Dataset Information

Impact of variability in estimated glomerular filtration rate on major clinical outcomes: A nationwide population-based study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), commonly estimated using the serum creatinine value, often fluctuates throughout the serial measurement. The clinical significance of GFR variation among the general population with normal renal function has not yet been demonstrated. Thus, we explored the impact of GFR variability on adverse clinical outcomes.

Methods

A nationwide retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance System database was performed. National health screening examinees who underwent creatinine measurement ?3 times between 2012 and 2016 were considered. Those with eGFR under 60 mL/min/m2 were excluded. The fluctuation of eGFR was represented with variability independent of the mean (VIM) index; which was calculated by the standard deviation divided by the exponent of the regression coefficient of the mean. Then, the risks of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke and death were assessed according to the quartiles of the VIM.

Results

Of total 3,538,500 participants, 0.29% of myocardial infarction (MI), 0.14% of stroke, 0.36% of deaths were observed during the median follow up of 3.27 years. Participants with the highest VIM index, which represents the highest eGFR variability, were significantly associated with an increased risk of MI (hazard ratio [HR]; 1.10, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]; 1.04-1.16), stroke (HR: 1.16; 95% CI 1.09-1.23), and death (HR: 1.18; 95% CI 1.12-1.24). The elevated risk of adverse events was consistent after the multivariate adjustment with potential confounding factors, except the risk of MI (HR 1.06; 95% 1.00-1.06).

Conclusions

Increased eGFR variability exhibited an association with major clinical outcomes, indicating that monitoring eGFR variability might be a useful parameter for predicting the adverse outcomes.

SUBMITTER: Lee S

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7746294 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Impact of variability in estimated glomerular filtration rate on major clinical outcomes: A nationwide population-based study.

Lee Soojin S Park Sehoon S Kim Yaerim Y Lee Yeonhee Y Kang Min Woo MW Cho Semin S Kim Yong Chul YC Han Seung Seok SS Lee Hajeong H Lee Jung Pyo JP Joo Kwon Wook KW Lim Chun Soo CS Kim Yon Su YS Han Kyungdo K Kim Dong Ki DK

PloS one 20201217 12

<h4>Background</h4>The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), commonly estimated using the serum creatinine value, often fluctuates throughout the serial measurement. The clinical significance of GFR variation among the general population with normal renal function has not yet been demonstrated. Thus, we explored the impact of GFR variability on adverse clinical outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>A nationwide retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance System database was p ...[more]

PMID: 33332407

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Project description:AimsThe prognostic significance of renal function variability has not been fully elucidated in heart failure (HF). This multicentre, prospective cohort study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of visit-to-visit variability in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) for predicting patients' outcomes in a real-world HF population.MethodsA total of 564 patients who had survived HF hospitalization were randomly assigned with a 2:1 ratio to derivation and validation cohorts, and they were then followed after discharge. Using the data for 6 months after discharge, each patient's visit-to-visit eGFR variability (EGV) was estimated. In the derivation cohort, Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the association of EGV with a subsequent composite event (death and HF hospitalization). In the validation cohort, the predictive performance was compared among Cox regression models with EGV, those with B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and those with eGFR.ResultsIn the derivation cohort (376 patients), median age, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), BNP and eGFR at discharge were 72 years, 53.3%, 134.8 pg/mL and 58.7 mL/min/1.73 m2 , respectively. During a median follow-up of 2.2 years, higher EGV was associated with an increased risk of the composite event (adjusted hazard ratio [per standard deviation increase in log-transformed EGV], 1.5; 95% confidence interval, 1.1-2.0). A similar finding was observed in a stratified analysis by LVEF. In the validation cohort (188 patients), better model fit, discrimination, reclassification and calibration were observed for EGV than for 6-month averaged BNP or eGFR for predicting the composite event when added to HF risk prediction models. Adding EGV to models with BNP or eGFR improved model discrimination and reclassification.ConclusionsEGV predicts HF outcomes regardless of LVEF. Risk prediction models with EGV have good performance in real-world HF patients. The study findings highlight the clinical importance of observing visit-to-visit fluctuations in renal function in this population.

Project description:A progressive trajectory toward renal failure is common in patients with Alport syndrome. Genotype-phenotype correlations have been well described; however, the natural history of the trajectory toward renal failure is not well described.The objective of this study is to describe the natural history of renal function decline in a cohort of Alport syndrome patients.Retrospective observational cohort study.British Columbia, Canada, chronic renal disease registry 1995-2012.37 biopsy proven Alport syndrome or hematuria with family history of Alport syndrome.Serial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) Trajectory of renal decline described graphically by fitting a cubic smoothing spline to patient's eGFR measures. Various time points within a trajectory were indexed, randomly sampled, and followed for 2 years to estimate portion of progressors (>5 mL/min/1.73 m2 /y decline), stable state (0-2 mL/min/1.73 m2 /y decline), and regressors (>2 mL/min/1.73 m2 /y incline).In this retrospective observational cohort study, participants were identified through a chronic renal disease registry in British Columbia, Canada, from 1995 to 2012. Inclusion criteria were biopsy proven or hematuria with a family history of Alport syndrome. Individual patients and family group members were studied. Trajectory of renal decline described graphically by fitting a cubic smoothing spline to patient's serial estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measures. Various time points within a trajectory were indexed, randomly sampled, and followed for 2 years to estimate portion of progressors (>5 mL/min/1.73 m2/y decline), stable state (0-2 mL/min/1.73 m2/y decline), and regressors (>2 mL/min/1.73 m2/y incline).Histological or genetic evidence of Alport syndrome is not available in all patients.Median follow-up time was 48.2 months of 37 patients (78% male), with a median age of 36 (interquartile range [IQR], 18-47) and a median age of renal replacement therapy commencement (n = 23) of 38 (IQR = 20-52). Renal function changes were found to be heterogeneous overall, intra-individual and within families. Portion of progressors in eGFR 45-60 mL/min/1.73 m2 was 73.7% (SD, 10.3), whereas 23.6% (SD, 11.0) remained stable. Within eGFR 30-45 mL/min/1.73 m2, 45.6% (SD, 7.0) were progressors, whereas 53.4% (SD, 7.4) remained stable. A large portion of eGFR 15-30 mL/min/1.73 m2 patients were stable (54.8%; SD, 8.4), whereas 25.7% (SD, 7.1) progressed and 19.5% (SD, 5.6) regressed.The renal decline in Alport syndrome patients is heterogeneous which has implications for designing clinical trials of interventions.

Project description:BackgroundGreater variability in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) is associated with higher mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Heart failure (HF) is common in CKD and may increase variability through changes in hemodynamic and volume regulation. We sought to determine if patients with vs without HF have higher kidney function variability in CKD, and to define the association with mortality.Methods and resultsPatients undergoing coronary angiography from 2003 to 2013 with an eGFR of less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 were evaluated from the Duke Databank for Cardiovascular Disease. Variability in the eGFR, measured as the coefficient of variation (CV) of residuals from the regression of eGFR vs time, was calculated spanning 3 months to 2 years after catheterization. Mortality was assessed 2 to 7 years after catheterization. Patients were grouped into 3 HF phenotypes: HF with reduced ejection fraction, HF with preserved ejection, and no HF. Regression was used to evaluate associations between HF phenotypes and variability in the eGFR and between variability in the eGFR and mortality rate with stratification by HF phenotype. Among 3767 participants, the median eGFR at baseline was 45 mL/min/1.73 m2 (interquartile range 33-53 mL/min/1.73 m2), and longitudinal measures of eGFR over 21 months had within-patient residual variability (CV) of 14% (9%-20%). In adjusted analyses, variability in the eGFR was greater in those with HF with preserved ejection (n = 695, CV difference 0.98%, 95% confidence interval 0.14%-1.81%) or HF with reduced ejection fraction (n = 800, CV difference 2.51%, 95% confidence interval 1.66%-3.37%) relative to no HF (n = 2272). In 3068 participants eligible for mortality analysis, the presence of HF and greater variability in the eGFR were each associated independently with higher mortality, but there was no evidence of interaction between variability in the eGFR and any HF phenotype (all P for interaction ≥.49).ConclusionsVariability in the eGFR is greater in patients with HF and associated with mortality. Prediction algorithms and classification schemes should consider not only static, but also dynamic eGFR variability in HF and CKD prognostication.

Project description:AimWhile the relationship between impaired kidney function and atrial fibrillation (AF) is well established, there is limited research exploring the association between elevated estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and AF development. This study aimed to examine the association between higher-than-normal eGFR and AF risk using a nationwide longitudinal study of the general population in Korea.Materials and methodsThis study utilized the National Health Insurance Service cohort database of Korea, analyzing data from 2,645,042 participants aged 20-79 years who underwent health examinations between 2010 and 2011. Participants with a history of end-stage renal disease, renal transplantation, and AF prior to the index date were excluded. Renal function was assessed using eGFR levels, calculated with the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. Baseline characteristics were gathered through questionnaires, while comorbidities and AF occurrence outcomes were identified and validated using diagnostic codes and medication histories. The study employed Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazard models to evaluate the association between eGFR and AF occurrence.ResultsThe mean age of subjects was 48.82 ± 10.08 years. Over a median follow-up of 9.58 years, 27,469 (1.04%) AF cases were identified. The risk for AF increased in the higher-than-normal decile, as demonstrated by Kaplan-Meier survival curves (p < 0.001). The eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2 group was associated with an increased risk of AF [hazard ratio (HR): 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.01, 1.46), p = 0.039], while the eGFR >120 mL/min/1.73 m2 group was associated with a decreased risk of AF [HR: 0.88, 95% CI (0.78, 0.98), p = 0.045]. Compared to the 5th decile, the 1st [HR: 1.08, 95% CI (1.03, 1.13), p = 0.010] eGFR decile was significantly associated with an increased risk of AF, while the 10th [HR: 0.77, 95% CI (0.70, 0.85), p < 0.001] eGFR decile was significantly associated with a reduced risk of AF.ConclusionThe study revealed that individuals with eGFR>120 mL/min/1.73 m2 or those falling within eGFR 10th decile (>113.41 mL/min/1.73 m2) demonstrated an inverse association linked to a reduced risk of AF. Our study suggests that general population with higher-than-normal eGFR levels may have a lower risk of developing AF.

Project description:ImportanceChronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US.ObjectiveTo evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes.Design, setting, and participantsIndividual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021.ExposuresThe Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR).Main outcomes and measuresThe risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses.ResultsWithin the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]).Conclusions and relevanceIn this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

Dataset Information

Impact of variability in estimated glomerular filtration rate on major clinical outcomes: A nationwide population-based study.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Impact of variability in estimated glomerular filtration rate on major clinical outcomes: A nationwide population-based study.

Similar Datasets

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