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Temporal trends of early mortality and its risk factors in HIV-infected adults initiating antiretroviral therapy in Uganda.

ABSTRACT: Background: A decline in mortality rates during the first 12 months of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been mainly linked to increased ART initiation at higher CD4 counts and at less advanced World Health Organization (WHO) clinical stages of HIV infection; however, the role of improved patient care has not been well studied. We estimated improvements in early mortality due to improved patient care.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of HIV-infected individuals ages 18 and older who initiated ART at the Mengo HIV Counseling and Home Care Clinic between 2006 and 2016. We conducted a mediation analysis using generalized structural equation models with inverse odds ratio weighting to estimate the natural direct and indirect effects of ART initiation time on early mortality.

Findings: Among 6,847 patients, most were female (69%), with a median age of 32 (interquartile range [IQR] = 28-38), versus a median age of 38 (IQR = 32-45) for males. The median CD4 count at ART initiation increased from 142 cells/ul (95% confidence interval [CI] = 135-150) in 2006-2010 to 302 cells/ul (95% CI = 283-323) in 2015-2016 (p < 0·001). The number of patients at WHO clinical stages I/II increased from 52% in 2006-2010 to 78% in 2015-2016 (p < 0·001). Annual early mortality decreased from 8·8 deaths/100 person years (PYS) in 2006 to 2.5 deaths/100 pys in 2016 (p < 0·001). Mediation by CD4 counts and WHO clinical stages accounted for 54% of the total effect of ART initiation timing on early mortality. In comparison, 46% remained as the direct effect, reflecting the contribution of improved patient care.

Interpretation: Improved patient care practices should be promoted as a strategy for reducing early mortality after ART initiation, above and beyond the effects from ART initiation at higher CD4 counts and less advanced WHO clinical stage alone.

Funding: This research was supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases Division of Intramural Research, and the National Cancer Institute.

SUBMITTER: Ssempijja V

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7700951 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Temporal trends of early mortality and its risk factors in HIV-infected adults initiating antiretroviral therapy in Uganda.

Ssempijja Victor V Namulema Edith E Ankunda Racheal R Quinn Thomas C TC Cobelens Frank F Hoog Anja Van't AV Reynolds Steven J SJ

EClinicalMedicine 20201107

<h4>Background</h4>A decline in mortality rates during the first 12 months of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has been mainly linked to increased ART initiation at higher CD4 counts and at less advanced World Health Organization (WHO) clinical stages of HIV infection; however, the role of improved patient care has not been well studied. We estimated improvements in early mortality due to improved patient care.<h4>Methods</h4>We conducted a retrospective cohort study of HIV-infected individuals ages ...[more]

PMID: 33294814

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Project description:In countries with a high seroprevalence of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1), HIV infection contributes significantly to infant mortality. We investigated antiretroviral-treatment strategies in the Children with HIV Early Antiretroviral Therapy (CHER) trial.HIV-infected infants 6 to 12 weeks of age with a CD4 lymphocyte percentage (the CD4 percentage) of 25% or more were randomly assigned to receive antiretroviral therapy (lopinavir-ritonavir, zidovudine, and lamivudine) when the CD4 percentage decreased to less than 20% (or 25% if the child was younger than 1 year) or clinical criteria were met (the deferred antiretroviral-therapy group) or to immediate initiation of limited antiretroviral therapy until 1 year of age or 2 years of age (the early antiretroviral-therapy groups). We report the early outcomes for infants who received deferred antiretroviral therapy as compared with early antiretroviral therapy.At a median age of 7.4 weeks (interquartile range, 6.6 to 8.9) and a CD4 percentage of 35.2% (interquartile range, 29.1 to 41.2), 125 infants were randomly assigned to receive deferred therapy, and 252 infants were randomly assigned to receive early therapy. After a median follow-up of 40 weeks (interquartile range, 24 to 58), antiretroviral therapy was initiated in 66% of infants in the deferred-therapy group. Twenty infants in the deferred-therapy group (16%) died versus 10 infants in the early-therapy groups (4%) (hazard ratio for death, 0.24; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.11 to 0.51; P<0.001). In 32 infants in the deferred-therapy group (26%) versus 16 infants in the early-therapy groups (6%), disease progressed to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention stage C or severe stage B (hazard ratio for disease progression, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.15 to 0.41; P<0.001). Stavudine was substituted for zidovudine in four infants in the early-therapy groups because of neutropenia in three infants and anemia in one infant; no drugs were permanently discontinued. After a review by the data and safety monitoring board, the deferred-therapy group was modified, and infants in this group were all reassessed for initiation of antiretroviral therapy.Early HIV diagnosis and early antiretroviral therapy reduced early infant mortality by 76% and HIV progression by 75%. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00102960.)

Project description:Abstract Background Single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in CYP2B6 have previously been associated with a 10-fold range in trough plasma efavirenz concentrations, but associations between these SNPs and efavirenz (EFV)-mediated viral suppression and tolerability remain unclear. Methods We evaluated three SNPs in CYP2B6 (rs3745274, rs28399499, and rs4803419, Illumina OmniExpress) among HIV-infected Ugandans observed in a cohort study every 3–4 months from 2005–2015. Genotypes from these SNPs were used to group participants into previously described pharmacokinetic strata: extensive (EXT), intermediate (INT), and slow metabolizers (Figure 1). The primary outcomes were viral suppression, defined by an undetectable viral load in the first measurement a minimum of three months after ART initiation, and incident depression in the first two years, defined by a mean score >1.75 on the Hopkins Symptom Checklist. We fitted standard and generalized estimating equations (GEE) logistic regression models for viral suppression and depression, respectively. Models were adjusted for clinical and demographic covariates that reached a significance of P < 0.25 in unadjusted models. Results Among 103 participants with genotyping, there were no differences in pre-ART viral load or depression by metabolism strata (P > 0.5). Minor allele frequencies for rs3745274, rs28399499, and rs4803419 were 33%, 7%, and 4%, respectively. Approximately 79%, 78%, and 94% of participants were suppressed at their first viral load measurement in the extensive, intermediate, and slow metabolizer strata, respectively (Figure 2; P = 0.35). In adjusted models, metabolism strata were not associated with viral suppression (AORINT 0.81, 95% CI 0.26–2.56; AORSLOW 3.92, 95% CI 0.39–39.40) or with depression (AORINT 1.95, 95% CI 0.75–5.09; AORSLOW 0.72, 95% CI 0.17–3.02; Table). Conclusion We did not identify an association between efavirenz-metabolizing polymorphisms and viral suppression or depression in a cohort of HIV-infected individuals initiating ART in southwestern Uganda. Future work should reassess these relationships with larger samples and longer-term outcomes and explore additional polymorphisms that may be associated with efavirenz metabolism in this population. Disclosures P. Hunt, Merck: Consultant, Consulting fee; Gilead: Consultant, Consulting fee; Viiv: Consultant, Consulting fee

Dataset Information

Temporal trends of early mortality and its risk factors in HIV-infected adults initiating antiretroviral therapy in Uganda.

Publications

Temporal trends of early mortality and its risk factors in HIV-infected adults initiating antiretroviral therapy in Uganda.

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