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A data-driven prospective study of dementia among older adults in the United States.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:Studies examining risk factors for dementia have typically focused on testing a priori hypotheses within specific risk factor domains, leaving unanswered the question of what risk factors across broad and diverse research fields may be most important to predicting dementia. We examined the relative importance of 65 sociodemographic, early-life, economic, health and behavioral, social, and genetic risk factors across the life course in predicting incident dementia and how these rankings may vary across racial/ethnic (non-Hispanic white and black) and gender (men and women) groups. METHODS AND FINDINGS:We conducted a prospective analysis of dementia and its association with 65 risk factors in a sample of 7,908 adults aged 51 years and older from the nationally representative US-based Health and Retirement Study. We used traditional survival analysis methods (Fine and Gray models) and a data-driven approach (random survival forests for competing risks) which allowed us to account for the semi-competing risk of death with up to 14 years of follow-up. Overall, the top five predictors across all groups were lower education, loneliness, lower wealth and income, and lower self-reported health. However, we observed variation in the leading predictors of dementia across racial/ethnic and gender groups such that at most four risk factors were consistently observed in the top ten predictors across the four demographic strata (non-Hispanic white men, non-Hispanic white women, non-Hispanic black men, non-Hispanic black women). CONCLUSIONS:We identified leading risk factors across racial/ethnic and gender groups that predict incident dementia over a 14-year period among a nationally representative sample of US aged 51 years and older. Our ranked lists may be useful for guiding future observational and quasi-experimental research that investigates understudied domains of risk and emphasizes life course economic and health conditions as well as disparities therein.

SUBMITTER: Weiss J

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7540891 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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A data-driven prospective study of dementia among older adults in the United States.

Weiss Jordan J Puterman Eli E Prather Aric A AA Ware Erin B EB Rehkopf David H DH

PloS one 20201007 10

<h4>Background</h4>Studies examining risk factors for dementia have typically focused on testing a priori hypotheses within specific risk factor domains, leaving unanswered the question of what risk factors across broad and diverse research fields may be most important to predicting dementia. We examined the relative importance of 65 sociodemographic, early-life, economic, health and behavioral, social, and genetic risk factors across the life course in predicting incident dementia and how these ...[more]

PMID: 33027275

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Project description:BackgroundLittle is known about the incidence of clinical events and treatment patterns among older adults with dementia-related psychosis. Given that dementia-related psychosis comprises various dementia types, this study describes the incidence of clinical events and treatment patterns by dementia type after patients with dementia are diagnosed with psychosis.MethodsAdults aged ≥ 65 years with dementia and newly diagnosed with psychosis were identified in US Medicare claims during 2013-2018. Baseline characteristics were evaluated at the time of the psychosis diagnosis. After the initial psychosis diagnosis, incidence rates (IRs) of clinical events (e.g., falls/fractures, infections, healthcare utilization), mortality, and patterns of antipsychotic treatment were described for each dementia type (Alzheimer's disease [AD], Parkinson's disease dementia [PDD], dementia with Lewy bodies [DLB], frontotemporal dementia [FTD], vascular dementia [VD], and unspecified dementia). Daily mean cumulative counts were estimated to describe the incidence of recurrent events over time. Mortality was described using Kaplan-Meier survival curves.ResultsWe identified 484,520 patients with dementia-related psychosis: mean age, 84 years (standard deviation, 7.8); female, 66%. At the time of psychosis diagnosis, the most prevalent type of dementia was unspecified dementia (56%), followed by AD (31%), VD (12%), PDD (10%), DLB (3%), and FTD (< 1%), and most patients had scores indicating severe illness on the Charlson Comorbidity Index (71%) and frailty index (62%). Across all dementia types, IRs (per 100 person-years) were high for emergency department visits, oral anti-infective use, and urinary tract infections after the initial psychosis diagnosis. Patients with DLB had the highest incidence of most clinical outcomes. After 1 year of follow-up, the cumulative probability of death was about 30% for all dementia types, and after 5 years, was about 80% among patients with DLB, VD, AD, or PDD and about 60%-65% among patients with FTD or unspecified dementia.ConclusionsPatients with dementia-related psychosis had a high burden of comorbidities, frailty, emergency department visits, infections, and death. Specifically, after DRP diagnosis, patients with DLB and VD had the highest burden of clinical events of interest.

Project description:PurposeAlthough visual impairment (VI) has been associated with worse cognitive performance among older adults, the temporal relationship between the 2 remains subject to debate. Our objective was to investigate the longitudinal impact of VI on cognitive function and vice versa.DesignRetrospective, time-to-event study.ParticipantsNational Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS) participants from 2011 to 2018 cycles.MethodsA total of 10 676 participants aged 65 years and older were included. Cox proportional hazards regression models evaluated the impact of baseline VI on subsequent dementia and impact of baseline dementia on subsequent VI. Models were adjusted for potential confounding variables, including demographics, clinical comorbidities, and hearing and physical function limitations.Main outcome measuresHazard ratio (HR) for incident dementia among participants with baseline self-reported VI and HR for incident VI among participants with baseline dementia.ResultsOf the 10 676 participants included in the analysis, approximately 40% were aged 65-74 years, 40% were aged 75-84 years, and the remaining 20% were aged 85 years and older. The majority were female (59%), and 68% self-identified as non-Hispanic White. Among participants with normal cognitive status at baseline, subsequent dementia was observed in 1753 (16%), and among participants with normal self-reported vision at baseline, subsequent VI was reported in 2371 (22%). In adjusted regression models, participants with baseline VI had higher likelihood of developing dementia over subsequent follow-up (HR, 2.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0-2.6; P < 0.001). Likewise, participants with baseline dementia had a higher likelihood of developing self-reported VI over time (HR, 2.5; 95% CI, 2.2-2.8; P < 0.001).ConclusionsSelf-reported VI in the US Medicare population is associated with greater dementia likelihood over time, and dementia is similarly associated with greater VI likelihood over time. Associations are likely multifactorial and bidirectional and could be explained by intervening variables in the path from VI to dementia, or vice versa, or by common risk factors for pathological processes in both eyes and brain. These findings suggest the need for early identification of older adults with visual compromise and consideration of visual disability in the cognitively impaired.

Project description:ImportanceHearing and vision problems are individually associated with increased dementia risk, but the impact of having concurrent hearing and vision deficits, ie, dual sensory impairment (DSI), on risk of dementia, including its major subtypes Alzheimer disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD), is not well known.ObjectiveTo evaluate whether DSI is associated with incident dementia in older adults.Design, setting, and participantsThis prospective cohort study from the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS) was conducted between 1992 and 1999, with as many as 8 years of follow-up. The multicenter, population-based sample was recruited from Medicare eligibility files in 4 US communities with academic medical centers. Of 5888 participants aged 65 years and older in CHS, 3602 underwent cranial magnetic resonance imaging and completed the modified Mini-Mental State Examination in 1992 to 1994 as part of the CHS Cognition Study. A total of 227 participants were excluded due to prevalent dementia, leaving a total of 3375 participants without dementia at study baseline. The study hypothesis was that DSI would be associated with increased risk of dementia compared with no sensory impairment. The association between the duration of DSI with risk of dementia was also evaluated. Data analysis was conducted from November 2019 to February 2020.ExposuresHearing and vision impairments were collected via self-report at baseline and as many as 5 follow-up visits.Main outcomes and measuresAll-cause dementia, AD, and VaD, classified by a multidisciplinary committee using standardized criteria.ResultsA total of 2927 participants with information on hearing and vision at all available study visits were included in the analysis (mean [SD] age, 74.6 [4.8] years; 1704 [58.2%] women; 455 [15.5%] African American or Black; 2472 [85.5%] White). Compared with no sensory impairment, DSI was associated with increased risk of all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 2.60; 95% CI, 1.66-2.06; P < .001), AD (HR, 3.67; 95% CI, 2.04-6.60; P < .001) but not VaD (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.00-4.09; P = .05).Conclusions and relevanceIn this cohort study, DSI was associated with increased risk of dementia, particularly AD. Evaluation of hearing and vision in older adults may help to identify those at high risk of developing dementia.

Project description:ObjectiveThis study aimed to identify temporal time trends and risk factors associated with mortality for hospitalized older adults with status epilepticus (SE).DesignA retrospective study was performed.SettingHospitalized patients were identified utilizing an administrative database-The Nationwide Inpatient Sample database from 1998 through September 2015.PatientsPatients were older adults 65 years and older with SE.InterventionsNo interventions were undertaken.Measurements and main resultsDemographic, temporal trends, clinical characteristics, and outcome data were abstracted. The results indicated that hospitalized elderly Americans with SE increased over the 11-year study period. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate risk factors associated with mortality in the study cohort. From the weighted sample, 130,109 subjects were included. Overall mortality was 19%. For age subgroups, the mortality was highest for the >85 years age group (24.1%) compared to the 65-75 years (19%) and 75-85 years (23%) age groups. Among investigated etiologies, the three most common causes of SE were acute ischemic stroke (11.2% of total) followed by non-traumatic brain hemorrhage (5.4%) and malignant brain lesions (4.9%). The highest mortality by etiology was noted for acute traumatic brain injury (TBI) (31.5%), non-traumatic brain hemorrhage (31%), and acute ischemic stroke (AIS) (30.1%). Multivariate analysis indicated that non-survivors when compared to survivors were more like to have the following characteristics: older age group, acute TBI, brain neoplasms, non-traumatic brain hemorrhage, AIS and central nervous system (CNS) infections, and utilization of mechanical ventilation. Associated conditions significantly increasing risk of mortality were sodium imbalance, cardiac arrest, anoxic brain injury, pneumonia, and sepsis. Comorbidities associated with increased risk of mortality included valvular heart disease, renal failure, liver disease, and neoplasms.ConclusionsThe number of hospitalized elderly Americans with SE increased over the 11-year study period. Overall mortality was 19%, with even higher mortality among various patient subsets. Several demographic and co-morbid factors are associated with increased mortality in this age group.

Dataset Information

A data-driven prospective study of dementia among older adults in the United States.

Publications

A data-driven prospective study of dementia among older adults in the United States.

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