Forecasting unprecedented ecological fluctuations.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Bray SR
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7375592 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Forecasting unprecedented ecological fluctuations.
PLoS computational biology 20200629 6
Forecasting 'Black Swan' events in ecosystems is an important but challenging task. Many ecosystems display aperiodic fluctuations in species abundance spanning orders of magnitude in scale, which have vast environmental and economic impact. Empirical evidence and theoretical analyses suggest that these dynamics are in a regime where system nonlinearities limit accurate forecasting of unprecedented events due to poor extrapolation of historical data to unsampled states. Leveraging increasingly a ...[more]
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