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Genomic prediction applied to multiple traits and environments in second season maize hybrids.

ABSTRACT: Genomic selection has become a reality in plant breeding programs with the reduction in genotyping costs. Especially in maize breeding programs, it emerges as a promising tool for predicting hybrid performance. The dynamics of a commercial breeding program involve the evaluation of several traits simultaneously in a large set of target environments. Therefore, multi-trait multi-environment (MTME) genomic prediction models can leverage these datasets by exploring the correlation between traits and Genotype-by-Environment (G×E) interaction. Herein, we assess predictive abilities of univariate and multivariate genomic prediction models in a maize breeding program. To this end, we used data from 415 maize hybrids evaluated in 4 years of second season field trials for the traits grain yield, number of ears, and grain moisture. Genotypes of these hybrids were inferred in silico based on their parental inbred lines using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) markers obtained via genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS). Because genotypic information was available for only 257 hybrids, we used the genomic and pedigree relationship matrices to obtain the H matrix for all 415 hybrids. Our results demonstrated that in the single-environment context the use of multi-trait models was always superior in comparison to their univariate counterparts. Besides that, although MTME models were not particularly successful in predicting hybrid performance in untested years, they improved the ability to predict the performance of hybrids that had not been evaluated in any environment. However, the computational requirements of this kind of model could represent a limitation to its practical implementation and further investigation is necessary.

SUBMITTER: de Oliveira AA

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7413256 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Background Genomic selection is a powerful tool in plant breeding. By building a prediction model using a training set with markers and phenotypes, genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs) can be used as predictions of breeding values in a target set with only genotype data. There is, however, limited information on how prediction accuracy of genomic prediction can be optimized. The objective of this study was to evaluate the performance of 11 genomic prediction models across species in terms of prediction accuracy for two traits with different heritabilities using several subsets of markers and training population proportions. Species studied were maize (Zea mays, L.), soybean (Glycine max, L.), and rice (Oryza sativa, L.), which vary in linkage disequilibrium (LD) decay rates and have contrasting genetic architectures. Results Correlations between observed and predicted GEBVs were determined via cross validation for three training-to-testing proportions (90:10, 70:30, and 50:50). Maize, which has the shortest extent of LD, showed the highest prediction accuracy. Amongst all the models tested, Bayes B performed better than or equal to all other models for each trait in all the three crops. Traits with higher broad-sense and narrow-sense heritabilities were associated with higher prediction accuracy. When subsets of markers were selected based on LD, the accuracy was similar to that observed from the complete set of markers. However, prediction accuracies were significantly improved when using a subset of total markers that were significant at P ≤ 0.05 or P ≤ 0.10. As expected, exclusion of QTL-associated markers in the model reduced prediction accuracy. Prediction accuracy varied among different training population proportions. Conclusions We conclude that prediction accuracy for genomic selection can be improved by using the Bayes B model with a subset of significant markers and by selecting the training population based on narrow sense heritability. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12870-022-03479-y.

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Genomic prediction applied to multiple traits and environments in second season maize hybrids.

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