Dataset Information

Predicting viral exposure response from modeling the changes of co-expression networks using time series gene expression data.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Deciphering the relationship between clinical responses and gene expression profiles may shed light on the mechanisms underlying diseases. Most existing literature has focused on exploring such relationship from cross-sectional gene expression data. It is likely that the dynamic nature of time-series gene expression data is more informative in predicting clinical response and revealing the physiological process of disease development. However, it remains challenging to extract useful dynamic information from time-series gene expression data.

Results

We propose a statistical framework built on considering co-expression network changes across time from time series gene expression data. It first detects change point for co-expression networks and then employs a Bayesian multiple kernel learning method to predict exposure response. There are two main novelties in our method: the use of change point detection to characterize the co-expression network dynamics, and the use of kernel function to measure the similarity between subjects. Our algorithm allows exposure response prediction using dynamic network information across a collection of informative gene sets. Through parameter estimations, our model has clear biological interpretations. The performance of our method on the simulated data under different scenarios demonstrates that the proposed algorithm has better explanatory power and classification accuracy than commonly used machine learning algorithms. The application of our method to time series gene expression profiles measured in peripheral blood from a group of subjects with respiratory viral exposure shows that our method can predict exposure response at early stage (within 24 h) and the informative gene sets are enriched for pathways related to respiratory and influenza virus infection.

Conclusions

The biological hypothesis in this paper is that the dynamic changes of the biological system are related to the clinical response. Our results suggest that when the relationship between the clinical response and a single gene or a gene set is not significant, we may benefit from studying the relationships among genes in gene sets that may lead to novel biological insights.

SUBMITTER: Dong F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7449007 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Predicting viral exposure response from modeling the changes of co-expression networks using time series gene expression data.

Dong Fangli F He Yong Y Wang Tao T Han Dong D Lu Hui H Zhao Hongyu H

BMC bioinformatics 20200826 1

<h4>Background</h4>Deciphering the relationship between clinical responses and gene expression profiles may shed light on the mechanisms underlying diseases. Most existing literature has focused on exploring such relationship from cross-sectional gene expression data. It is likely that the dynamic nature of time-series gene expression data is more informative in predicting clinical response and revealing the physiological process of disease development. However, it remains challenging to extract ...[more]

PMID: 32842958

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Project description:Direct reading instruments are valuable tools for measuring exposure as they provide real-time measurements for rapid decision making. However, their use is limited to general survey applications in part due to issues related to their performance. Moreover, statistical analysis of real-time data is complicated by autocorrelation among successive measurements, non-stationary time series, and the presence of left-censoring due to limit-of-detection (LOD). A Bayesian framework is proposed that accounts for non-stationary autocorrelation and LOD issues in exposure time-series data in order to model workplace factors that affect exposure and estimate summary statistics for tasks or other covariates of interest.A spline-based approach is used to model non-stationary autocorrelation with relatively few assumptions about autocorrelation structure. Left-censoring is addressed by integrating over the left tail of the distribution. The model is fit using Markov-Chain Monte Carlo within a Bayesian paradigm. The method can flexibly account for hierarchical relationships, random effects and fixed effects of covariates. The method is implemented using the rjags package in R, and is illustrated by applying it to real-time exposure data. Estimates for task means and covariates from the Bayesian model are compared to those from conventional frequentist models including linear regression, mixed-effects, and time-series models with different autocorrelation structures. Simulations studies are also conducted to evaluate method performance.Simulation studies with percent of measurements below the LOD ranging from 0 to 50% showed lowest root mean squared errors for task means and the least biased standard deviations from the Bayesian model compared to the frequentist models across all levels of LOD. In the application, task means from the Bayesian model were similar to means from the frequentist models, while the standard deviations were different. Parameter estimates for covariates were significant in some frequentist models, but in the Bayesian model their credible intervals contained zero; such discrepancies were observed in multiple datasets. Variance components from the Bayesian model reflected substantial autocorrelation, consistent with the frequentist models, except for the auto-regressive moving average model. Plots of means from the Bayesian model showed good fit to the observed data.The proposed Bayesian model provides an approach for modeling non-stationary autocorrelation in a hierarchical modeling framework to estimate task means, standard deviations, quantiles, and parameter estimates for covariates that are less biased and have better performance characteristics than some of the contemporary methods.

Dataset Information

Predicting viral exposure response from modeling the changes of co-expression networks using time series gene expression data.

Background

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Predicting viral exposure response from modeling the changes of co-expression networks using time series gene expression data.

Similar Datasets

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