

ABSTRACT: PURPOSE:Significant debate persists regarding the appropriate workup in children with an initial urinary tract infection. Greatly preferable to all or none approaches in the current guideline would be a model to identify children at highest risk for a recurrent urinary tract infection plus vesicoureteral reflux to allow for targeted voiding cystourethrogram while children at low risk could be observed. We sought to develop a model to predict the probability of recurrent urinary tract infection associated vesicoureteral reflux in children after an initial urinary tract infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS:We included subjects from the RIVUR (Randomized Intervention for Children with Vesico-Ureteral Reflux) and CUTIE (Careful Urinary Tract Infection Evaluation) trials in our study, excluding the prophylaxis treatment arm of the RIVUR. The main outcome was defined as recurrent urinary tract infection associated vesicoureteral reflux. Missing data were imputed using optimal tree imputation. Data were split into training, validation and testing sets. Machine learning algorithm hyperparameters were tuned by the validation set with fivefold cross-validation. RESULTS:A total of 500 subjects, including 305 from the RIVUR and 195 from the CUTIE trials, were included in study. Of the subjects 90% were female and mean ± SD age was 21 ± 19 months. A recurrent urinary tract infection developed in 72 patients, of whom 53 also had vesicoureteral reflux (10.6% of the total). The final model included age, sex, race, weight, the systolic blood pressure percentile, dysuria, the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio, prior antibiotic exposure and current medication. The model predicted recurrent urinary tract infection associated vesicoureteral reflux with an AUC of 0.761 (95% CI 0.714-0.808) in the testing set. CONCLUSIONS:Our predictive model using a novel machine learning algorithm provided promising performance to facilitate individualized treatment of children with an initial urinary tract infection and identify those most likely to benefit from voiding cystourethrogram after the initial urinary tract infection. This would allow for more selective application of this test, increasing the yield while also minimizing overuse.

SUBMITTER: Advanced Analytics Group of Pediatric Urology and ORC Personalized Medicine Group

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7373365 | biostudies-literature | 2019 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Publications

Targeted Workup after Initial Febrile Urinary Tract Infection: Using a Novel Machine Learning Model to Identify Children Most Likely to Benefit from Voiding Cystourethrogram.

The Journal of urology 20190607 1

<h4>Purpose</h4>Significant debate persists regarding the appropriate workup in children with an initial urinary tract infection. Greatly preferable to all or none approaches in the current guideline would be a model to identify children at highest risk for a recurrent urinary tract infection plus vesicoureteral reflux to allow for targeted voiding cystourethrogram while children at low risk could be observed. We sought to develop a model to predict the probability of recurrent urinary tract inf ...[more]

PMID: 30810465

Similar Datasets

Project description:BACKGROUND:The scope of this work is to build a Machine Learning model able to predict patients risk to contract a multidrug resistant urinary tract infection (MDR UTI) after hospitalization. To achieve this goal, we used different popular Machine Learning tools. Moreover, we integrated an easy-to-use cloud platform, called DSaaS (Data Science as a Service), well suited for hospital structures, where healthcare operators might not have specific competences in using programming languages but still, they do need to analyze data as a continuous process. Moreover, DSaaS allows the validation of data analysis models based on supervised Machine Learning regression and classification algorithms. RESULTS:We used DSaaS on a real antibiotic stewardship dataset to make predictions about antibiotic resistance in the Clinical Pathology Operative Unit of the Principe di Piemonte Hospital in Senigallia, Marche, Italy. Data related to a total of 1486 hospitalized patients with nosocomial urinary tract infection (UTI). Sex, age, age class, ward and time period, were used to predict the onset of a MDR UTI. Machine Learning methods such as Catboost, Support Vector Machine and Neural Networks were utilized to build predictive models. Among the performance evaluators, already implemented in DSaaS, we used accuracy (ACC), area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), area under Precision-Recall curve (AUC-PRC), F1 score, sensitivity (SEN), specificity and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC). Catboost exhibited the best predictive results (MCC 0.909; SEN 0.904; F1 score 0.809; AUC-PRC 0.853, AUC-ROC 0.739; ACC 0.717) with the highest value in every metric. CONCLUSIONS:the predictive model built with DSaaS may serve as a useful support tool for physicians treating hospitalized patients with a high risk to acquire MDR UTIs. We obtained these results using only five easy and fast predictors accessible for each patient hospitalization. In future, DSaaS will be enriched with more features like unsupervised Machine Learning techniques, streaming data analysis, distributed calculation and big data storage and management to allow researchers to perform a complete data analysis pipeline. The DSaaS prototype is available as a demo at the following address: https://dsaas-demo.shinyapps.io/Server/.

Project description:BackgroundUrinary tract infection (UTI) is a common emergency department (ED) diagnosis with reported high diagnostic error rates. Because a urine culture, part of the gold standard for diagnosis of UTI, is usually not available for 24-48 hours after an ED visit, diagnosis and treatment decisions are based on symptoms, physical findings, and other laboratory results, potentially leading to overutilization, antibiotic resistance, and delayed treatment. Previous research has demonstrated inadequate diagnostic performance for both individual laboratory tests and prediction tools.ObjectiveOur aim, was to train, validate, and compare machine-learning based predictive models for UTI in a large diverse set of ED patients.MethodsSingle-center, multi-site, retrospective cohort analysis of 80,387 adult ED visits with urine culture results and UTI symptoms. We developed models for UTI prediction with six machine learning algorithms using demographic information, vitals, laboratory results, medications, past medical history, chief complaint, and structured historical and physical exam findings. Models were developed with both the full set of 211 variables and a reduced set of 10 variables. UTI predictions were compared between models and to proxies of provider judgment (documentation of UTI diagnosis and antibiotic administration).ResultsThe machine learning models had an area under the curve ranging from 0.826-0.904, with extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) the top performing algorithm for both full and reduced models. The XGBoost full and reduced models demonstrated greatly improved specificity when compared to the provider judgment proxy of UTI diagnosis OR antibiotic administration with specificity differences of 33.3 (31.3-34.3) and 29.6 (28.5-30.6), while also demonstrating superior sensitivity when compared to documentation of UTI diagnosis with sensitivity differences of 38.7 (38.1-39.4) and 33.2 (32.5-33.9). In the admission and discharge cohorts using the full XGboost model, approximately 1 in 4 patients (4109/15855) would be re-categorized from a false positive to a true negative and approximately 1 in 11 patients (1372/15855) would be re-categorized from a false negative to a true positive.ConclusionThe best performing machine learning algorithm, XGBoost, accurately diagnosed positive urine culture results, and outperformed previously developed models in the literature and several proxies for provider judgment. Future prospective validation is warranted.

Dataset Information

Targeted Workup after Initial Febrile Urinary Tract Infection: Using a Novel Machine Learning Model to Identify Children Most Likely to Benefit from Voiding Cystourethrogram.

Publications

Targeted Workup after Initial Febrile Urinary Tract Infection: Using a Novel Machine Learning Model to Identify Children Most Likely to Benefit from Voiding Cystourethrogram.

Similar Datasets

OmicsDI is part of the ELIXIR infrastructure

Tweets