Dataset Information

Early Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Hungary and Post-Lockdown Scenarios.

ABSTRACT: COVID-19 epidemic has been suppressed in Hungary due to timely non-pharmaceutical interventions, prompting a considerable reduction in the number of contacts and transmission of the virus. This strategy was effective in preventing epidemic growth and reducing the incidence of COVID-19 to low levels. In this report, we present the first epidemiological and statistical analysis of the early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Hungary. Then, we establish an age-structured compartmental model to explore alternative post-lockdown scenarios. We incorporate various factors, such as age-specific measures, seasonal effects, and spatial heterogeneity to project the possible peak size and disease burden of a COVID-19 epidemic wave after the current measures are relaxed.

SUBMITTER: Rost G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7412537 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jun

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Early Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Hungary and Post-Lockdown Scenarios.

Röst Gergely G Bartha Ferenc A FA Bogya Norbert N Boldog Péter P Dénes Attila A Ferenci Tamás T Horváth Krisztina J KJ Juhász Attila A Nagy Csilla C Tekeli Tamás T Vizi Zsolt Z Oroszi Beatrix B

Viruses 20200630 7

COVID-19 epidemic has been suppressed in Hungary due to timely non-pharmaceutical interventions, prompting a considerable reduction in the number of contacts and transmission of the virus. This strategy was effective in preventing epidemic growth and reducing the incidence of COVID-19 to low levels. In this report, we present the first epidemiological and statistical analysis of the early phase of the COVID-19 outbreak in Hungary. Then, we establish an age-structured compartmental model to explo ...[more]

PMID: 32629880

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Project description:ObjectiveThe novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has aroused a range of negative effects. Such considerable influence can be greater in vulnerable populations including pregnant women. This study aimed to assess the presence of prenatal depression (PND, as an important risk factor of postpartum depression) and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and to characterize infection-induced preventive behaviors and psychological responses in the early phase of COVID-19 outbreak.MethodsBased on a population-based sample of pregnant women from all regions in China, presence of probable PND and suspected PTSD were assessed using the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (≥13) and the PTSD Checklist (≥14), respectively. A web-based questionnaire was used to assess psychological and behavioral responses to COVID-19.ResultsAmong a total of 1908 questionnaires returned, 1901 women provided valid data (mean [SD] age, 28.9 [4.7] years). High prevalence of probable PND (34%) and suspected PTSD (40%) among pregnant women was observed. Those with suspected PTSD presented six times higher risk of probable PND than the non-suspected (OR=7.83, 95% CI: 6.29-9.75; p<0.001). Most women (91%-96%) reported anxiousness about infection of themselves and the members within their social network. Lack of security and loss of freedom were reported in approximately two-thirds of pregnant women. More frequent preventive behaviors, including handwashing, use of facemasks, and staying at home, were undertaken in more than 80% of the sample. Anxiousness of miscarriage and preterm birth were prevalent (>75%).ConclusionsHigh prevalence of PND and PTSD and high levels of anxiety suggest profound impacts of the present outbreak on mental health. This calls for special attention and support for vulnerable populations. Mental health care should become part of public health measures during the present outbreak and should continue to be intensified to empower the health system for post-outbreak periods.

Dataset Information

Early Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Hungary and Post-Lockdown Scenarios.

Publications

Early Phase of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Hungary and Post-Lockdown Scenarios.

Similar Datasets

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