Unknown

Dataset Information

0

Tracking [Formula: see text] of COVID-19: A new real-time estimation using the Kalman filter.

ABSTRACT: We develop a new method for estimating the effective reproduction number of an infectious disease ([Formula: see text]) and apply it to track the dynamics of COVID-19. The method is based on the fact that in the SIR model, [Formula: see text] is linearly related to the growth rate of the number of infected individuals. This time-varying growth rate is estimated using the Kalman filter from data on new cases. The method is easy to implement in standard statistical software, and it performs well even when the number of infected individuals is imperfectly measured, or the infection does not follow the SIR model. Our estimates of [Formula: see text] for COVID-19 for 124 countries across the world are provided in an interactive online dashboard, and they are used to assess the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions in a sample of 14 European countries.

SUBMITTER: Arroyo-Marioli F 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC7806155 | biostudies-literature |

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

Json Xml

Similar Datasets

Unknown Evolution of spin freezing transition and structural, magnetic phase diagram of Dy[Formula: see text]La[Formula: see text]Zr[Formula: see text]O[Formula: see text] (0 [Formula: see text] [Formula: see text] [Formula: see text] 2.0).
| S-EPMC8494935 | biostudies-literature
Unknown Non-centrosymmetric superconductor Th[Formula: see text]Be[Formula: see text]Pt[Formula: see text] and heavy-fermion U[Formula: see text]Be[Formula: see text]Pt[Formula: see text] cage compounds.
| S-EPMC8595440 | biostudies-literature
Unknown [Formula: see text] rule, [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] in [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] models with FCNC quark couplings.
| S-EPMC4410410 | biostudies-other
Unknown Probing the current-phase relation in Josephson point-contact junctions between [Formula: see text]In[Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text]K[Formula: see text](FeAs)[Formula: see text] superconductors.
| S-EPMC8671446 | biostudies-literature
Unknown Temperature-dependent optical constants of monolayer [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text]: spectroscopic ellipsometry and first-principles calculations.
| S-EPMC7498615 | biostudies-literature
Unknown Colossal barocaloric effects in the complex hydride Li[Formula: see text]B[Formula: see text]H[Formula: see text].
| S-EPMC8184963 | biostudies-literature
Unknown Mass of Abrikosov vortex in high-temperature superconductor YBa[Formula: see text]Cu[Formula: see text]O[Formula: see text].
| S-EPMC8571276 | biostudies-literature
Unknown [Formula: see text]H, [Formula: see text]C and [Formula: see text]N assignments of human Grb2 free of ligands.
| S-EPMC7462913 | biostudies-literature
Unknown Guiding antiferromagnetic transitions in Ca[Formula: see text]RuO[Formula: see text].
| S-EPMC9242999 | biostudies-literature
Unknown Production of [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] in proton-proton collisions at [Formula: see text] 7 TeV.
| S-EPMC4424041 | biostudies-other