Dataset Information

Prediction of Prognostic Hemodynamic Indices in Pulmonary Hypertension Using Non-Invasive Parameters.

ABSTRACT: Effective targeted therapy of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) requires regular risk stratification. Among many prognostic parameters, three hemodynamic indices: right atrial pressure, cardiac index, and mixed venous saturation are considered critically important for correct risk classification. All of them are measured invasively and require right heart catheterization (RHC). The study was aimed to verify assumption that a model based on non-invasive parameters is able to predict hemodynamic profile described by the mentioned invasive indices. A group of 330 patients with pulmonary hypertension was used for the selection of the best predictors from the set of 17 functional, biochemical, and echocardiographic parameters. Multivariable logistic regression models for the prediction of low-risk and high-risk profiles were created. The cut-off points were determined and subsequent validation of the models was conducted prospectively on another group of 136 patients. The ROC curve analysis showed the very good discrimination power of the models (AUC 0.80-0.99) in the prediction of the hemodynamic profile in the total validation group and subgroups: PAH and CTEPH. The models indicated the risk profiles with moderate sensitivity (57-60%) and high specificity (87-93%). The method enables estimation of the hemodynamic indices when RHC cannot be performed.

SUBMITTER: Manczak R

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7555680 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Prediction of Prognostic Hemodynamic Indices in Pulmonary Hypertension Using Non-Invasive Parameters.

Mańczak Rafał R Kurzyna Marcin M Piłka Michał M Darocha Szymon S Florczyk Michał M Wieteska-Miłek Maria M Mańczak Małgorzata M Torbicki Adam A

Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) 20200827 9

Effective targeted therapy of pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) requires regular risk stratification. Among many prognostic parameters, three hemodynamic indices: right atrial pressure, cardiac index, and mixed venous saturation are considered critically important for correct risk classification. All of them are measured invasively and require right heart catheterization (RHC). The study was aimed to verify assumption that a model bas ...[more]

PMID: 32867292

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Project description:Scleroderma-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (SSc-PAH) is associated with worse outcome than idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (IPAH), potentially due to worse right ventricular adaptation to load as suggested by pressure-volume loop analysis. The value of non-invasive load-adaptability metrics has not been fully explored in SSc-PAH. This study sought to assess whether patients with incident SSc-PAH have worse echocardiographic load-adaptability metrics than patients with IPAH. Twenty-two patients with incident SSc-PAH were matched 1:1 with IPAH based on pulmonary vascular resistance. Echocardiographic load-adaptability indices were divided into: surrogates of ventriculo-arterial coupling (e.g. right ventricular area change/end-systolic area), indices reflecting the proportionality of load adaptation (e.g. tricuspid regurgitation velocity-time integral normalized for average right ventricular radius), and simple ratios (e.g. tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/right ventricular systolic pressure). The prognostic value of these indices for clinical worsening (i.e. death, transplant, or hospitalization for heart failure) at one year was explored. The two groups were comprised of patients of similar age, with similar cardiac index, pulmonary resistance, capacitance and NT-proBNP levels ( p?>?0.10). There was no difference in baseline right ventricular dimension, function or load-adaptability indices. At one year, eight (36.4%) SSc-PAH patients had experienced clinical worsening (eight hospitalizations and two deaths) versus one hospitalization in the IPAH group. Load adaptation at one year in survivors was not worse in SSc-PAH ( p?>?0.33). Patients with IPAH responded better to therapy than SSc-PAH in terms of reduction of right ventricular areas at one year ( p?<?0.05). Right ventricular load-adaptability echocardiographic indices do not appear to capture the increased risk of negative outcomes at one year associated with SSc-PAH.

Project description:Importance:Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is diagnosed by a mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) value of at least 25 mm Hg during right heart catheterization (RHC). While several studies have demonstrated increased mortality in patients with mPAP less than that threshold, little is known about the natural history of borderline PH. Objective:To test the hypothesis that patients with borderline PH have decreased survival compared with patients with lower mPAP and frequently develop overt PH and to identify clinical correlates of borderline PH. Design, Setting, and Participants:Retrospective cohort study from 1998 to 2014 at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, comprising all patients undergoing routine RHC for clinical indication. We extracted demographics, clinical data, invasive hemodynamics, echocardiography, and vital status for all patients. Patients with mPAP values of 18 mm Hg or less, 19 to 24 mm Hg, and at least 25 mm Hg were classified as reference, borderline PH, and PH, respectively. Exposures:Mean pulmonary arterial pressure. Main Outcome and Measures:Our primary outcome was all-cause mortality after adjusting for clinically relevant covariates in a Cox proportional hazards model. Our secondary outcome was the diagnosis of overt PH in patients initially diagnosed with borderline PH. Both outcomes were determined prior to data analysis. Results:We identified 4343 patients (mean [SD] age, 59 [15] years, 51% women, and 86% white) among whom the prevalence of PH and borderline PH was 62% and 18%, respectively. Advanced age, features of the metabolic syndrome, and chronic heart and lung disease were independently associated with a higher likelihood of borderline PH compared with reference patients in a logistic regression model. After adjusting for 34 covariates in a Cox proportional hazards model, borderline PH was associated with increased mortality compared with reference patients (hazard ratio, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.04-1.65; P?=?.001). The hazard of death increased incrementally with higher mPAP, without an observed threshold. In the 70 patients with borderline PH who underwent a repeated RHC, 43 (61%) had developed overt PH, with a median increase in mPAP of 5 mm Hg (interquartile range, -1 to 11 mm Hg; P?<?.001). Conclusions and Relevance:Borderline PH is common in patients undergoing RHC and is associated with significant comorbidities, progression to overt PH, and decreased survival. Small increases in mPAP, even at values currently considered normal, are independently associated with increased mortality. Prospective studies are warranted to determine whether early intervention or closer monitoring improves clinical outcomes in these patients.

Dataset Information

Prediction of Prognostic Hemodynamic Indices in Pulmonary Hypertension Using Non-Invasive Parameters.

Publications

Prediction of Prognostic Hemodynamic Indices in Pulmonary Hypertension Using Non-Invasive Parameters.

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