Dataset Information

Seasonality of Influenza-Like-Illness and Acute Cardiovascular Events Are Related Regardless of Vaccine Effectiveness.

ABSTRACT: Background Influenza has been identified as a trigger for stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) with prior studies demonstrating that influenza vaccination may decrease risk of stroke and MI. Methods and Results We used data from the New York Department of Health Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System to evaluate whether annual variability in influenza vaccination effectiveness (VE) would be associated with cardiovascular events. Daily and monthly counts of outpatient and inpatient visits for influenza-like illness (ILI), stroke, and MI were identified using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes; VE data for each year are publicly available. We identified pertinent lags between ILI, stroke, and MI using prewhitening cross-correlation functions and applied them to autoregressive integrated moving average time series regression models. Time series forecasting systems assessed correlations among ILI, stroke, and MI, and the effect of VE on these relationships. Cross-correlation functions indicated stroke events increased 1 month after increases in ILI rates; MIs increased immediately. Accounting for seasonality and lag, peaks in ILI rates were significantly related to peaks in stroke (P=0.04) and MI (P=0.01). Time forecasting analyses indicated no relationship between VE and cardiovascular events. Conclusions We identified that seasonality of cardiovascular events may be associated with seasonality in ILI, though VE did not modify this relationship.

SUBMITTER: Kulick ER

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7763381 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Seasonality of Influenza-Like-Illness and Acute Cardiovascular Events Are Related Regardless of Vaccine Effectiveness.

Kulick Erin R ER Canning Michelle M Parikh Neal S NS Elkind Mitchell S V MSV Boehme Amelia K AK

Journal of the American Heart Association 20201008 20

Background Influenza has been identified as a trigger for stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) with prior studies demonstrating that influenza vaccination may decrease risk of stroke and MI. Methods and Results We used data from the New York Department of Health Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System to evaluate whether annual variability in influenza vaccination effectiveness (VE) would be associated with cardiovascular events. Daily and monthly counts of outpatient and inpatient v ...[more]

PMID: 33028143

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Project description:PURPOSE:To assess the utility of "influenza-like illness" (ILI) and whether it appropriately tests influenza vaccine effectiveness. PRINCIPAL RESULTS:The WHO and CDC definitions of "influenza-like illness" are similar. However many studies use other definitions, some not specifying a temperature and requiring specific respiratory and/or systemic symptoms, making many samples non-comparable. Most ILI studies find less than 25% of cases are RT-PCR-positive, those which test for other viruses and bacteria usually find multiple other pathogens, and most identify no pathogen in about 50% of cases. ILI symptom and symptom combinations do not have high sensitivity or specificity in identifying PCR-positive influenza cases. Rapid influenza diagnostic tests are increasingly used to screen ILI cases and they have low sensitivity and high specificity when compared to RT-PCR in identifying influenza. MAIN CONCLUSIONS:The working diagnosis of ILI presumes influenza may be involved until proven otherwise. Health care workers would benefit by renaming the WHO and CDC ILI symptoms and signs as "acute respiratory illness" and also using the WHO acute severe respiratory illness definition if the illness is severe and meets this criterion. This renaming would shift attention to identify the viral and bacterial pathogens in cases and epidemics, identify new pathogens, implement vaccination plans appropriate to the identified pathogens, and estimate workload during the viral season. Randomised controlled trials testing the effectiveness of influenza vaccine require all participants to be assessed by a gold standard (RT-PCR). ILI has no role in measuring influenza vaccine effectiveness. ILI is well established in the literature and in the operational definition of many surveillance databases and its imprecise definition may be inhibiting progress in research and treatment. The current ILI definition could with benefit be renamed "acute respiratory illness," with additional definitions for "severe acute respiratory illness" (SARI) with RT-PCR testing for pathogens to facilitate prevention and treatment.

Project description:ImportanceThe burden of influenza among young children is high, and influenza vaccination is the primary strategy to prevent the virus and its complications. Less is known about differences in clinical protection following 1 vs 2 doses of initial influenza vaccination.ObjectivesTo describe patterns of influenza vaccination among young children who receive outpatient care for acute respiratory tract illness in the US and compare vaccine effectiveness (VE) against medically attended laboratory-confirmed influenza by number of influenza vaccine doses received.DesignThis test-negative case-control study was conducted in outpatient clinics, including emergency departments, at 5 sites of the US Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness Network during the 2014-2015 through 2017-2018 influenza seasons. The present study was performed from November 5, 2014, to April 12, 2018, during periods of local influenza circulation. Children aged 6 months to 8 years with an acute respiratory tract illness with cough who presented for outpatient care within 7 days of illness onset were included. All children were tested using real-time, reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for influenza for research purposes.ExposuresVaccination in the enrollment season with either 1 or 2 doses of inactivated influenza vaccine as documented from electronic medical records, including state immunization information systems.Main outcomes and measuresMedically attended acute respiratory tract infection with real-time, reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction testing for influenza.ResultsOf 7533 children, 3480 children (46%) were girls, 4687 children (62%) were non-Hispanic white, and 4871 children (65%) were younger than 5 years. A total of 3912 children (52%) were unvaccinated in the enrollment season, 2924 children (39%) were fully vaccinated, and 697 children (9%) were partially vaccinated. Adjusted VE against any influenza was 51% (95% CI, 44%-57%) among fully vaccinated children and 41% (95% CI, 25%-54%) among partially vaccinated children. Among 1519 vaccine-naive children aged 6 months to 2 years, the VE of 2 doses in the enrollment season was 53% (95% CI, 28%-70%), and the VE of 1 dose was 23% (95% CI, -11% to 47%); those who received 2 doses were less likely to test positive for influenza compared with children who received only 1 dose (adjusted odds ratio, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.35-0.93).Conclusions and relevanceConsistent with US influenza vaccine policy, receipt of the recommended number of doses resulted in higher VE than partial vaccination in 4 influenza seasons. Efforts to improve 2-dose coverage for previously unvaccinated children may reduce the burden of influenza in this population.

Project description:BackgroundInfluenza vaccination recently has been recommended for children 6-23 months old, but is not currently recommended for routine use in non-high-risk older children. Information on disease impact, costs, benefits, risks, and community preferences could help guide decisions about which age and risk groups should be vaccinated and strategies for improving coverage. The objective of this study was to measure preferences and willingness-to-pay for changes in health-related quality of life associated with uncomplicated influenza and two rarely-occurring vaccination-related adverse events (anaphylaxis and Guillain-Barré syndrome) in children.MethodsWe conducted telephone interviews with adult members selected at random from a large New England HMO (n = 112). Respondents were given descriptions of four health outcomes: uncomplicated influenza in a hypothetical 1-year-old child of their own, uncomplicated influenza in a hypothetical 14-year-old child of their own, anaphylaxis following vaccination, and Guillain-Barré syndrome. "Uncomplicated influenza" did not require a physician's visit or hospitalization. Preferences (values) for these health outcomes were measured using time-tradeoff and willingness-to-pay questions. Time-tradeoff questions asked the adult to assume they had a child and to consider how much time from the end of their own life they would be willing to surrender to avoid the health outcome in the child.ResultsRespondents said they would give a median of zero days of their lives to prevent an episode of uncomplicated influenza in either their (hypothetical) 1-year-old or 14-year-old, 30 days to prevent an episode of vaccination-related anaphylaxis, and 3 years to prevent a vaccination-related case of Guillain-Barré syndrome. Median willingness-to-pay to prevent uncomplicated influenza in a 1-year-old was $175, uncomplicated influenza in a 14-year-old was $100, anaphylaxis $400, and Guillain-Barré syndrome $4000. The median willingness-to-pay for an influenza vaccination for their children with no risk of anaphylaxis or Guillain-Barré syndrome was $50 and $100, respectively.ConclusionMost respondents said they would not be willing to trade any time from their own lives to prevent uncomplicated influenza in a child of their own, and the time traded did not vary by the age of the hypothetical affected child. However, adults did indicate a willingness-to-pay to prevent uncomplicated influenza in children, and that they would give more money to prevent the illness in a 1-year-old than in a 14-year-old. Respondents also indicated a willingness to pay a premium for a vaccine without any risk of severe complications.

Dataset Information

Seasonality of Influenza-Like-Illness and Acute Cardiovascular Events Are Related Regardless of Vaccine Effectiveness.

Publications

Seasonality of Influenza-Like-Illness and Acute Cardiovascular Events Are Related Regardless of Vaccine Effectiveness.

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