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Prognostic nutritional index predicts acute kidney injury and mortality of patients in the coronary care unit

ABSTRACT: The current study aimed to investigate whether prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is an independent predictor of acute kidney injury (AKI) and mortality of patients in the coronary care unit (CCU). In the present two-stage observational study of patients in the CCU, 6,444 patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III database were first enrolled (test cohort), after which 412 patients from Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University were recruited in the validation cohort. AKI was defined based on the Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes AKI criteria. The primary endpoint was the incidence of AKI stratified by severity, while the second endpoint included in-hospital mortality and 2-year mortality. In the test cohort, 4,457 (69.2%) patients developed AKI during hospitalization. Following multivariable adjustment, the highest quartile of the PNI value was associated with a 1.8-fold increased risk of AKI compared with the lowest quartile. For the prediction of AKI, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve outperformed the acute physiology score III score and clinical model in patients with or without preexisting chronic kidney disease, and this was further validated in the hospital cohort used in the present study. A total of 2,219 patients suffered mortality during the 2-year follow-up, and PNI was indicated to independently predict the risk of in-hospital mortality and 2-year mortality in the test cohort and in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis indicated that the PNI values were clinically useful; Therefore, the current study demonstrated that the PNI value is an independent predictor of AKI and mortality in patients within the CCU.

SUBMITTER: Hu Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7739862 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Project description:BackgroundMalnutrition is common in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and is associated with a poor prognosis. The prognostic value of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) in patients with AMI remains controversial. We aimed to explore the relationship between PNI and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AMI and evaluate the incremental prognostic value of PNI to commonly used prognostic assessment tools.MethodsThe Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) database was used to conduct a retrospective cohort analysis on 1180 critically ill patients with AMI. The primary endpoints were defined as 6-month and 1-year all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was used to investigate the relationship between admission PNI and all-cause mortality. The effect of adding PNI to sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, or charlson comorbidity index (CCI) on its discriminative ability was assessed using C-statistic, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).ResultsMultivariate cox regression analysis demonstrated that the low PNI was regarded as an independent predictor of 1-year all-cause mortality in AMI patients admitted to ICU (adjusted Hazard Ratio: 95% CI = 1.75 (1.22-2.49)). The ROC test showed that admission PNI had a moderate predictive ability to predict all-cause mortality of critically ill patients with AMI. Furthermore, the net reclassification and integrated discrimination of the CCI alone model improved significantly with PNI. [C-statistic increased from 0.669 to 0.752, p < 0.001; NRI = 0.698, p < 0.001; IDI = 0.073, p < 0.001]. When PNI was added to the SOFA score, the C-statistic significantly improved from 0.770 to 0.805 (p < 0.001), and the NRI and IDI were estimated at 0.573 (p < 0.001) and 0.041 (p < 0.001), respectively.ConclusionPNI could be a novel predictor for identifying patients at high risk of 1-year all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AMI. The addition of PNI to the SOFA score or CCI may be useful for very early risk stratification.

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Prognostic nutritional index predicts acute kidney injury and mortality of patients in the coronary care unit

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