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Topographic brain tumor anatomy drives seizure risk and enables machine learning based prediction.


ABSTRACT:

Objective

The aim of this study was to identify relevant risk factors for epileptic seizures upon initial diagnosis of a brain tumor and to develop and validate a machine learning based prediction to allow for a tailored risk-based antiepileptic therapy.

Methods

Clinical, electrophysiological and high-resolution imaging data was obtained from a consecutive cohort of 1051 patients with newly diagnosed brain tumors. Factor-associated seizure risk difference allowed to determine the relevance of specific topographic, demographic and histopathologic variables available at the time of diagnosis for seizure risk. The data was divided in a 70/30 ratio into a training and test set. Different machine learning based predictive models were evaluated before a generalized additive model (GAM) was selected considering its traceability while maintaining high performance. Based on a clinical stratification of the risk factors, three different GAM were trained and internally validated.

Results

A total of 923 patients had full data and were included. Specific topographic anatomical patterns that drive seizure risk could be identified. The involvement of allopallial, mesopallial or primary motor/somatosensory neopallial structures by brain tumors results in a significant and clinically relevant increase in seizure risk. While topographic input was most relevant for the GAM, the best prediction was achieved by a combination of topographic, demographic and histopathologic information (Validation: AUC: 0.79, Accuracy: 0.72, Sensitivity: 0.81, Specificity: 0.66).

Conclusions

This study identifies specific phylogenetic anatomical patterns as epileptic drivers. A GAM allowed the prediction of seizure risk using topographic, demographic and histopathologic data achieving fair performance while maintaining transparency.

SUBMITTER: Akeret K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7711280 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Topographic brain tumor anatomy drives seizure risk and enables machine learning based prediction.

Akeret Kevin K   Stumpo Vittorio V   Staartjes Victor E VE   Vasella Flavio F   Velz Julia J   Marinoni Federica F   Dufour Jean-Philippe JP   Imbach Lukas L LL   Regli Luca L   Serra Carlo C   Krayenbühl Niklaus N  

NeuroImage. Clinical 20201119


<h4>Objective</h4>The aim of this study was to identify relevant risk factors for epileptic seizures upon initial diagnosis of a brain tumor and to develop and validate a machine learning based prediction to allow for a tailored risk-based antiepileptic therapy.<h4>Methods</h4>Clinical, electrophysiological and high-resolution imaging data was obtained from a consecutive cohort of 1051 patients with newly diagnosed brain tumors. Factor-associated seizure risk difference allowed to determine the  ...[more]

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