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Mortality risk assessment in Spain and Italy, insights of the HOPE COVID-19 registry.


ABSTRACT: Recently the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has been declared a pandemic. Despite its aggressive extension and significant morbidity and mortality, risk factors are poorly characterized outside China. We designed a registry, HOPE COVID-19 (NCT04334291), assessing data of 1021 patients discharged (dead or alive) after COVID-19, from 23 hospitals in 4 countries, between 8 February and 1 April. The primary end-point was all-cause mortality aiming to produce a mortality risk score calculator. The median age was 68 years (IQR 52-79), and 59.5% were male. Most frequent comorbidities were hypertension (46.8%) and dyslipidemia (35.8%). A relevant heart or lung disease were depicted in 20%. And renal, neurological, or oncological disease, respectively, were detected in nearly 10%. Most common symptoms were fever, cough, and dyspnea at admission. 311 patients died and 710 were discharged alive. In the death-multivariate analysis, raised as most relevant: age, hypertension, obesity, renal insufficiency, any immunosuppressive disease, 02 saturation??0.999; bootstrap-optimist: 0.0018). We provide a simple clinical score to estimate probability of death, dividing patients in four grades (I-IV) of increasing probability. Hydroxychloroquine (79.2%) and antivirals (67.6%) were the specific drugs most commonly used. After a propensity score adjustment, the results suggested a slight improvement in mortality rates (adjusted-ORhydroxychloroquine 0.88; 95% CI 0.81-0.91, p?=?0.005; adjusted-ORantiviral 0.94; 95% CI 0.87-1.01; p?=?0.115). COVID-19 produces important mortality, mostly in patients with comorbidities with respiratory symptoms. Hydroxychloroquine could be associated with survival benefit, but this data need to be confirmed with further trials. Trial Registration: NCT04334291/EUPAS34399.

SUBMITTER: Nunez-Gil IJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7649104 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Mortality risk assessment in Spain and Italy, insights of the HOPE COVID-19 registry.

Núñez-Gil Iván J IJ   Fernández-Pérez Cristina C   Estrada Vicente V   Becerra-Muñoz Víctor M VM   El-Battrawy Ibrahim I   Uribarri Aitor A   Fernández-Rozas Inmaculada I   Feltes Gisela G   Viana-Llamas María C MC   Trabattoni Daniela D   López-País Javier J   Pepe Martino M   Romero Rodolfo R   Castro-Mejía Alex F AF   Cerrato Enrico E   Astrua Thamar Capel TC   D'Ascenzo Fabrizio F   Fabregat-Andres Oscar O   Moreu José J   Guerra Federico F   Signes-Costa Jaime J   Marín Francisco F   Buosenso Danilo D   Bardají Alfredo A   Raposeiras-Roubín Sergio S   Elola Javier J   Molino Ángel Á   Gómez-Doblas Juan J JJ   Abumayyaleh Mohammad M   Aparisi Álvaro Á   Molina María M   Guerri Asunción A   Arroyo-Espliguero Ramón R   Assanelli Emilio E   Mapelli Massimo M   García-Acuña José M JM   Brindicci Gaetano G   Manzone Edoardo E   Ortega-Armas María E ME   Bianco Matteo M   Trung Chinh Pham CP   Núñez María José MJ   Castellanos-Lluch Carmen C   García-Vázquez Elisa E   Cabello-Clotet Noemí N   Jamhour-Chelh Karim K   Tellez María J MJ   Fernández-Ortiz Antonio A   Macaya Carlos C  

Internal and emergency medicine 20201109 4


Recently the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak has been declared a pandemic. Despite its aggressive extension and significant morbidity and mortality, risk factors are poorly characterized outside China. We designed a registry, HOPE COVID-19 (NCT04334291), assessing data of 1021 patients discharged (dead or alive) after COVID-19, from 23 hospitals in 4 countries, between 8 February and 1 April. The primary end-point was all-cause mortality aiming to produce a mortality risk score calculato  ...[more]

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