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A three-mRNA status risk score has greater predictive ability compared with a lncRNA-based risk score for predicting prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

ABSTRACT: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents the fifth most common cause of cancer-associated mortality in men, and the seventh in women, worldwide. The aim of the present study was to identify a reliable and robust RNA-based risk score for the survival prediction of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Gene expression data from HCC and healthy control samples were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas to screen differentially expressed mRNAs and long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression models and the LASSO algorithm for the Cox proportional-hazards model (LASSO Cox-PH model) were used to identify the prognostic mRNAs and lncRNAs among differentially expressed mRNAs (DEMs) and differentially expressed lncRNAs (DELs), respectively. Prognostic risk scores were generated based on the expression level or status of the prognostic lncRNAs and mRNAs, and the predictive abilities of these RNAs in TCGA and validation datasets were compared. Functional enrichment analyses were also performed. The results revealed a total of 154 downregulated and 625 upregulated mRNAs and 18 upregulated lncRNAs between tumor and control samples in TCGA dataset. A three-mRNA and a five-lncRNA expression signatures were identified using the LASSO Cox-PH model. Three-mRNA and five-lncRNA expression and status risk scores were generated. Using likelihood ratio P-values and area under the curve values from TCGA and the validation datasets, the three-mRNA status risk score was more accurate compared with the other risk scores in predicting the mortality of patients with HCC. The three identified mRNAs, including hepatitis A virus cellular receptor 1, MYCN proto-oncogene BHLH transcription factor and stratifin, were associated with the cell cycle and oocyte maturation pathways. Therefore, a three-mRNA status risk score may be valuable and robust for risk stratification of patients with HCC. The three-mRNA status risk score exhibited greater prognostic value compared with the lncRNA-based risk score.

SUBMITTER: Zhang W

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7416381 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A three-mRNA status risk score has greater predictive ability compared with a lncRNA-based risk score for predicting prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Zhang Wenxia W Fu Qiang Q Yao Kanyu K

Oncology letters 20200724 4

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents the fifth most common cause of cancer-associated mortality in men, and the seventh in women, worldwide. The aim of the present study was to identify a reliable and robust RNA-based risk score for the survival prediction of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Gene expression data from HCC and healthy control samples were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas to screen differentially expressed mRNAs and long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs). Univariate ...[more]

PMID: 32788937

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Project description:Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common type of primary liver cancer, and can be induced by hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. The aim of the present study was to screen prognosis‑associated long noncoding RNAs (lncRNAs) and construct a risk score system for the disease. The RNA‑sequencing data of patients with HCC (including 100 HCC samples and 26 normal samples) were extracted from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. In addition, GSE55092, GSE19665 and GSE10186 datasets were downloaded from the Gene Expression Omnibus database. Combined with weighted gene co‑expression network analysis, the identification and functional annotation of stable modules was performed. Using the MetaDE package, the consensus differentially expressed RNAs (DE‑RNAs) were analyzed. To construct a risk score system, prognosis‑associated lncRNAs and the optimal lncRNA combination were separately analyzed by survival and penalized packages. Finally, pathway enrichment analysis for the nodes in an lncRNA‑mRNA network was conducted via Gene Set Enrichment Analysis. A total of four stable modules and 3,051 consensus DE‑RNAs were identified. The stable modules were significantly associated with the histological grades of HCC, tumor, node and metastasis stage, pathological stage, recurrence and exposure to radiation therapy. A 9‑lncRNA optimal combination [DiGeorge syndrome critical region gene 9, glucosidase, β, acid 3 (GBA3), HLA complex group 4, N‑acetyltransferase 8B, neighbor of breast cancer 1 gene 2, prostate androgen‑regulated transcript 1, ret finger protein like 1 antisense RNA 1, solute carrier family 22 member 18 antisense and T‑cell leukemia/lymphoma 6] was selected from the 14 prognosis‑associated lncRNAs, and was further supported by the validation dataset, GSE10186. The lncRNA‑mRNA co‑expression network revealed lncRNA GBA3 as a positive regulator of phosphoenolpyruvate carboxykinase 2, an important enzyme in the metabolic pathway of gluconeogenesis. A risk score system was established based on the optimal 9 lncRNAs, which may be valuable for predicting the prognosis of patients with HBV‑positive HCC and improving understanding of mechanisms associated with the pathogenesis of this disease. On the contrary, a larger, independent cohort of patients is required to further validate the risk‑score system.

Project description:ImportancePolygenic risk scores comprising millions of single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) could be useful for population-wide coronary heart disease (CHD) screening.ObjectiveTo determine whether a polygenic risk score improves prediction of CHD compared with a guideline-recommended clinical risk equation.Design, setting, and participantsA retrospective cohort study of the predictive accuracy of a previously validated polygenic risk score was assessed among 4847 adults of white European ancestry, aged 45 through 79 years, participating in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study and 2390 participating in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) from 1996 through December 31, 2015, the final day of follow-up. The performance of the polygenic risk score was compared with that of the 2013 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association pooled cohort equations.ExposuresGenetic risk was computed for each participant by summing the product of the weights and allele dosage across 6 630 149 SNPs. Weights were based on an international genome-wide association study.Main outcomes and measuresPrediction of 10-year first CHD events (including myocardial infarctions, fatal coronary events, silent infarctions, revascularization procedures, or resuscitated cardiac arrest) assessed using measures of model discrimination, calibration, and net reclassification improvement (NRI).ResultsThe study population included 4847 adults from the ARIC study (mean [SD] age, 62.9 [5.6] years; 56.4% women) and 2390 adults from the MESA cohort (mean [SD] age, 61.8 [9.6] years; 52.2% women). Incident CHD events occurred in 696 participants (14.4%) and 227 participants (9.5%), respectively, over median follow-up of 15.5 years (interquartile range [IQR], 6.3 years) and 14.2 (IQR, 2.5 years) years. The polygenic risk score was significantly associated with 10-year CHD incidence in ARIC with hazard ratios per SD increment of 1.24 (95% CI, 1.15 to 1.34) and in MESA, 1.38 (95% CI, 1.21 to 1.58). Addition of the polygenic risk score to the pooled cohort equations did not significantly increase the C statistic in either cohort (ARIC, change in C statistic, -0.001; 95% CI, -0.009 to 0.006; MESA, 0.021; 95% CI, -0.0004 to 0.043). At the 10-year risk threshold of 7.5%, the addition of the polygenic risk score to the pooled cohort equations did not provide significant improvement in reclassification in either ARIC (NRI, 0.018, 95% CI, -0.012 to 0.036) or MESA (NRI, 0.001, 95% CI, -0.038 to 0.076). The polygenic risk score did not significantly improve calibration in either cohort.Conclusions and relevanceIn this analysis of 2 cohorts of US adults, the polygenic risk score was associated with incident coronary heart disease events but did not significantly improve discrimination, calibration, or risk reclassification compared with conventional predictors. These findings suggest that a polygenic risk score may not enhance risk prediction in a general, white middle-aged population.

Dataset Information

A three-mRNA status risk score has greater predictive ability compared with a lncRNA-based risk score for predicting prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Publications

A three-mRNA status risk score has greater predictive ability compared with a lncRNA-based risk score for predicting prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Similar Datasets

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