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Using machine learning to optimize antibiotic combinations: dosing strategies for meropenem and polymyxin B against carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii.


ABSTRACT:

Objectives

Increased rates of carbapenem-resistant strains of Acinetobacter baumannii have forced clinicians to rely upon last-line agents, such as the polymyxins, or empirical, unoptimized combination therapy. Therefore, the objectives of this study were: (a) to evaluate the in vitro pharmacodynamics of meropenem and polymyxin B (PMB) combinations against A. baumannii; (b) to utilize a mechanism-based mathematical model to quantify bacterial killing; and (c) to develop a genetic algorithm (GA) to define optimal dosing strategies for meropenem and PMB.

Methods

A. baumannii (N16870; MICmeropenem = 16 mg/L, MICPMB = 0.5 mg/L) was studied in the hollow-fibre infection model (initial inoculum 108 cfu/mL) over 14 days against meropenem and PMB combinations. A mechanism-based model of the data and population pharmacokinetics of each drug were used to develop a GA to define the optimal regimen parameters.

Results

Monotherapies resulted in regrowth to ~1010 cfu/mL by 24 h, while combination regimens employing high-intensity PMB exposure achieved complete bacterial eradication (0 cfu/mL) by 336 h. The mechanism-based model demonstrated an SC50 (PMB concentration for 50% of maximum synergy on meropenem killing) of 0.0927 mg/L for PMB-susceptible subpopulations versus 3.40 mg/L for PMB-resistant subpopulations. The GA had a preference for meropenem regimens that improved the %T > MIC via longer infusion times and shorter dosing intervals. The GA predicted that treating 90% of simulated subjects harbouring a 108 cfu/mL starting inoculum to a point of 100 cfu/mL would require a regimen of meropenem 19.6 g/day 2 h prolonged infusion (2 hPI) q5h + PMB 5.17 mg/kg/day 2 hPI q6h (where the 0 h meropenem and PMB doses should be 'loaded' with 80.5% and 42.2% of the daily dose, respectively).

Conclusion

This study provides a methodology leveraging in vitro experimental data, a mathematical pharmacodynamic model, and population pharmacokinetics provide a possible avenue to optimize treatment regimens beyond the use of the 'traditional' indices of antibiotic action.

SUBMITTER: Smith NM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7587610 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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