Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Bradshaw WJ
PROVIDER: S-EPMC7801385 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Jan
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Bradshaw William J WJ Alley Ethan C EC Huggins Jonathan H JH Lloyd Alun L AL Esvelt Kevin M KM
Nature communications 20210111 1
Contact tracing is critical to controlling COVID-19, but most protocols only "forward-trace" to notify people who were recently exposed. Using a stochastic branching-process model, we find that "bidirectional" tracing to identify infector individuals and their other infectees robustly improves outbreak control. In our model, bidirectional tracing more than doubles the reduction in effective reproduction number (R<sub>eff</sub>) achieved by forward-tracing alone, while dramatically increasing res ...[more]