Dataset Information
Effects of voluntary event cancellation and school closure as countermeasures against COVID-19 outbreak in Japan.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT: Background
To control the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, sports and entertainment events were canceled and schools were closed throughout Japan from February 26 through March 19. That policy has been designated as voluntary event cancellation and school closure (VECSC).Object
This study assesses VECSC effectiveness based on predicted outcomes.Methods
A simple susceptible-infected-recovered model was applied to data of patients with symptoms in Japan during January 14 through March 26. The respective reproduction numbers for periods before VECSC (R0), during VECSC (Re), and after VECSC (Ra) were estimated.Results
Results suggest R0 before VECSC as 2.534 [2.449, 2.598], Re during VECSC as 1.077 [0.948, 1.228], and Ra after VECSC as 4.455 [3.615, 5.255].Discussion and conclusion
Results demonstrated that VECSC can reduce COVID-19 infectiousness considerably, but after VECSC, the value of the reproduction number rose to exceed 4.0.
SUBMITTER: Sugishita Y
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7751859 | biostudies-literature | 2020
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Effects of voluntary event cancellation and school closure as countermeasures against COVID-19 outbreak in Japan.
PloS one 20201221 12
<h4>Background</h4>To control the COVID-19 outbreak in Japan, sports and entertainment events were canceled and schools were closed throughout Japan from February 26 through March 19. That policy has been designated as voluntary event cancellation and school closure (VECSC).<h4>Object</h4>This study assesses VECSC effectiveness based on predicted outcomes.<h4>Methods</h4>A simple susceptible-infected-recovered model was applied to data of patients with symptoms in Japan during January 14 through ...[more]