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Factors Associated With the Risk of Progression of Low-Risk Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

ABSTRACT: Importance: Branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are common pancreatic preneoplastic lesions, but their surveillance is not personalized.

Objective: To investigate patient- and cyst-related factors associated with progression into worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) categories of BD-IPMNs.

Design, setting, and participants: Cyst- and patient-related factors of consecutive BD-IPMNs without WFs or HRS in 540 patients diagnosed from 2009 to 2018 with at least 12 months' surveillance until February 28, 2020, were registered in a 2-center ambispective cohort study in Italy. In a subgroup, the ABO blood group was studied for the first time in this setting.

Exposure: Cyst-related and patients-related factors and ABO blood group.

Main outcomes and measures: The study outcome was the appearance of WFs or HRS according to the 2017 International Association of Pancreatology guidelines. Survival probability was calculated using Kaplan-Meier curve and risk factors identified by Cox proportional hazards regression. ABO blood group was inferred through genotypes with DNA extraction.

Results: Of 540 patients with BD-IPMNs (median age, 66 years [interquartile range, 58.5-72.0 years]; 337 women [62.4%]) undergoing surveillance for a median of 51.5 months (interquartile range, 28-84 months) for 2758 person-years, 130 patients (24.1%) experienced progression. Probability of progression was 3.7% at 1 year, 23.4% at 5 years, and 43.3% at 10 years; 15 patients (2.8%) underwent surgery, 7 patients (1.3%) had malignant histologic findings, and 3 patients (0.56%) died of pancreatic-associated disease. Initial cyst size greater than 15 mm (hazard ratio [HR], 2.05; 95% CI, 1.44-2.91), body mass index greater than 26.4 (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.19-2.50), and heavy smoking (HR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.14-2.86) were significant independent factors associated with progression risk. The AA blood genotype was also associated with progression risk (HR, 3.49; 95% CI, 1.04-11.71) compared with the OO genotype in the investigated subgroup.

Conclusions and relevance: This analysis of factors associated with progression of BD-IPMNs according to recent guidelines suggests that cyst size alone is not a reliable factor for estimation of progression risk; however, along with other readily available data, size is helpful for planning personalized surveillance of BD-IPMNs.

SUBMITTER: Capurso G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7705592 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Factors Associated With the Risk of Progression of Low-Risk Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

Capurso Gabriele G Crippa Stefano S Vanella Giuseppe G Traini Mariaemilia M Zerboni Giulia G Zaccari Piera P Belfiori Giulio G Gentiluomo Manuel M Pessarelli Tommaso T Petrone Maria Chiara MC Campa Daniele D Falconi Massimo M Arcidiacono Paolo Giorgio PG

JAMA network open 20201102 11

<h4>Importance</h4>Branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are common pancreatic preneoplastic lesions, but their surveillance is not personalized.<h4>Objective</h4>To investigate patient- and cyst-related factors associated with progression into worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) categories of BD-IPMNs.<h4>Design, setting, and participants</h4>Cyst- and patient-related factors of consecutive BD-IPMNs without WFs or HRS in 540 patients diagnosed from 200 ...[more]

PMID: 33252689

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Project description:IntroductionPancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is lethal due to its late diagnosis and lack of successful treatments. A possible strategy to reduce its death burden is prevention. Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are precursors of PDAC. It is difficult to estimate the incidence of IPMNs because they are asymptomatic. Two recent studies reported pancreatic cysts in 3% and 13% of scanned subjects. The possibility of identifying a subgroup of IPMN patients with a higher probability of progression into cancer could be instrumental in increasing the survival rate. In this study, genetic and non-genetic PDAC risk factors were tested in a group of IPMN patients under surveillance.MethodsA retrospective study was conducted on 354 IPMN patients enrolled in two Italian centres with an average follow-up of 64 months. With the use of DNA extracted from blood, collected at IPMN diagnosis, all patients were genotyped for 30 known PDAC risk loci. The polymorphisms were analysed individually and grouped in an unweighted polygenic score (PGS) in relation to IPMN progression. The ABO blood group and non-genetic PDAC risk factors were also analysed. IPMN progression was defined based on the development of worrisome features and/or high-risk stigmata during follow-up.ResultsTwo genetic variants (rs1517037 and rs10094872) showed suggestive associations with an increment of IPMN progression. After correction for multiple testing, using the Bonferroni correction, none of the variants showed a statistically significant association. However, associations were observed for the non-genetic variables, such as smoking status, comparing heavy smokers with light smokers (HR = 3.81, 95% 1.43-10.09, p = 0.007), and obesity (HR = 2.46, 95% CI 1.22-4.95, p = 0.012).ConclusionIn conclusion, this study is the first attempt to investigate the presence of shared genetic background between PDAC risk and IPMN progression; however, the results suggest that the 30 established PDAC susceptibility polymorphisms are not associated with clinical IPMN progression in a sample of 354 patients. However, we observed indications of cigarette smoking and body mass index (BMI) involvement in IPMN progression. The biological mechanism that could link these two risk factors to progression could be chronic inflammation, of which both smoking and obesity are strong promoters.

Project description:Purpose: The diagnosis of high grade intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is difficult to distinguish from low grade IPMN. The aim of this study was to identify potential markers for the discrimination of high grade and invasive IPMN from low and moderate grade IPMN. Experimental Design: Laser capture microdissection was used to isolate distinct foci of low grade, moderate grade, high grade, and invasive IPMN from paraffin embedded archival tissue from 14 patients who underwent resection for IPMN. Most samples included multiple grades in the same specimen. Affymetrix Human Exon microarrays were used for gene expression analysis to compare low and moderate grade (LMD) IPMN to high grade and invasive (HgInv) IPMN. Results: When comparing samples of LMD dysplasia (n=15) to those demonstrating HgInv (n=13), 62 genes were identified as showing significant changes in expression (p≤0.05 and a 2-fold cutoff), with up-regulation of 41 in HgInv IPMN and down-regulation in 21. Changes in gene expression are associated with biological processes related to malignant behavior including cell motion, cell proliferation, response to hypoxia, and epithelial to mesenchymal transition. Hierarchical clustering analysis demonstrated the ability of these 62 differentially expressed genes to distinguish between LMD and HgInv samples. In addition, altered signaling in several TGFβ-related pathways was exhibited in the progression of IPMN to malignancy. Conclusions: This study identifies a set genes associated with the progression of IPMN to malignancy. These genes are potential markers that could be used to identify IPMN requiring surgical resection. Using laser capture microdissection, distinct foci of low (n=10), moderate (n=5), and high grade dysplasia (n=6) as well as invasive carcinoma (n=7) were isolated from paraffin embedded archival tissue of 14 patients who underwent resection for IPMN. Gene expression data from Affymetrix Human Exon 1.0ST microarrays was utilized to compare low and moderate grade IPMN to high and invasive IPMN.

Dataset Information

Factors Associated With the Risk of Progression of Low-Risk Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

Publications

Factors Associated With the Risk of Progression of Low-Risk Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms.

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