Dataset Information

Body mass index change and estimated glomerular filtration rate decline in a middle-aged population: health check-based cohort in Japan.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Obesity is a growing public health problem worldwide. We evaluated the mediators and association between changes in obesity metrics and renal outcomes in the general population. METHODS:Using the Japanese nationwide health check-based cohort from April 2011 to March 2019, we selected individuals aged 40-74 years, with a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ?45?mL/min/1.73?m2, whose body mass index (BMI) change was assessed. The primary outcome was combined 30% decline in eGFR, eGFR <15?mL/min/1.73?m2 and end-stage renal disease. RESULTS:During 245?147 person-years' follow-up among 50?604 participants (mean eGFR, 83.7?mL/min/1.73?m2; mean BMI, 24.1?kg/m2), 645 demonstrated eGFR decline (incidence rate 2.6/1000 person-years, 95%?CI: 2.4 to 2.8). We observed continued initial changes in BMI for over 6 years and a U-shaped association between BMI change and eGFR decline. Compared with 0% change in BMI, adjusted HRs for changes of -10%, -4%, 4% and 10% were 1.53 (95% CI: 1.15 to 2.04), 1.14 (95% CI: 1.01 to 1.30), 1.16 (95% CI: 1.02 to 1.32) and 1.87 (95% CI: 1.25 to 2.80), respectively. The percentage of excess risk of BMI increase (>4%) mediated by three risk factors (blood pressure, haemoglobin A1c and total cholesterol), was 13.3%. CONCLUSION:In the middle-aged Japanese population, both, increase and decrease in BMI were associated with subsequent eGFR decline. Changes in risk factors mediated a small proportion of the association between BMI increase and eGFR decline. Our findings support the clinical significance of monitoring BMI as a renal risk factor.

SUBMITTER: Fukuma S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7476489 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Body mass index change and estimated glomerular filtration rate decline in a middle-aged population: health check-based cohort in Japan.

Fukuma Shingo S Ikenoue Tatsuyoshi T Bragg-Gresham Jennifer J Norton Edward E Yamada Yukari Y Kohmoto Daichi D Saran Rajiv R

BMJ open 20200906 9

<h4>Background</h4>Obesity is a growing public health problem worldwide. We evaluated the mediators and association between changes in obesity metrics and renal outcomes in the general population.<h4>Methods</h4>Using the Japanese nationwide health check-based cohort from April 2011 to March 2019, we selected individuals aged 40-74 years, with a baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥45 mL/min/1.73 m<sup>2</sup>, whose body mass index (BMI) change was assessed. The primary outcome ...[more]

PMID: 32895282

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Project description:A progressive trajectory toward renal failure is common in patients with Alport syndrome. Genotype-phenotype correlations have been well described; however, the natural history of the trajectory toward renal failure is not well described.The objective of this study is to describe the natural history of renal function decline in a cohort of Alport syndrome patients.Retrospective observational cohort study.British Columbia, Canada, chronic renal disease registry 1995-2012.37 biopsy proven Alport syndrome or hematuria with family history of Alport syndrome.Serial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) Trajectory of renal decline described graphically by fitting a cubic smoothing spline to patient's eGFR measures. Various time points within a trajectory were indexed, randomly sampled, and followed for 2 years to estimate portion of progressors (>5 mL/min/1.73 m2 /y decline), stable state (0-2 mL/min/1.73 m2 /y decline), and regressors (>2 mL/min/1.73 m2 /y incline).In this retrospective observational cohort study, participants were identified through a chronic renal disease registry in British Columbia, Canada, from 1995 to 2012. Inclusion criteria were biopsy proven or hematuria with a family history of Alport syndrome. Individual patients and family group members were studied. Trajectory of renal decline described graphically by fitting a cubic smoothing spline to patient's serial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measures. Various time points within a trajectory were indexed, randomly sampled, and followed for 2 years to estimate portion of progressors (>5 mL/min/1.73 m2/y decline), stable state (0-2 mL/min/1.73 m2/y decline), and regressors (>2 mL/min/1.73 m2/y incline).Histological or genetic evidence of Alport syndrome is not available in all patients.Median follow-up time was 48.2 months of 37 patients (78% male), with a median age of 36 (interquartile range [IQR], 18-47) and a median age of renal replacement therapy commencement (n = 23) of 38 (IQR = 20-52). Renal function changes were found to be heterogeneous overall, intra-individual and within families. Portion of progressors in eGFR 45-60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was 73.7% (SD, 10.3), whereas 23.6% (SD, 11.0) remained stable. Within eGFR 30-45 mL/min/1.73 m2, 45.6% (SD, 7.0) were progressors, whereas 53.4% (SD, 7.4) remained stable. A large portion of eGFR 15-30 mL/min/1.73 m2 patients were stable (54.8%; SD, 8.4), whereas 25.7% (SD, 7.1) progressed and 19.5% (SD, 5.6) regressed.The renal decline in Alport syndrome patients is heterogeneous which has implications for designing clinical trials of interventions.

Project description:IMPORTANCE:The established chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression end point of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or a doubling of serum creatinine concentration (corresponding to a change in estimated glomerular filtration rate [GFR] of ?57% or greater) is a late event. OBJECTIVE:To characterize the association of decline in estimated GFR with subsequent progression to ESRD with implications for using lesser declines in estimated GFR as potential alternative end points for CKD progression. Because most people with CKD die before reaching ESRD, mortality risk also was investigated. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION:Individual meta-analysis of 1.7 million participants with 12,344 ESRD events and 223,944 deaths from 35 cohorts in the CKD Prognosis Consortium with a repeated measure of serum creatinine concentration over 1 to 3 years and outcome data. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS:Transfer of individual participant data or standardized analysis of outputs for random-effects meta-analysis conducted between July 2012 and September 2013, with baseline estimated GFR values collected from 1975 through 2012. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES:End-stage renal disease (initiation of dialysis or transplantation) or all-cause mortality risk related to percentage change in estimated GFR over 2 years, adjusted for potential confounders and first estimated GFR. RESULTS:The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of ESRD and mortality were higher with larger estimated GFR decline. Among participants with baseline estimated GFR of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, the adjusted HRs for ESRD were 32.1 (95% CI, 22.3-46.3) for changes of ?57% in estimated GFR and 5.4 (95% CI, 4.5-6.4) for changes of ?30%. However, changes of ?30% or greater (6.9% [95% CI, 6.4%-7.4%] of the entire consortium) were more common than changes of ?57% (0.79% [95% CI, 0.52%-1.06%]). This association was strong and consistent across the length of the baseline period (1 to 3 years), baseline estimated GFR, age, diabetes status, or albuminuria. Average adjusted 10-year risk of ESRD (in patients with a baseline estimated GFR of 35 mL/min/1.73 m2) was 99% (95% CI, 95%-100%) for estimated GFR change of ?57%, was 83% (95% CI, 71%-93%) for estimated GFR change of ?40%, and was 64% (95% CI, 52%-77%) for estimated GFR change of ?30% vs 18% (95% CI, 15%-22%) for estimated GFR change of 0%. Corresponding mortality risks were 77% (95% CI, 71%-82%), 60% (95% CI, 56%-63%), and 50% (95% CI, 47%-52%) vs 32% (95% CI, 31%-33%), showing a similar but weaker pattern. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE:Declines in estimated GFR smaller than a doubling of serum creatinine concentration occurred more commonly and were strongly and consistently associated with the risk of ESRD and mortality, supporting consideration of lesser declines in estimated GFR (such as a 30% reduction over 2 years) as an alternative end point for CKD progression.

Dataset Information

Body mass index change and estimated glomerular filtration rate decline in a middle-aged population: health check-based cohort in Japan.

Publications

Body mass index change and estimated glomerular filtration rate decline in a middle-aged population: health check-based cohort in Japan.

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