Estimating and explaining the spread of COVID-19 at the county level in the USA.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Ives AR
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7785728 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Estimating and explaining the spread of COVID-19 at the county level in the USA.
Ives Anthony R AR Bozzuto Claudio C
Communications biology 20210105 1
The basic reproduction number, R<sub>0</sub>, determines the rate of spread of a communicable disease and therefore gives fundamental information needed to plan public health interventions. Using mortality records, we estimated the rate of spread of COVID-19 among 160 counties and county-aggregates in the USA at the start of the epidemic. We show that most of the high among-county variance is explained by four factors (R<sup>2</sup> = 0.70): the timing of outbreak, population size, population de ...[more]
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