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Individualized prediction of survival benefits from perioperative chemoradiotherapy for patients with resectable gastric cancer.

ABSTRACT: BACKGROUND:The survival benefits of perioperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) and perioperative chemotherapy (PCT) for resectable gastric cancer (GC) patients remain unclear. This study aimed to compare the effects of PCRT and PCT in patients with resectable GC and develop a nomogram to evaluate the prognosis and disease risk of patients. METHODS:A total of 6890 patients with stage IB-IIIC GC from 2010 to 2015 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of involved variables. A new nomogram was constructed based on development cohort and validated by an external validation cohort. The clinical practicability and accuracy were assessed by concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS:A better prognosis was obtained for patients with stage III GC treated with PCRT compared with those treated with PCT. Additionally, patients with grade III/IV, diffuse type GC, distal gastric cancer (DGC), tumor size >34 millimeters, or positive lymph nodes were more likely to benefit from PCRT. Multivariate analyses indicated that age, grade, tumor size, T stage, N stage, and comprehensive treatment were independent covariates. Excellent agreement of calibration plots and good discrimination power were obtained using the nomogram. The nomogram achieved a better net benefit than the 8th edition AJCC TNM staging. An online version was built based on the nomogram for convenient clinical use. CONCLUSION:The application of perioperative chemoradiotherapy should be determined according to the clinicopathological features of patients. Our nomogram provided a reliable tool for screening patients who were right for PCRT and evaluating individual survival benefits.

SUBMITTER: Che K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7541150 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Individualized prediction of survival benefits from perioperative chemoradiotherapy for patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Che Keying K Liu Fangcen F Wu Nandie N Liu Qin Q Yuan Ling L Wei Jia J

Cancer medicine 20200818 19

<h4>Background</h4>The survival benefits of perioperative chemoradiotherapy (PCRT) and perioperative chemotherapy (PCT) for resectable gastric cancer (GC) patients remain unclear. This study aimed to compare the effects of PCRT and PCT in patients with resectable GC and develop a nomogram to evaluate the prognosis and disease risk of patients.<h4>Methods</h4>A total of 6890 patients with stage IB-IIIC GC from 2010 to 2015 were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) ...[more]

PMID: 32810384

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Project description:This study compares neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) with perioperative chemotherapy (pCT) for patients with resectable esophageal or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma in terms of toxicity, postoperative complications, pathologic response, and survival.This study retrospectively analyzed and compared 313 patients with resectable esophageal or GEJ adenocarcinoma treated with either nCRT (carboplatin/paclitaxel 41.4 Gy, n = 176) or pCT (epirubicin, cisplatin and capecitabine, n = 137).The baseline and tumor characteristics were similar in both groups. The ability to deliver all planned preoperative cycles was greater in the nCRT group (92.0 vs. 76.6%). Whereas nCRT was associated with a higher rate of grades 3 and 4 esophagitis, pCT was associated with a higher rate of grades 3 and 4 thromboembolic events, febrile neutropenia, nausea, vomiting, diarrhea, hand-foot syndrome, mucositis, cardiac complications, and electrolyte imbalances. Two patients in the pCT group died during neoadjuvant treatment due to febrile neutropenia. More postoperative cardiac complications occurred in the nCRT group. All other postoperative complications and the in-hospital mortality rate (nCRT, 4.7%; pCT, 2.3%) were comparable. The pathologic complete response (pCR) rate was 15.1% after nCRT and 6.9% after pCT. Radicality of surgery was comparable (R0: 93.0 vs. 91.6%). The median overall survival was 35 months after nCRT versus 36 months after pCT.For patients with esophageal or GEJ adenocarcinoma, chemoradiotherapy with paclitaxel, carboplatin and concurrent radiotherapy, and perioperative chemotherapy with epirubicin, cisplatin, and capecitabin lead to equal oncologic outcomes in terms of radical resection rates, lymphadenectomy, patterns of recurrent disease, and (disease-free) survival. However, neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy is associated with a considerably lower level of severe adverse events and should therefore be the preferred protocol until a well-powered randomized controlled trial provides different insights.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Accurate, individualized prognostication in patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is vital for patient counseling and treatment decision making. With the emergence of human papillomavirus (HPV) as an important biomarker in OPSCC, calculators incorporating this variable have been developed. However, it is critical to characterize their accuracy prior to implementation. METHODS:Four OPSCC calculators were identified that integrate HPV into their estimation of 5-year overall survival. Treatment outcomes for 856 patients with OPSCC who were evaluated at a single institution from 2003 through 2016 were analyzed. Predicted survival probabilities were generated for each patient using each calculator. Calculator performance was assessed and compared using Kaplan-Meier plots, receiver operating characteristic curves, concordance statistics, and calibration plots. RESULTS:Correlation between pairs of calculators varied, with coefficients ranging from 0.63 to 0.90. Only 3 of 6 pairs of calculators yielded predictions within 10% of each other for at least 50% of patients. Kaplan-Meier curves of calculator-defined risk groups demonstrated reasonable stratification. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranged from 0.74 to 0.80, and concordance statistics ranged from 0.71 to 0.78. Each calculator demonstrated superior discriminatory ability compared with clinical staging according to the seventh and eighth editions of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging manual. Among models, the Denmark calculator was found to be best calibrated to observed outcomes. CONCLUSIONS:Existing calculators exhibited reasonable estimation of survival in patients with OPSCC, but there was considerable variability in predictions for individual patients, which limits the clinical usefulness of these calculators. Given the increasing role of personalized treatment in patients with OPSCC, further work is needed to improve accuracy and precision, possibly through the identification and incorporation of additional biomarkers.

Project description:Objective: Recently, performing locoregional surgical treatment still remains debatable in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Current study aimed to develop prognostic nomograms for predicting the long-term survival in MBC patients with or without surgical intervention, thereby assisting clinicians in making individualized choice. Methods: The training set included 5173 patients who were diagnosed with MBC in 2010-2013 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program, while the validation set comprised 2924 patients diagnosed in 2014-2015. Multivariant Cox hazard model was applied to determine the independent risk factors for overall survival (OS) and breast cancer specific survival (BCSS). Then, individualized pre- and postoperative nomograms for predicting 1- or 3-year survival probabilities were constructed accordingly. Internal and external validations were conducted to determine the accuracy of these nomograms by calculating concordance index (C-index) and plotting calibration curves. Results: The survival analysis indicated that surgical management conferred improved OS and BCSS in patients with metastatic breast cancer. Age, T stage, grade, distant metastatic site, ER, PR and HER2 status, radiation, and chemotherapy were independent risk factors for OS and BCSS both in surgery and non-surgery group. All these factors were subsequently incorporated into the nomogram which showed acceptable predictive capabilities with C-index range of 0.65-0.80 both in training set and external validation set. In addition, a preoperative nomogram incorporating variables capable of being determined before surgery was also built with C-index above 0.70 both in training and validation set. Conclusion: Surgical management in patients with metastatic breast cancer suggests a potential survival advantage. In addition, these well-validated pre- and postoperative nomograms may provide a useful tool to assist clinicians in treatment decision-making and in evaluating patients' long term prognosis.

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Individualized prediction of survival benefits from perioperative chemoradiotherapy for patients with resectable gastric cancer.

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Individualized prediction of survival benefits from perioperative chemoradiotherapy for patients with resectable gastric cancer.

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