Dataset Information

Effects of voluntary event cancellation and school closure as countermeasures against COVID-19 outbreak in Japan.

ABSTRACT:

Background

To control the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, sports and entertainment events were canceled and schools were closed throughout Japan from February 26 through March 19. That policy has been designated as voluntary event cancellation and school closure (VECSC).

Object

This study assesses VECSC effectiveness based on predicted outcomes.

Methods

A simple susceptible-infected-recovered model was applied to data of patients with symptoms in Japan during January 14 through March 26. The respective reproduction numbers for periods before VECSC (R0), during VECSC (Re), and after VECSC (Ra) were estimated.

Results

Results suggest R0 before VECSC as 2.534 [2.449, 2.598], Re during VECSC as 1.077 [0.948, 1.228], and Ra after VECSC as 4.455 [3.615, 5.255].

Discussion and conclusion

Results demonstrated that VECSC can reduce COVID-19 infectiousness considerably, but after VECSC, the value of the reproduction number rose to exceed 4.0.

SUBMITTER: Sugishita Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7751859 | biostudies-literature | 2020

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Effects of voluntary event cancellation and school closure as countermeasures against COVID-19 outbreak in Japan.

Sugishita Yoshiyuki Y Kurita Junko J Sugawara Tamie T Ohkusa Yasushi Y

PloS one 20201221 12

<h4>Background</h4>To control the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, sports and entertainment events were canceled and schools were closed throughout Japan from February 26 through March 19. That policy has been designated as voluntary event cancellation and school closure (VECSC).<h4>Object</h4>This study assesses VECSC effectiveness based on predicted outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>A simple susceptible-infected-recovered model was applied to data of patients with symptoms in Japan during January 14 through ...[more]

PMID: 33347444

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Dataset Information

Effects of voluntary event cancellation and school closure as countermeasures against COVID-19 outbreak in Japan.

Background

Object

Methods

Results

Discussion and conclusion

Publications

Effects of voluntary event cancellation and school closure as countermeasures against COVID-19 outbreak in Japan.

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