Dataset Information

Artificial intelligence quantified tumour-stroma ratio is an independent predictor for overall survival in resectable colorectal cancer.

ABSTRACT:

Background

An artificial intelligence method could accelerate the clinical implementation of tumour-stroma ratio (TSR), which has prognostic relevance in colorectal cancer (CRC). We, therefore, developed a deep learning model for the fully automated TSR quantification on routine haematoxylin and eosin (HE) stained whole-slide images (WSI) and further investigated its prognostic validity for patient stratification.

Methods

We trained a convolutional neural network (CNN) model using transfer learning, with its nine-class tissue classification performance evaluated in two independent test sets. Patch-level segmentation on WSI HE slides was performed using the model, with TSR subsequently derived. A discovery (N=499) and validation cohort (N=315) were used to evaluate the prognostic value of TSR for overall survival (OS).

Findings

The CNN-quantified TSR was a prognostic factor, independently of other clinicopathologic characteristics, with stroma-high associated with reduced OS in the discovery (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.24-2.37, P=0.001) and validation cohort (2.08, 1.26-3.42, 0.004). Integrating TSR into a Cox model with other risk factors showed improved prognostic capability.

Interpretation

We developed a deep learning model to quantify TSR based on histologic WSI of CRC and demonstrated its prognostic validity for patient stratification for OS in two independent CRC patient cohorts. This fully automatic approach allows for the objective and standardised application while reducing pathologists' workload. Thus, it can potentially be of significant aid in clinical prognosis prediction and decision-making.

Funding

National Key Research and Development Program of China, National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholar, and National Science Foundation for Young Scientists of China.

SUBMITTER: Zhao K

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7648125 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

ACCESS DATA

Similar Datasets

Project description:Although the tumor-stroma ratio (TSR) has prognostic value in many cancers, the traditional semi-quantitative visual assessment method has inter-observer variability, making it impossible for clinical practice. We aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) algorithm for accurately quantifying TSR in hematoxylin-and-eosin (H&E)-stained whole slide images (WSI) and further investigate its prognostic effect in patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC). We used an optimal cell classifier previously built based on QuPath open-source software and ML algorithm for quantitative calculation of TSR. We retrospectively analyzed data from two independent cohorts to verify the prognostic significance of ML-based TSR in MIBC patients. WSIs from 133 MIBC patients were used as the discovery set to identify the optimal association of TSR with patient survival outcomes. Furthermore, we performed validation in an independent external cohort consisting of 261 MIBC patients. We demonstrated a significant prognostic association of ML-based TSR with survival outcomes in MIBC patients (p < 0.001 for all comparisons), with higher TSR associated with better prognosis. Uni- and multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that TSR was independently associated with overall survival (p < 0.001 for all analyses) after adjusting for clinicopathological factors including age, gender, and pathologic stage. TSR was found to be a strong prognostic factor that was not redundant with the existing staging system in different subgroup analyses (p < 0.05 for all analyses). Finally, the expression of six genes (DACH1, DEEND2A, NOTCH4, DTWD1, TAF6L, and MARCHF5) were significantly associated with TSR, revealing possible potential biological relevance. In conclusion, we developed an ML algorithm based on WSIs of MIBC patients to accurately quantify TSR and demonstrated its prognostic validity for MIBC patients in two independent cohorts. This objective quantitative method allows application in clinical practice while reducing the workload of pathologists. Thus, it might be of significant aid in promoting precise pathology services in MIBC.

Project description:Background and objectivesInvestigations of the prognosis are vital for better patient management and decision-making in patients with advanced metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC). The purpose of this study is to evaluate the capacity of emerging Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies to predict three- and five-year overall survival (OS) for mRCC patients starting their first-line of systemic treatment.Patients and methodsThe retrospective study included 322 Italian patients with mRCC who underwent systemic treatment between 2004 and 2019. Statistical analysis included the univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazard model and the Kaplan-Meier analysis for the prognostic factors' investigation. The patients were split into a training cohort to establish the predictive models and a hold-out cohort to validate the results. The models were evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. We assessed the clinical benefit of the models using decision curve analysis (DCA). Then, the proposed AI models were compared with well-known pre-existing prognostic systems.ResultsThe median age of patients in the study was 56.7 years at RCC diagnosis and 78% of participants were male. The median survival time from the start of systemic treatment was 29.2 months; 95% of the patients died during the follow-up that finished by the end of 2019. The proposed predictive model, which was constructed as an ensemble of three individual predictive models, outperformed all well-known prognostic models to which it was compared. It also demonstrated better usability in supporting clinical decisions for 3- and 5-year OS. The model achieved (0.786 and 0.771) AUC and (0.675 and 0.558) specificity at sensitivity 0.90 for 3 and 5 years, respectively. We also applied explainability methods to identify the important clinical features that were found to be partially matched with the prognostic factors identified in the Kaplan-Meier and Cox analyses.ConclusionsOur AI models provide best predictive accuracy and clinical net benefits over well-known prognostic models. As a result, they can potentially be used in clinical practice for providing better management for mRCC patients starting their first-line of systemic treatment. Larger studies would be needed to validate the developed model.