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Treatments and outcomes of untreated cerebral cavernous malformations in China: study protocol of a nationwide multicentre prospective cohort study.

ABSTRACT: INTRODUCTION:The treatment decision and long-term outcomes of previously untreated cerebral cavernous malformation (U-CCM) are still controversial. Therefore, we are conducting a nationwide multicentre prospective registry study in China to determine the natural history and effect of surgical treatment on long-term outcomes in Chinese people with U-CCM. METHODS AND ANALYSIS:This study was started on 1 January 2018 and is currently ongoing. It is a cohort follow-up study across a 5-year period. Patients will be followed up for at least 3 years after inception. Patients with U-CCM will be enrolled from 24 Grade III, level A hospitals distributed all over China. The cohort size is estimated to be 1200 patients. Patients are registered in surgically treated group and conservatively treated group. Clinical characteristics, radiology information and laboratory data are prospectively collected using an electronic case report form through an electronic data capture system. The primary outcome of this study is poor clinical outcome at the last follow-up (modified Rankin Scale score >2 lasting at least 1 year). The secondary outcome includes symptomatic haemorrhage, drug refractory epilepsy, focal neurological deficits, morbidity and all-cause mortality during follow-up. Univariate and multivariate regression analysis will be performed to determine the risk factors for poor outcomes in all patients, and to estimate the effect of surgery. Life tables, Kaplan-Meier estimates, log-rank test and proportional hazards Cox regression will be used to analyse the follow-up data of conservatively treated patients to determine the natural history of U-CCM. Initial presentation and location of U-CCM are prespecified subgroup factors. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION:The study protocol and informed consent form have been reviewed and approved by the Research Ethical Committee of First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University (FAHFMU-2018-003).Written informed consent will be obtained from each adult participant or from the guardian of each paediatric participant. The final results will be published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER:NCT03467295.

SUBMITTER: Lin F

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7597476 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Treatments and outcomes of untreated cerebral cavernous malformations in China: study protocol of a nationwide multicentre prospective cohort study.

Lin Fuxin F He Qiu Q Gao Zhuyu Z Yu Lianghong L Wang Dengliang D Zheng Shufa S Lin Yuanxiang Y Kang Dezhi D

BMJ open 20201029 10

<h4>Introduction</h4>The treatment decision and long-term outcomes of previously untreated cerebral cavernous malformation (U-CCM) are still controversial. Therefore, we are conducting a nationwide multicentre prospective registry study in China to determine the natural history and effect of surgical treatment on long-term outcomes in Chinese people with U-CCM.<h4>Methods and analysis</h4>This study was started on 1 January 2018 and is currently ongoing. It is a cohort follow-up study across a 5 ...[more]

PMID: 33122314

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Project description:BackgroundCerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) are prone to bleeding but the risk of intracranial haemorrhage and focal neurological deficits, and the factors that might predict their occurrence, are unclear. We aimed to quantify these risks and investigate whether they are affected by sex and CCM location.MethodsWe undertook a population-based study using multiple overlapping sources of case ascertainment (including a Scotland-wide collaboration of neurologists, neurosurgeons, stroke physicians, radiologists, and pathologists, as well as searches of registers of hospital discharges and death certificates) to identify definite CCM diagnoses first made in Scottish residents between 1999 and 2003, which study neuroradiologists independently validated. We used multiple sources of prospective follow-up both to identify outcome events (which were assessed by use of brain imaging, by investigators masked to potential predictive factors) and to assess adults' dependence. The primary outcome was a composite of intracranial haemorrhage or focal neurological deficits (not including epileptic seizure) that were definitely or possibly related to CCM.Findings139 adults had at least one definite CCM and 134 were alive at initial presentation. During 1177 person-years of follow-up (completeness 97%), for intracranial haemorrhage alone the 5-year risk of a first haemorrhage was lower than the risk of recurrent haemorrhage (2·4%, 95% CI 0·0-5·7 vs 29·5%, 4·1-55·0; p<0·0001). For the primary outcome, the 5-year risk of a first event was lower than the risk of recurrence (9·3%, 3·1-15·4 vs 42·4%, 26·8-58·0; p<0·0001). The annual risk of recurrence of the primary outcome declined from 19·8% (95% CI 6·1-33·4) in year 1 to 5·0% (0·0-14·8) in year 5 and was higher for women than men (p=0·01) but not for adults with brainstem CCMs versus CCMs in other locations (p=0·17).InterpretationThe risk of recurrent intracranial haemorrhage or focal neurological deficit from a CCM is greater than the risk of a first event, is greater for women than for men, and declines over 5 years. This information can be used in clinical practice, but further work is needed to quantify risks precisely in the long term and to understand why women are at greater risk of recurrence than men.FundingUK Medical Research Council, Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government, and UK Stroke Association.

Project description:BackgroundCerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) can cause symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage (ICH), but the estimated risks are imprecise and predictors remain uncertain. We aimed to obtain precise estimates and predictors of the risk of ICH during untreated follow-up in an individual patient data meta-analysis.MethodsWe invited investigators of published cohorts of people aged at least 16 years, identified by a systematic review of Ovid MEDLINE and Embase from inception to April 30, 2015, to provide individual patient data on clinical course from CCM diagnosis until first CCM treatment or last available follow-up. We used survival analysis to estimate the 5-year risk of symptomatic ICH due to CCMs (primary outcome), multivariable Cox regression to identify baseline predictors of outcome, and random-effects models to pool estimates in a meta-analysis.FindingsAmong 1620 people in seven cohorts from six studies, 204 experienced ICH during 5197 person-years of follow-up (Kaplan-Meier estimated 5-year risk 15·8%, 95% CI 13·7-17·9). The primary outcome of ICH within 5 years of CCM diagnosis was associated with clinical presentation with ICH or new focal neurological deficit (FND) without brain imaging evidence of recent haemorrhage versus other modes of presentation (hazard ratio 5·6, 95% CI 3·2-9·7) and with brainstem CCM location versus other locations (4·4, 2·3-8·6), but age, sex, and CCM multiplicity did not add independent prognostic information. The 5-year estimated risk of ICH during untreated follow-up was 3·8% (95% CI 2·1-5·5) for 718 people with non-brainstem CCM presenting without ICH or FND, 8·0% (0·1-15·9) for 80 people with brainstem CCM presenting without ICH or FND, 18·4% (13·3-23·5) for 327 people with non-brainstem CCM presenting with ICH or FND, and 30·8% (26·3-35·2) for 495 people with brainstem CCM presenting with ICH or FND.InterpretationMode of clinical presentation and CCM location are independently associated with ICH within 5 years of CCM diagnosis. These findings can inform decisions about CCM treatment.FundingUK Medical Research Council, Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government, and UK Stroke Association.

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Treatments and outcomes of untreated cerebral cavernous malformations in China: study protocol of a nationwide multicentre prospective cohort study.

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Treatments and outcomes of untreated cerebral cavernous malformations in China: study protocol of a nationwide multicentre prospective cohort study.

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