Dataset Information

Comparison of Preoperative Remission Scores and Diabetes Duration Alone as Predictors of Durable Type 2 Diabetes Remission and Risk of Diabetes Complications After Bariatric Surgery: A Post Hoc Analysis of Participants From the Swedish Obese Subjects Study.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Bariatric surgery is associated with diabetes remission and prevention of diabetes-related complications. The ABCD, DiaRem, Ad-DiaRem, DiaBetter, and individualized metabolic surgery scores were developed to predict short- to medium-term diabetes remission after bariatric surgery. However, they have not been tested for predicting durable remission nor the risk of diabetes complications, nor compared with diabetes duration alone.

Research design and methods

We identified 363 individuals from the surgically treated group in the prospective Swedish Obese Subjects study with preoperative type 2 diabetes and for whom data (preoperative age, BMI, C-peptide, HbA_1c, oral diabetes medications, insulin use, and diabetes duration) were available for calculation of remission scores. Partial remission (after 2 and 10 years) was defined as blood glucose <6.1 mmol/L or HbA_1c <6.5% (48 mmol/mol) and no diabetes medication. Information on diabetes complications (at baseline and over 15 years of follow-up) was obtained from national health registers. Discrimination was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs).

Results

For 2-year diabetes remission, AUROCs were between 0.79 and 0.88 for remission scores and 0.84 for diabetes duration alone. After 10 years, the predictive ability of scores decreased markedly (AUROCs between 0.70 and 0.76), and no score had higher predictive capacity than diabetes duration alone (AUROC = 0.73). For development of microvascular and macrovascular diabetes complications over 15 years, AUROCs for remission scores were 0.70-0.80 and 0.62-0.71, respectively, and AUROCs for diabetes duration alone were 0.77 and 0.66, respectively.

Conclusions

Remission scores and diabetes duration are good predictors of short-term diabetes remission. However, for durable remission and risk of complications, remission scores and diabetes duration alone have limited predictive ability.

SUBMITTER: Sjoholm K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7576422 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:Rationale & objectiveThe association between bariatric surgery, type 2 diabetes, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is poorly understood. We studied whether remission of type 2 diabetes induced by bariatric surgery influences markers of kidney disease, if CKD is associated with remission of diabetes after bariatric surgery, and if baseline levels of gut hormones and peptides modify these associations.Study designProspective observational study.Study participants737 bariatric surgery patients with type 2 diabetes who participated in a multicenter cohort study for up to 5 years.PredictorsDemographics, blood pressure, medications, type of bariatric surgery, anthropometrics, markers of kidney disease, and circulating levels of gut hormones and peptides.OutcomesEstimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), urinary albumin excretion, prognostic risk for CKD, and remission of diabetes.Analytical approachLinear mixed models for eGFR; generalized linear mixed models with logit link for albuminuria, prognostic risk for CKD, and diabetes remission.ResultsRemission of diabetes at 5 years post-bariatric surgery was not independently associated with eGFR but was associated with lower risk for moderate/severe increase in albuminuria (risk ratio, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.48-0.90) and stabilization in prognostic risk for CKD. These findings were modified by baseline ghrelin level. Lower preoperative eGFR and greater prognostic risk for CKD were independently associated with reduced likelihood of diabetes remission. The association with preoperative GFR was modified by C-peptide level. Higher baseline circulating ghrelin level was independently associated with a lower prognostic risk for CKD.LimitationsA minority of participants had baseline CKD; lack of comparison group; no information on duration of diabetes, other clinical end points, or kidney biopsy results.ConclusionsRemission of type 2 diabetes 5 years after bariatric surgery was associated with improvements in albuminuria and stabilized prognostic risk for CKD, but not with eGFR. Lower kidney function and greater prognostic risk at the time of bariatric surgery was linked to a lower likelihood of diabetes remission. These results highlight the need to identify the mechanisms through which bariatric surgery may delay the long-term progression of CKD in type 2 diabetes.

Project description:BackgroundBariatric surgery is associated with remission of diabetes and prevention of diabetic complications in patients with obesity and type 2 diabetes. Long-term effects of bariatric surgery on microvascular complications in patients with prediabetes are unknown. The aim of this study was to examine the effects of bariatric surgery on incidence of microvascular complications in patients with obesity stratified by baseline glycaemic status.MethodsPatients were recruited to the Swedish Obese Subjects (SOS) study between Sept 1, 1987, and Jan 31, 2001. Inclusion criteria were age 37-60 years and BMI of 34 kg/m2 or greater in men and 38 kg/m2 or greater in women. Exclusion criteria were identical in surgery and control groups and designed to exclude patients not suitable for surgery. The surgery group (n=2010) underwent gastric bypass (265 [13%]), gastric banding (376 [19%]), or vertical-banded gastroplasty (1369 [68%]). Participants in the control group (n=2037) received usual care. Bodyweight was measured and questionnaires were completed at baseline and at 0·5 years, 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 4 years, 6 years, 8 years, 10 years, 15 years, and 20 years. Biochemical variables were measured at baseline and at 2 years, 10 years, and 15 years. We categorised participants into subgroups on the basis of baseline glycaemic status (normal [fasting blood glucose concentration <5·0 mmol/L], prediabetes [5·0-6·0 mmol/L], screen-detected diabetes [≥6·1 mmol/L at baseline visit without previous diagnosis], and established diabetes [diagnosis of diabetes before study inclusion]). We obtained data about first incidence of microvascular disease from nationwide registers and about diabetes incidence at study visits at 2 years, 10 years, and 15 years. We did the main analysis by intention to treat, and subgroup analyses after stratification by baseline glycaemic status and by diabetes status at the 15 year follow-up. The SOS study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT01479452.Findings4032 of the 4047 participants in the SOS study were included in this analysis. We excluded four patients with suspected type 1 diabetes, and 11 patients with unknown glycaemic status at baseline. At baseline, 2838 patients had normal blood glucose, 591 had prediabetes, 246 had screen-detected diabetes, and 357 had established diabetes. Median follow-up was 19 years (IQR 16-21). We identified 374 incident cases of microvascular disease in the control group and 224 in the surgery group (hazard ratio [HR] 0·56, 95% CI 0·48-0·66; p<0·0001). Interaction between baseline glycaemic status and effect of treatment on incidence of microvascular disease was significant (p=0·0003). Unadjusted HRs were lowest in the subgroup with prediabetes (0·18, 95% CI 0·11-0·30), followed by subgroups with screen-detected diabetes (0·39, 0·24-0·65), established diabetes (0·54, 0·40-0·72), and normoglycaemia (0·63, 0·48-0·81). Surgery was associated with reduced incidence of microvascular events in people with prediabetes regardless of whether they developed diabetes during follow-up.InterpretationBariatric surgery was associated with reduced risk of microvascular complications in all subgroups, but the greatest relative risk reduction was observed in patients with prediabetes at baseline. Our results suggest that prediabetes should be treated aggressively to prevent future microvascular events, and effective non-surgical treatments need to be developed for this purpose.FundingUS National Institutes of Health, Swedish Research Council, Sahlgrenska University Hospital Regional Agreement on Medical Education and Research, and Swedish Diabetes Foundation.

Project description:BackgroundBariatric surgery reduces incidence of albuminuria and end-stage renal disease in patients with obesity. Effects of bariatric surgery on long-term remission and progression of pre-existing obesity-related renal damage are mainly unexplored. Here we investigate the long-term effects of bariatric surgery compared with conventional obesity care on remission and progression of albuminuria.Methods4047 patients were included in the Swedish Obese Subjects study. Inclusion criteria were age 37-60 years, BMI ≥ 34 kg/m2 in men and BMI ≥ 38 kg/m2 in women. Our analysis comprised 803 patients (19.8% of total population, 357 control, 446 surgery) with pre-existing albuminuria including 693 patients (312 control, 381 surgery) with microalbuminuria, and 110 patients (45 control, 65 surgery) with macroalbuminuria. Surgery patients were treated with banding, vertical banded gastroplasty, or gastric bypass. Control patients received conventional obesity care.ResultsTotal urinary albumin excretion was 36.5% lower in all patients with albuminuria after 15 years, 44.5% lower in patients with microalbuminuria after 15 years, and 27.8% lower in patients with macroalbuminuria after 2 years following bariatric surgery compared with conventional care. In surgery patients with microalbuminuria, remission to normoalbuminuria was higher (OR, 5.9, 2.2, 3.2, p < 0.001) and progression to macroalbuminuria was lower (OR, 0.28, 0.26, 0.25, p ≤ 0.02) at 2, 10, and 15 years, respectively, compared with control patients. In surgery patients with macroalbuminuria remission to normo- or microalbuminuria was higher (OR, 3.67, p = 0.003) after 2 years. No differences between surgery and control patients with macroalbuminuria were observed after 10 and 15 years. Surgery slowed progression of eGFR decline after 2 years in patients with microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria (treatment effect: 1.0 ml/min/1.73 m2/year, p = 0.001 and 1.4 ml/min/1.73 m2/year, p = 0.047, respectively).ConclusionBariatric surgery had better effects than conventional obesity care on remission of albuminuria and prevention of eGFR decline, indicating that patients with obesity-related renal damage benefit from bariatric surgery.