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Germline BRCA 1-2 status prediction through ovarian ultrasound images radiogenomics: a hypothesis generating study (PROBE study)

ABSTRACT: Radiogenomics is a specific application of radiomics where imaging features are linked to genomic profiles. We aim to develop a radiogenomics model based on ovarian US images for predicting germline BRCA1/2 gene status in women with healthy ovaries. From January 2013 to December 2017 a total of 255 patients addressed to germline BRCA1/2 testing and pelvic US documenting normal ovaries, were retrospectively included. Feature selection for univariate analysis was carried out via correlation analysis. Multivariable analysis for classification of germline BRCA1/2 status was then carried out via logistic regression, support vector machine, ensemble of decision trees and automated machine learning pipelines. Data were split into a training (75%) and a testing (25%) set. The four strategies obtained a similar performance in terms of accuracy on the testing set (from 0.54 of logistic regression to 0.64 of the auto-machine learning pipeline). Data coming from one of the tested US machine showed generally higher performances, particularly with the auto-machine learning pipeline (testing set specificity 0.87, negative predictive value 0.73, accuracy value 0.72 and 0.79 on training set). The study shows that a radiogenomics model on machine learning techniques is feasible and potentially useful for predicting gBRCA1/2 status in women with healthy ovaries.

SUBMITTER: Nero C

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7536234 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundIdentifying breast cancer (BC) patients with germline breast cancer susceptibility gene (gBRCA) mutation is important. The current criteria for germline testing for BC remain controversial. This study aimed to develop a nomogram incorporating ultrasound radiomic features and clinicopathological factors to predict gBRCA mutations in patients with BC.Materials and methodsIn this retrospective study, 497 women with BC who underwent gBRCA genetic testing from March 2013 to May 2022 were included, including 348 for training (84 with and 264 without a gBRCA mutation) and 149 for validation(36 patients with and 113 without a gBRCA mutation). Factors associated with gBRCA mutations were identified to establish a clinicopathological model. Radiomics features were extracted from the intratumoral and peritumoral regions (3 mm and 5 mm) of each image. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression algorithm was used to select the features and logistic regression analysis was used to construct three imaging models. Finally, a nomogram that combined clinicopathological and radiomics features was developed. The models were evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration, and clinical usefulness.ResultsAge at diagnosis, family history of BC, personal history of other BRCA-related cancers, and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status were independent predictors of the clinicopathological model. The AUC of the imaging radiomics model combining intratumoral and peritumoral 3 mm areas in the validation set was 0.783 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.702-0.862), which showed the best performance among three imaging models. The nomogram yielded better performance than the clinicopathological model in validation sets (AUC: 0.824 [0.755-0.894] versus 0.659 [0.563-0.755], p = 0.007).ConclusionThe nomogram based on ultrasound images and clinicopathological factors performs well in predicting gBRCA mutations in BC patients and may help to improve clinical decisions about genetic testing.

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Germline BRCA 1-2 status prediction through ovarian ultrasound images radiogenomics: a hypothesis generating study (PROBE study)

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