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A Genetic Risk Score to Personalize Prostate Cancer Screening, Applied to Population Data.


ABSTRACT:

Background

A polygenic hazard score (PHS), the weighted sum of 54 SNP genotypes, was previously validated for association with clinically significant prostate cancer and for improved prostate cancer screening accuracy. Here, we assess the potential impact of PHS-informed screening.

Methods

United Kingdom population incidence data (Cancer Research United Kingdom) and data from the Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer were combined to estimate age-specific clinically significant prostate cancer incidence (Gleason score ?7, stage T3-T4, PSA ?10, or nodal/distant metastases). Using HRs estimated from the ProtecT prostate cancer trial, age-specific incidence rates were calculated for various PHS risk percentiles. Risk-equivalent age, when someone with a given PHS percentile has prostate cancer risk equivalent to an average 50-year-old man (50-year-standard risk), was derived from PHS and incidence data. Positive predictive value (PPV) of PSA testing for clinically significant prostate cancer was calculated using PHS-adjusted age groups.

Results

The expected age at diagnosis of clinically significant prostate cancer differs by 19 years between the 1st and 99th PHS percentiles: men with PHS in the 1st and 99th percentiles reach the 50-year-standard risk level at ages 60 and 41, respectively. PPV of PSA was higher for men with higher PHS-adjusted age.

Conclusions

PHS provides individualized estimates of risk-equivalent age for clinically significant prostate cancer. Screening initiation could be adjusted by a man's PHS.

Impact

Personalized genetic risk assessments could inform prostate cancer screening decisions.

SUBMITTER: Huynh-Le MP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7483627 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

A Genetic Risk Score to Personalize Prostate Cancer Screening, Applied to Population Data.

Huynh-Le Minh-Phuong MP   Fan Chun Chieh CC   Karunamuni Roshan R   Walsh Eleanor I EI   Turner Emma L EL   Lane J Athene JA   Lane J Athene JA   Martin Richard M RM   Neal David E DE   Donovan Jenny L JL   Hamdy Freddie C FC   Parsons J Kellogg JK   Eeles Rosalind A RA   Easton Douglas F DF   Kote-Jarai Zsofia Z   Amin Al Olama Ali A   Benlloch Garcia Sara S   Muir Kenneth K   Grönberg Henrik H   Wiklund Fredrik F   Aly Markus M   Schleutker Johanna J   Sipeky Csilla C   Tammela Teuvo Lj TL   Nordestgaard Børge Grønne BG   Key Timothy J TJ   Travis Ruth C RC   Pharoah Paul D P PDP   Pashayan Nora N   Khaw Kay-Tee KT   Thibodeau Stephen N SN   McDonnell Shannon K SK   Schaid Daniel J DJ   Maier Christiane C   Vogel Walther W   Luedeke Manuel M   Herkommer Kathleen K   Kibel Adam S AS   Cybulski Cezary C   Wokolorczyk Dominika D   Kluzniak Wojciech W   Cannon-Albright Lisa A LA   Brenner Hermann H   Brenner Hermann H   Schöttker Ben B   Holleczek Bernd B   Park Jong Y JY   Sellers Thomas A TA   Lin Hui-Yi HY   Slavov Chavdar Kroumov CK   Kaneva Radka P RP   Mitev Vanio I VI   Batra Jyotsna J   Clements Judith A JA   Spurdle Amanda B AB   Teixeira Manuel R MR   Paulo Paula P   Maia Sofia S   Pandha Hardev H   Michael Agnieszka A   Mills Ian G IG   Andreassen Ole A OA   Dale Anders M AM   Seibert Tyler M TM  

Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology 20200624 9


<h4>Background</h4>A polygenic hazard score (PHS), the weighted sum of 54 SNP genotypes, was previously validated for association with clinically significant prostate cancer and for improved prostate cancer screening accuracy. Here, we assess the potential impact of PHS-informed screening.<h4>Methods</h4>United Kingdom population incidence data (Cancer Research United Kingdom) and data from the Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer were combined to estimate age-specific cli  ...[more]

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